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Ensuring sufficient liquidity is one of the key challenges for designers of prediction markets. Various market making algorithms have been proposed in the literature and deployed in practice, but there has been little effort to evaluate…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-09 Aseem Brahma , Sanmay Das , Malik Magdon-Ismail

Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) estimates the impact of marketing activities on business outcomes such as sales or revenue. Traditional MMM approaches rely on linear regression or Bayesian hierarchical models that assume channel independence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Aditya Puttaparthi Tirumala

We propose a heterogeneous agent market model (HAM) in continuous time. The market is populated by fundamental traders and chartists, who both use simple linear trading rules. Most of the related literature explores stability, price…

General Economics · Economics 2019-02-27 Zsolt Bihary , Attila András Víg

Market making (MM) has attracted significant attention in financial trading owing to its essential function in ensuring market liquidity. With strong capabilities in sequential decision-making, Reinforcement Learning (RL) technology has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hui Niu , Siyuan Li , Jiahao Zheng , Zhouchi Lin , Jian Li , Jian Guo , Bo An

This paper conducts an empirical investigation into the effects of Designated Market Makers (DMMs) on key market quality indicators, such as liquidity, bid-ask spreads, and order fulfillment ratios. Through agent-based simulations, this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-26 Cong Zhou

We investigate the theoretical and empirical relationships between activity in on-chain markets and pricing in off-chain cryptocurrency markets (e.g., ETH/USD prices). The motivation is to develop methods for proxying off-chain market data…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Zhimeng Yang , Ariah Klages-Mundt , Lewis Gudgeon

For a many-to-one market where firms are endowed with path-independent choice functions, based on the Aizerman-Malishevski decomposition, we define an associated one-to-one market. Given that the usual notion of stability for a one-to-one…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-16 Pablo Neme , Jorge Oviedo

As consumer flexibility becomes expected, it is important that the market mechanisms which attain that flexibility are perceived as fair. We set out fairness issues in energy markets today, and propose a market design to address them.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Shaun Sweeney , Chris King , Mark O'Malley , Robert Shorten

With the rapid growth of Electric Vehicle (EV) technology, EVs are destined to shape the future of transportation. The large number of EVs facilitates the development of the emerging vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology, which realizes…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Ahmed Mounsf Rafik Bendada , Yacine Ghamri-Doudane

This paper offers a survey of uppaalsmc, a major extension of the real-time verification tool uppaal. uppaalsmc allows for the efficient analysis of performance properties of networks of priced timed automata under a natural stochastic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-07-06 Peter Bulychev , Alexandre David , Kim Gulstrand Larsen , Marius Mikučionis , Danny Bøgsted Poulsen , Axel Legay , Zheng Wang

We propose an artificial market model based on deterministic agents. The agents modify their ask/bid price depending on past price changes. The temporal development of market price fluctuations is calculated numerically. A probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Aki-Hiro Sato , Hideki Takayasu

Traditional economic models typically treat private information, or signals, as generated from some underlying state. Recent work has explicated alternative models, where signals correspond to interpretations of available information. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Michael P. Wellman , Lu Hong , Scott E. Page

The pricing of options, warrants and other derivative securities is one of the great success of financial economics. These financial products can be modeled and simulated using quantum mechanical instruments based on a Hamiltonian…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-18 Belal E. Baaquie , Claudio Coriano , Marakani Srikant

Estimating market impact and transaction costs of large trades (metaorders) is a very important topic in finance. However, using models of price and trade based on public market data provide average price trajectories which are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-04 Manuel Naviglio , Giacomo Bormetti , Francesco Campigli , German Rodikov , Fabrizio Lillo

The AHP/ANP are multicriteria decision-making theories that deal with both hierarchic structures when the criteria are independent of the alternatives and with networks when there is any dependence within and between elements of the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Thomas Saaty , Konrad Kułakowski

Post Modigliani and Miller (1958), the concept of usage of arbitrage created a permanent mark on the discourses of financial framework. The arbitrage process is largely based on information dissemination amongst the stakeholders operating…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Kiran Sharma , Abhijit Dutta , Rupak Mukherjee

The popularity of cryptocurrencies has grown significantly in recent years, and they have become an important asset for internet trading. One of the main drawbacks of cryptocurrencies is the high volatility and fluctuation in value. The…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Wantall Newby , Nickuk Nishikawa

An agent-based model with interacting low frequency liquidity takers inter-mediated by high-frequency liquidity providers acting collectively as market makers can be used to provide realistic simulated price impact curves. This is possible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-23 Ivan Jericevich , Patrick Chang , Tim Gebbie

We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann

This paper models firm-to-firm trade in a production network as a set of double auctions. Firms have multilateral market power, namely, can affect prices in both input and output markets. The size and division of surplus are endogenous and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 Matteo Bizzarri