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Bayesian dynamic borrowing methods incorporate historical control data into current clinical trial analyses while allowing the degree of borrowing to depend on the compatibility between historical and current data. Although many methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Tomohiro Ohigashi , Wataru Murasaki , Masahiko Gosho

Bagging is a useful method for large-scale statistical analysis, especially when the computing resources are very limited. We study here the asymptotic properties of bagging estimators for $M$-estimation problems but with massive datasets.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Yuan Gao , Riquan Zhang , Hansheng Wang

External information borrowing is often considered in order to improve a clinical trial's efficiency. The Bayesian approach borrows such external information by specifying an informative prior distribution. A potential issue with this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Silvia Calderazzo , Manuel Wiesenfarth , Vivienn Weru , Annette Kopp-Schneider

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

High-dimensional dense embeddings have become central to modern Information Retrieval, but many dimensions are noisy or redundant. Recently proposed DIME (Dimension IMportance Estimation), provides query-dependent scores to identify…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Giulio D'Erasmo , Cesare Campagnano , Antonio Mallia , Pierpaolo Brutti , Nicola Tonellotto , Fabrizio Silvestri

Variational inference is becoming more and more popular for approximating intractable posterior distributions in Bayesian statistics and machine learning. Meanwhile, a few recent works have provided theoretical justification and new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

In this paper, we consider the problem of parametric empirical Bayes estimation of an i.i.d. prior in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression, with random design. We obtain the asymptotic distribution of the variational Empirical Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Seunghyun Lee , Nabarun Deb

Data collection is a fundamental problem in the scenario of big data, where the size of sampling sets plays a very important role, especially in the characterization of data structure. This paper considers the information collection process…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Shanyun Liu , Rui She , Pingyi Fan

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

We consider the classical problem of discrete distribution estimation using i.i.d. samples in a novel scenario where additional side information is available on the distribution. In large alphabet datasets such as text corpora, such side…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Haricharan Balasundaram , Andrew Thangaraj

We introduce a simple and efficient algorithm for stochastic linear bandits with finitely many actions that is asymptotically optimal and (nearly) worst-case optimal in finite time. The approach is based on the frequentist…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-05 Johannes Kirschner , Tor Lattimore , Claire Vernade , Csaba Szepesvári

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) has been widely used for aligning language models with human preferences in a supervised manner. However, several key questions remain unresolved: the rationale behind its log-ratio reward, how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Yunjae Won , Hyunji Lee , Hyeonbin Hwang , Minjoon Seo

The aim of survey statistics is to produce estimates with a minimal bias and a corresponding acceptable variance given a specific budget, preferable with a minor response burden for the participants. In recent years, considerable efforts…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Martin Hyllienmark , Gustaf Strandell

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider the Bayesian analysis of a few complex, high-dimensional models and show that intuitive priors, which are not tailored to the fine details of the model and the estimated parameters, produce estimators which perform poorly in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Y. Ritov , P. J. Bickel , A. C. Gamst , B. J. K. Kleijn

Hypoelliptic diffusion processes can be used to model a variety of phenomena in applications ranging from molecular dynamics to audio signal analysis. We study parameter estimation for such processes in situations where we observe some…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-30 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , P. Wiberg

The density weighted average derivative (DWAD) of a regression function is a canonical parameter of interest in economics. Classical first-order large sample distribution theory for kernel-based DWAD estimators relies on tuning parameter…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-16 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Michael Jansson , Ricardo Masini

Hierarchical probabilistic models, such as Gaussian mixture models, are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. These models consist of observable and latent variables, which represent the observable data and the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-26 Keisuke Yamazaki