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Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Junan Chen , Josephine Monica , Wei-Lun Chao , Mark Campbell

The task of dynamic flow estimation is to construct an approximation of an evolving flow---and particularly, its response to disturbances---using measurements from available sensors. Building from previous work by Darakananda et al.~(Phys…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-19 Mathieu Le Provost , Jeff D. Eldredge

Data-driven methods for improving turbulence modeling in Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations have gained significant interest in the computational fluid dynamics community. Modern machine learning algorithms have opened up a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-02-05 Nicholas Geneva , Nicholas Zabaras

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Unsteady aerodynamic effects can have a profound impact on aerial vehicle flight performance, especially during agile maneuvers and in complex aerodynamic environments. In this paper, we present a real-time planning and control approach…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Ashwin Gupta , Kevin Wolfe , Gino Perrotta , Joseph Moore

State estimation from limited sensor measurements is ubiquitously found as a common challenge in a broad range of fields including mechanics, astronomy, and geophysics. Fluid mechanics is no exception -- state estimation of fluid flows is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-01 Taichi Nakamura , Koji Fukagata

We present a new statistically driven method for analyzing the modeling of geophysical flows. Many models have been advocated by different modelers for such flows incorporating different modeling assumptions. Limited and sparse…

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

The interpretation of seismic images faces challenges due to the presence of several uncertainty sources. Uncertainties exist in data measurements, source positioning, and subsurface geophysical properties. Understanding uncertainties' role…

Estimating the expectation of a real-valued function of a random variable from sample data is a critical aspect of statistical analysis, with far-reaching implications in various applications. Current methodologies typically assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Paweł Lorek , Rafał Nowak , Rafał Topolnicki , Tomasz Trzciński , Maciej Zięba , Aleksandra Krystecka

Estimating density ratios between pairs of intractable data distributions is a core problem in probabilistic modeling, enabling principled comparisons of sample likelihoods under different data-generating processes across conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Egor Antipov , Alessandro Palma , Lorenzo Consoli , Stephan Günnemann , Andrea Dittadi , Fabian J. Theis

Flow fluctuations have recently emerged as a promising hemodynamic metric for understanding the rupture risk of intracranial aneurysms. Several investigations have reported in the literature corresponding flow instabilities using…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-05 Feng Huang , Seyed Ali Hosseini , Gabor Janiga , Dominique Thévenin

We present a methodology for quantifying seismic velocity and pore pressure uncertainty that incorporates information regarding the geological history of a basin, rock physics, well log, drilling and seismic data. In particular, our…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-11-21 Anshuman Pradhan , Huy Q. Le , Nader C. Dutta , Biondo Biondi , Tapan Mukerji

In this paper we propose a simple yet powerful vortex method to numerically approximate the dynamics of an incompressible flow. The idea is to sample the distribution of the initial vortices of the fluid flow in question then follow vortex…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-10-27 Zhongmin Qian , Youchun Qiu , Yihuang Zhang

The calibration of rheological parameters in the modeling of complex flows of non-Newtonian fluids can be a daunting task. In this paper we demonstrate how the framework of Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) can be used to improve the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-11 Aricia Rinkens , Clemens V. Verhoosel , Nick O. Jaensson

In computational fluid dynamics simulations of industrial flows, models based on the Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) equations are expected to play an important role in decades to come. However, model uncertainties are still a major…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-01 Heng Xiao , Paola Cinnella

Optical flow refers to the visual motion observed between two consecutive images. Since the degree of freedom is typically much larger than the constraints imposed by the image observations, the straightforward formulation of optical flow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-21 Jie Sun , Fernando J. Quevedo , Erik Bollt

A physics-based data-driven computational framework for the quantitative analysis of vortex kinematics and vortex-induced loads in vortex-dominated problems is presented. Such flows are characterized by the dominant influence of a small…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-28 Karthik Menon , Rajat Mittal

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster