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Accurate high-resolution spatial and temporal wind speed data is critical for estimating the wind energy potential of a location. For real-time wind speed prediction, statistical models typically depend on high-quality (near) real-time data…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Eamonn Organ , Maeve Upton , Denis Allard , Lionel Benoit , James Sweeney

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of applications. Recently, Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have become increasingly popular MTS forecasting methods due to their state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Zezhi Shao , Zhao Zhang , Fei Wang , Wei Wei , Yongjun Xu

As essential components of the modern urban system, the health conditions of civil structures are the foundation of urban system sustainability and need to be continuously monitored. In Structural Health Monitoring (SHM), many existing…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-18 Yizheng Liao , Ram Rajagopal

Multivariate time series are ubiquitous objects in signal processing. Measuring a distance or similarity between two such objects is of prime interest in a variety of applications, including machine learning, but can be very difficult as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-02 Titouan Vayer , Romain Tavenard , Laetitia Chapel , Nicolas Courty , Rémi Flamary , Yann Soullard

Time series forecasting is an important task that involves analyzing temporal dependencies and underlying patterns (such as trends, cyclicality, and seasonality) in historical data to predict future values or trends. Current deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Jieting Wang , Huimei Shi , Feijiang Li , Xiaolei Shang

Structured prediction tasks pose a fundamental trade-off between the need for model complexity to increase predictive power and the limited computational resources for inference in the exponentially-sized output spaces such models require.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-17 David Weiss , Benjamin Sapp , Ben Taskar

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for decision-making in domains such as weather, energy, and finance. It remains challenging because real-world sequences intertwine slow trends, multi-rate seasonalities, and irregular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Shunya Nagashima , Shuntaro Suzuki , Shuitsu Koyama , Shinnosuke Hirano

Existing hierarchical forecasting techniques scale poorly when the number of time series increases. We propose to learn a coherent forecast for millions of time series with a single bottom-level forecast model by using a sparse loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Olivier Sprangers , Wander Wadman , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Seasonal time series exhibit intricate long-term dependencies, posing a significant challenge for accurate future prediction. This paper introduces the Multi-scale Seasonal Decomposition Model (MSSD) for seasonal time-series forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Yining Pang , Chenghan Li

Margin-based structured prediction commonly uses a maximum loss over all possible structured outputs \cite{Altun03,Collins04b,Taskar03}. In natural language processing, recent work \cite{Zhang14,Zhang15} has proposed the use of the maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-16 Jean Honorio , Tommi Jaakkola

Periodic time series (PTS) forecasting plays a crucial role in a variety of industries to foster critical tasks, such as early warning, pre-planning, resource scheduling, etc. However, the complicated dependencies of the PTS signal on its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Wei Fan , Shun Zheng , Xiaohan Yi , Wei Cao , Yanjie Fu , Jiang Bian , Tie-Yan Liu

Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli

The development of compact and energy-efficient wearable sensors has led to an increase in the availability of biosignals. To analyze these continuously recorded, and often multidimensional, time series at scale, being able to conduct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Knut J. Strømmen , Jim Tørresen , Ulysse Côté-Allard

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Functional time series whose sample elements are recorded sequentially over time are frequently encountered with increasing technology. Recent studies have shown that analyzing and forecasting of functional time series can be performed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

This paper proposes a novel loss function, called 'Tube Loss', for simultaneous estimation of bounds of a Prediction Interval (PI) in the regression setup. The PIs obtained by minimizing the empirical risk based on the Tube Loss are shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Pritam Anand , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Suresh Chandra

This chapter covers methodological issues related to estimation, testing and computation for models involving structural changes. Our aim is to review developments as they relate to econometric applications based on linear models.…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

The ability to quantify information transmission is crucial for the analysis and design of natural and engineered systems. The information transmission rate is the fundamental measure for systems with time-varying signals, yet computing it…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-09-26 Manuel Reinhardt , Gašper Tkačik , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

As time series data become increasingly prevalent in domains such as manufacturing, IT, and infrastructure monitoring, anomaly detection must adapt to nonstationary environments where statistical properties shift over time. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Muyan Anna Li , Aditi Gautam

Recent channel state information (CSI)-based positioning pipelines rely on deep neural networks (DNNs) in order to learn a mapping from estimated CSI to position. Since real-world communication transceivers suffer from hardware impairments,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Emre Gönültaş , Sueda Taner , Howard Huang , Christoph Studer