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We study a marginal empirical likelihood approach in scenarios when the number of variables grows exponentially with the sample size. The marginal empirical likelihood ratios as functions of the parameters of interest are systematically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Yong Tang , Yichao Wu

In this work, we consider the problem of building distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample conditional coverage guarantees. Conformal prediction (CP) is an increasingly popular framework for building such intervals with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Rohan Hore , Rina Foygel Barber

We develop a method to generate prediction intervals that have a user-specified coverage level across all regions of feature-space, a property called conditional coverage. A typical approach to this task is to estimate the conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Shai Feldman , Stephen Bates , Yaniv Romano

Well-recommended methods of forming `confidence intervals' for a binomial proportion give interval estimates that do not actually meet the definition of a confidence interval, in that their coverages are sometimes lower than the nominal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Paul H. Garthwaite , Maha W. Moustafa , Fadlalla G. Elfadaly

Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Bijan Mazaheri , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

We propose a robust method for constructing conditionally valid prediction intervals based on models for conditional distributions such as quantile and distribution regression. Our approach can be applied to important prediction problems…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wüthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Studying the effects of one-way variation of any number of parameters on any number of output probabilities quickly becomes infeasible in practice, especially if various evidence profiles are to be taken into consideration. To provide for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Silja Renooij , Linda C. van der Gaag

In high dimensional analysis, effects of explanatory variables on responses sometimes rely on certain exposure variables, such as time or environmental factors. In this paper, to characterize the importance of each predictor, we utilize its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-11 Yeqing Zhou , Jingyuan Liu , Zhihui Hao , Liping Zhu

This paper develops a novel nonparametric significance test based on a tailored nonparametric-type projected weighting function that exhibits appealing theoretical and numerical properties. We derive the asymptotic properties of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Xiaojun Song , Jichao Yuan

Conformal Prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage, but its reliance on a single global calibration threshold obscures the sources of uncertainty at the instance level. In particular, it conflates…

Response-adaptive allocation designs refer to a class of designs where the probability an observation is assigned to a treatment is changed throughout an experiment based on the accrued responses. Such procedures result in random treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-04 Adam Lane

Conditional multidimensional scaling seeks for a low-dimensional configuration from pairwise dissimilarities, in the presence of other known features. By taking advantage of available data of the known features, conditional multidimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Anh Tuan Bui

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

Metaheuristics are known to be strong in solving large-scale instances of computationally hard problems. However, their efficiency still needs exploration in the context of instance structure, scale and numerical properties for many of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-01-11 David Chalupa , Peter Nielsen

This paper proposes a hierarchical method for estimating the location parameters of a multivariate vector in the presence of missing data. At i th step of this procedure an estimate of the location parameters for non-missing components of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sergey Tarima , Yuriy Dmitriev , Richard Kryscio

Choice models, which capture popular preferences over objects of interest, play a key role in making decisions whose eventual outcome is impacted by human choice behavior. In most scenarios, the choice model, which can effectively be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-22 Vivek F. Farias , Srikanth Jagabathula , Devavrat Shah

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

To provide a solid analytic foundation for the module approach to conditional risk measures, this paper establishes a complete random convex analysis over random locally convex modules by simultaneously considering the two kinds of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-08-03 Tiexin Guo , Shien Zhao , Xiaolin Zeng

Survival prediction often involves estimating the time-to-event distribution from censored datasets. Previous approaches have focused on enhancing discrimination and marginal calibration. In this paper, we highlight the significance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

The estimation of covariance operators of spatio-temporal data is in many applications only computationally feasible under simplifying assumptions, such as separability of the covariance into strictly temporal and spatial factors.Powerful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Holger Dette , Gauthier Dierickx , Tim Kutta