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In a previous work [Helmstetter, 2003], we have proposed a simple physical model to explain the accelerating displacements preceding some catastrophic landslides, based on a slider-block model with a state and velocity dependent friction…
Dynamic instability -- the growth, catastrophe, and shrinkage of quasi-one-dimensional filaments -- has been observed in multiple biopolymers. Scientists have long understood the catastrophic cessation of growth and subsequent…
In a recent publication [PRL {\bf 81}, 1142 (1998)] it was argued that a randomly forced particle which collides inelastically with a boundary can undergo inelastic collapse and come to rest in a finite time. Here we discuss the survival…
Wavelet basis functions are a natural tool for analyzing turbulent flows containing localized coherent structures of different spatial scales. Here, wavelets are used to study the onset and subsequent transition to fully developed…
We investigate the intermittency of energy dissipation in Alfvenic turbulence by considering the statistics of the coarse-grained energy dissipation rate, using direct measurements from numerical simulations of magnetohydrodynamic…
It is crucial to understand the extreme intermittency of ocean and lake turbulence and turbulent mixing in order to estimate vertical fluxes of momentum, heat and mass by Osborn-Cox flux-dissipation methods. Vast undersampling errors occur…
We study the dynamics of a parametrically and externally driven Rayleigh-Lienard hybrid model and report the emergence of extreme bursting events due to a novel pulse-shaped explosion mechanism. The system exhibits complex periodic and…
Elastic turbulence is the chaotic fluid motion resulting from elastic instabilities due to the addition of polymers in small concentrations at very small Reynolds ($\mbox{Re}$) numbers. Our direct numerical simulations show that elastic…
We use a simple yet Earth-like atmospheric model to propose a new framework for understanding the mathematics of blocking events. Analysing error growth rates along a very long model trajectory, we show that blockings are associated with…
Type I X-ray bursts in a low-mass X-ray binary (LMXB) are caused by unstable nuclear burning of accreted materials. Semi-analytical and numerical studies of unstable nuclear burning have successfully reproduced partial properties of this…
Recent experiments and simulations of amorphous solids plastically deformed by oscillatory drive have foundsurprising behavior - for small strain amplitudes the dynamics can be reversible, which is contrary to the usual notion of plasticity…
Linearly stable shear flows first transition to turbulence in the form of localised patches. At low Reynolds numbers, these turbulent patches tend to suddenly decay, following a memoryless process typical of rare events. How far in advance…
Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…
We consider the focusing, mass-supercritical NLS equation augmented with a nonlinear damping term. We provide sufficient conditions on the nonlinearity exponents and damping coefficients for finite-time blow-up. In particular, singularities…
The critical relations for statistical properties on saddle-node bifurcations are shown to display undulating fine structure, in addition to their known smooth dependence on the control parameter. A piecewise linear map with the type-I…
Polycrystalline metal failure often begins with stress concentration at grain boundaries. Identifying which microstructural features trigger these events is important but challenging because these extreme damage events are rare and the…
This text presents one of the first successful applications of a rare events method for the study of multistability in a turbulent flow without stochastic energy injection. The trajectories of collapse of turbulence in plane Couette flow,…
Microscale turbulence in porous media is a new physical phenomenon that exhibits unique properties unlike those in classical turbulence flows. At low values of porosity, the surface forces on the solid obstacles compete with the inertial…
We report an empirical determination of the probability density functions P(r) of the number r of earthquakes in finite space-time windows for the California catalog, over fixed spatial boxes 5 x 5 km^2 and time intervals dt =1, 10, 100 and…
We investigate the effect of inertial particles dispersed in a circular patch of finite radius on the stability of a two-dimensional Rankine vortex in semi-dilute dusty flows. Unlike the particle-free case where no unstable modes exist, we…