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Human migration exhibits complex spatiotemporal dependence driven by environmental and socioeconomic forces. Modeling such patterns at scale requires methods that accommodate many random effects while remaining feasible when raw data or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Lida Chalangar Jalili Dehkharghani , Li-Hsiang Lin

Structural Health Monitoring of Floating Offshore Wind Turbines (FOWTs) is critical for ensuring operational safety and efficiency. However, identifying damage in components like mooring systems from limited sensor data poses a challenging…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Ana Fernandez-Navamuel , Martin Alberto Diaz Viera , Matteo Croci

Model selection is an important activity in modern data analysis and the conventional Bayesian approach to this problem involves calculation of marginal likelihoods for different models, together with diagnostics which examine specific…

Computation · Statistics 2008-10-31 David J. Nott , Robert J. Kohn , Mark Fielding

Lifetime data with spatial correlations are often collected for analysis in modern engineering, clinical, and medical applications. For such spatial lifetime data, statistical models usually account for the spatial dependence through…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Yueyao Wang , Yili Hong , Laura Freeman , Xinwei Deng

This work presents a multiscale model reduction approach to discontinuous fields identification problems in the framework of Bayesian inference. An ensemble-based variable separation (VS) method is proposed to approximate multiscale basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Na Ou , Guang Lin , Lijian Jiang

Although there is much recent work developing flexible variational methods for Bayesian computation, Gaussian approximations with structured covariance matrices are often preferred computationally in high-dimensional settings. This paper…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-08 Robert Salomone , Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

Copula models have become one of the most widely used tools in the applied modelling of multivariate data. Similarly, Bayesian methods are increasingly used to obtain efficient likelihood-based inference. However, to date, there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Michael Stanley Smith

A frequent task in exploratory data analysis consists in examining pairwise dependencies between data variables. Popular approaches include visualizing correlation or scatter plot matrices. However, both methods can be misleading. The…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Arturo Erdely , Manuel Rubio-Sanchez

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

Bayesian methods have proved powerful in many applications for the inference of model parameters from data. These methods are based on Bayes' theorem, which itself is deceptively simple. However, in practice the computations required are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Michael A. Chappell , Mark W. Woolrich

This paper proposes a new sequential model learning architecture to solve partially observable Markov decision problems. Rather than compressing sequential information at every timestep as in conventional recurrent neural network-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Giseung Park , Sungho Choi , Youngchul Sung

Parametric factor copula models typically work well in modeling multivariate dependencies due to their flexibility and ability to capture complex dependency structures. However, accurately estimating the linking copulas within these models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Bahareh Ghanbari , Pavel Krupskiy , Laleh Tafakori , Yan Wang

An important feature of Bayesian statistics is the opportunity to do sequential inference: the posterior distribution obtained after seeing a dataset can be used as prior for a second inference. However, when Monte Carlo sampling methods…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-24 Bram Thijssen , Lodewyk F. A. Wessels

This paper considers variational inequalities (VI) defined by the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of uncertain functions and provides three stochastic approximation schemes to solve them. All methods use an empirical estimate of the CVaR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Jasper Verbree , Ashish Cherukuri

Varying coefficient models (VCMs) are widely used for estimating nonlinear regression functions for functional data. Their Bayesian variants using Gaussian process priors on the functional coefficients, however, have received limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Cheng Li , Terrance D. Savitsky , Sanvesh Srivastava

This article presents factor copula approaches to model temporal dependency of non-Gaussian (continuous/discrete) longitudinal data. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas which explain the underlying dependence structure of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

One of the main challenges in current systems neuroscience is the analysis of high-dimensional neuronal and behavioral data that are characterized by different statistics and timescales of the recorded variables. We propose a parametric…

In the framework of model-based clustering, a model allowing several latent class variables is proposed. This model assumes that the distribution of the observed data can be factorized into several independent blocks of variables. Each…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-23 Matthieu Marbac , Vincent Vandewalle

In this paper, we concentrate on new methodologies for copulas introduced and developed by Joe, Cooke, Bedford, Kurowica, Daneshkhah and others on the new class of graphical models called vines as a way of constructing higher dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-30 Alireza Daneshkhah , Golamali Parham , Omid Chatrabgoun , M. Jokar