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Kernel-based multivariate statistical process control (K-MSPC) extends classical monitoring to nonlinear industrial processes. Its performance depends critically on kernel parameters such as lengthscales and variance terms. In current…

Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

Building spatial process models that capture nonstationary behavior while delivering computationally efficient inference is challenging. Nonstationary spatially varying kernels (see, e.g., Paciorek, 2003) offer flexibility and richness, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Sébastien Coube-Sisqueille , Sudipto Banerjee , Benoît Liquet

This paper addresses learning of sparse structural changes or differential network between two classes of non-paranormal graphical models. We assume a multi-source and heterogeneous dataset is available for each class, where the covariance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Mojtaba Nikahd , Seyed Abolfazl Motahari

Deep neural networks are increasingly being used for the analysis of medical images. However, most works neglect the uncertainty in the model's prediction. We propose an uncertainty-aware deep kernel learning model which permits the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Jindong Gu , Volker Tresp

We investigate the discrepancy principle for choosing smoothing parameters for kernel density estimation. The method is based on the distance between the empirical and estimated distribution functions. We prove some new positive and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Thoralf Mildenberger

Kernel methods are widely used for probability estimation by measuring the distribution of low-passed vector distances in reconstructed state spaces. However, the information conveyed by the vector distances that are greater than the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-09 Wenpo Yao , Wenli Yao , Jun Wang

We develop diffusion-based samplers for target distributions known up to a normalising constant. To this end, we rely on the well-known diffusion path that smoothly interpolates between a simple base distribution and the target, popularised…

In this work, we propose a simple kernel ridge regression (KRR) framework with a dynamic-aware validation strategy for long-term prediction of complex dynamical systems. By employing a data-driven kernel derived from diffusion maps, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Jiwoo Song , Daning Huang , John Harlim

This paper introduces a novel statistical regression framework that allows the incorporation of consistency constraints. A linear and nonlinear (kernel-based) formulation are introduced, and both imply closed-form analytical solutions. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Emiliano Díaz , Adrián Pérez-Suay , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Research in modern data-driven dynamical systems is typically focused on the three key challenges of high dimensionality, unknown dynamics, and nonlinearity. The dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) has emerged as a cornerstone for modeling…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-27 Peter J. Baddoo , Benjamin Herrmann , Beverley J. McKeon , Steven L. Brunton

Traditionally, systems governed by linear Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are spatially discretized to exploit their algebraic structure and reduce the computational effort for controlling them. Due to beneficial insights of the PDEs,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-05 Saber Jafarizadeh

In this paper we present a high-order kernel method for numerically solving diffusion and reaction-diffusion partial differential equations (PDEs) on smooth, closed surfaces embedded in $\mathbb{R}^d$. For two-dimensional surfaces embedded…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-06-04 Edward J. Fuselier , Grady B. Wright

We introduce a new approach for estimating the invariant density of a multidimensional diffusion when dealing with high-frequency observations blurred by independent noises. We consider the intermediate regime, where observations occur at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Raphaël Maillet , Grégoire Szymanski

In this paper we introduce a novel method for linear system identification with quantized output data. We model the impulse response as a zero-mean Gaussian process whose covariance (kernel) is given by the recently proposed stable spline…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-28 Giulio Bottegal , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Limit cycle oscillations are phenomena arising in nonlinear dynamical systems and characterized by periodic, locally-stable, and self-sustained state trajectories. Systems controlled in a closed loop along a periodic trajectory can also be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Defne E. Ozan , Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

Deep neural networks have shown many fruitful applications in this decade. A network can get the generalized function through training with a finite dataset. The degree of generalization is a realization of the proximity scale in the data…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-09-15 Kenichi Nakazato

We introduce an inferential framework for a wide class of semi-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Recent work has shown that numerical splitting schemes can preserve critical properties of such types of SDEs, give rise to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shu Huang , Richard G. Everitt , Massimiliano Tamborrino , Adam M. Johansen

In this paper, we propose an outlier-robust regularized kernel-based method for linear system identification. The unknown impulse response is modeled as a zero-mean Gaussian process whose covariance (kernel) is given by the recently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-25 Giulio Bottegal , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Hakan Hjalmarsson , Gianluigi Pillonetto