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Generative probabilistic forecasting produces future time series samples according to the conditional probability distribution given past time series observations. Such techniques are essential in risk-based decision-making and planning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Xinyi Wang , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

Large-scale administrative data is a common input in early warning systems for college dropout in higher education. Still, the terminology and methodology vary significantly across existing studies, and the implications of different…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Dominik Glandorf , Hye Rin Lee , Gabe Avakian Orona , Marina Pumptow , Renzhe Yu , Christian Fischer

With the increasing proportion of renewable energy in the generation side, it becomes more difficult to accurately predict the power generation and adapt to the large deviations between the optimal dispatch scheme and the day-ahead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-07 Xinyue Wang , Haiwang Zhong , Guanglun Zhang , Guangchun Ruan , Yiliu He , Zekuan Yu

In machine learning, a bias occurs whenever training sets are not representative for the test data, which results in unreliable models. The most common biases in data are arguably class imbalance and covariate shift. In this work, we aim to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-04 Patrick Glauner , Radu State , Petko Valtchev , Diogo Duarte

Fault monitoring and diagnostics are important to ensure reliability of electric motors. Efficient algorithms for fault detection improve reliability, yet development of cost-effective and reliable classifiers for diagnostics of equipment…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-16 Waldemar Bauer , Marta Zagorowska , Jerzy Baranowski

Security assessment is among the most fundamental functions of power system operator. The sheer complexity of power systems exceeding a few buses, however, makes it an extremely computationally demanding task. The emergence of deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-22 José-María Hidalgo-Arteaga , Fiodar Hancharou , Florian Thams , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

Prediction of breakdown in disordered solids under external loading in a question of paramount importance. Here we use a fiber bundle model for disordered solids and record the time series of the avalanche sizes and energy bursts. The time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-14 Diksha , Soumyajyoti Biswas

Online identification of post-contingency transient stability is essential in power system control, as it facilitates the grid operator to decide and coordinate system failure correction control actions. Utilizing machine learning methods…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-23 James J. Q. Yu , David J. Hill , Albert Y. S. Lam , Jiatao Gu , Victor O. K. Li

Modern power networks face increasing vulnerability to cascading failures due to high complexity and the growing penetration of intermittent resources, necessitating rigorous security assessment beyond the conventional $N-1$ criterion.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-10 Alexandre Gracia-Calvo , Francesca Rossi , Eduardo Iraola , Juan Carlos Olives-Camps , Eduardo Prieto-Araujo

Forecasting the dynamics of chaotic systems from the analysis of their output signals is a challenging problem with applications in most fields of modern science. In this work, we use a laser model to compare the performance of several…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-14 Pablo Amil , Miguel C. Soriano , Cristina Masoller

In complex networks, the failure of one or very few nodes may cause cascading failures. When this dynamical process stops in steady state, the size of the giant component formed by remaining un-failed nodes can be used to measure the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Junbiao Liu , Xinyu Jin , Lurong Jiang , Yongxiang Xia , Bo Ouyang , Fang Dong , Yicong Lang , Wenping Zhang

Machine learning, statistical-based, and knowledge-based methods are often used to implement an Anomaly-based Intrusion Detection System which is software that helps in detecting malicious and undesired activities in the network primarily…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Vusumuzi Malele , Topside E Mathonsi

Thunderstorm-driven power outages are difficult to predict because most storms do not cause damage, convective processes occur rapidly and chaotically, and the available public data are noisy and incomplete. Severe convective storms now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Iryna Stanishevska , Seth Guikema

With the sharp increase of power demand, large-scale blackouts in power grids occur frequently around the world. Cascading failures are the main causes of network outages. Therefore, revealing the complicated cascade mechanism in grids is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-31 Yubo Huang , Junguo Lu , Weidong Zhang

This paper presents a robust adaptive learning Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework for linear systems with parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances performing iterative tasks. The approach refines the parameter estimates…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-04 Hannes Petrenz , Johannes Köhler , Francesco Borrelli

In this paper, we present a new approach to learning cascaded classifiers for use in computing environments that involve networks of heterogeneous and resource-constrained, low-power embedded compute and sensing nodes. We present a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Hamid Dadkhahi , Benjamin M. Marlin

Plant biomass estimation is critical due to the variability of different environmental factors and crop management practices associated with it. The assessment is largely impacted by the accurate prediction of different environmental…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Syeda Nyma Ferdous , Xin Li , Kamalakanta Sahoo , Richard Bergman

To support N-1 pre-fault transient stability assessment, this paper introduces a new data collection method in a data-driven algorithm incorporating the knowledge of power system dynamics. The domain knowledge on how the disturbance effect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-08 Seyedali Meghdadi , Guido Tack , Ariel Liebman , Nicolas Langrené , Christoph Bergmeir

Assuming access to synchronized stream of Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) data over a significant portion of a power system interconnect, say controlled by an Independent System Operator (ISO), what can you extract about past, current and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-25 Mauro Escobar , Daniel Bienstock , Michael Chertkov

Cascading failures in power systems propagate non-locally, making the control and mitigation of outages extremely hard. In this work, we use the emerging concept of the tree partition of transmission networks to provide an analytical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-20 Linqi Guo , Chen Liang , Alessandro Zocca , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman