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In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

We introduce a novel forecasting model for crop yields that explicitly accounts for spatio-temporal dependence and the influence of extreme weather and climatic events. Our approach combines Bayesian Structural Time Series for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Marie Michaelides , Mélina Mailhot , Yongkun Li

Objective: This work introduces a framework for multivariate time series analysis aimed at detecting and quantifying collective emerging behaviors in the dynamics of physiological networks. Methods: Given a network system mapped by a vector…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Luca Faes , Gorana Mijatovic , Laura Sparacino , Alberto Porta

Many epidemiological and clinical studies aim at analyzing a time-to-event endpoint. A common complication is right censoring. In some cases, it arises because subjects are still surviving after the study terminates or move out of the study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Andrew Ying

In multivariate analysis, uncertainty arises from two sources: the marginal distributions of the variables and their dependence structure. Quantifying the dependence structure is crucial, as it provides valuable insights into the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Mohd. Arshad , Ashok Kumar Pathak

Causal analysis based on non-uniform embedding schemes is an important way to detect the underlying interactions between dynamic systems. However, there are still some obstacles to estimate high-dimensional conditional mutual information…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Ziyu Jia , Youfang Lin , Zehui Jiao , Yan Ma , Jing Wang

Single-index models or time-to-event models are frequently applied in empirical research. These models are non-identifiable in presence of unknown (dependent) censoring or competing risks and do not give informative results in empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Jia-Han Shih , Simon M. S. Lo , Ralf A. Wilke

Imputation is a popular approach to handling censored, missing, and error-prone covariates -- all coarsened data types for which the true values are unknown. However, there are nuances to imputing these different data types based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Sarah C. Lotspeich , Ethan M. Alt

In copula modeling, the simplifying assumption has recently been the object of much interest. Although it is very useful to reduce the computational burden, it remains far from obvious whether it is actually satisfied in practice. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Alexis Derumigny

Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting. However, the computational and numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-28 David Salinas , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Laurent Callot , Roberto Medico , Jan Gasthaus

Routinely collected data from electronic health records (EHR) provide opportunities to study effects of longitudinal treatment strategies in real-world clinical settings. A challenge presented by EHR data is that frequency of covariate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-14 Leah Pirondini , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Edward Palmer , Ruth H. Keogh

Zero-inflated continuous data ubiquitously appear in many fields, in which lots of exactly zero-valued data are observed while others distribute continuously. Due to the mixed structure of discreteness and continuity in its distribution,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Keita Hamamoto

In this paper, we obtain general representations for the joint distributions and copulas of arbitrary dependent random variables absolutely continuous with respect to the product of given one-dimensional marginal distributions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Victor H. de la Peña , Rustam Ibragimov , Shaturgun Sharakhmetov

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Rosy Oh , Jae Youn Ahn , Woojoo Lee

Despite the major progress of deep models as learning machines, uncertainty estimation remains a major challenge. Existing solutions rely on modified loss functions or architectural changes. We propose to compensate for the lack of built-in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Nataša Tagasovska , Firat Ozdemir , Axel Brando

Key to effective generic, or "black-box", variational inference is the selection of an approximation to the target density that balances accuracy and speed. Copula models are promising options, but calibration of the approximation can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-01 Michael Stanley Smith , Rubén Loaiza-Maya

We propose a novel distributional regression model for a multivariate response vector based on a copula process over the covariate space. It uses the implicit copula of a Gaussian multivariate regression, which we call a ``regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-06 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith , David Nott , Ryan Chisholm

This review article provides an overview of recent work in the modeling and analysis of recurrent events arising in engineering, reliability, public health, biomedicine and other areas. Recurrent event modeling possesses unique facets…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-08-03 Edsel A. Peña

Adjusting for latent covariates is crucial for estimating causal effects from observational textual data. Most existing methods only account for confounding covariates that affect both treatment and outcome, potentially leading to biased…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Yuxiang Zhou , Yulan He

This study aims to predict failure times for some units in some lifetime experiments. In some practical situations, the experimenter may not be able to register the failure times of all units during the experiment. Recently, this situation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Mahmoud Mansour , Mohamed Aboshady
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