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We propose a novel Bayesian wavelet regression approach using a three-component spike-and-slab prior for wavelet coefficients, combining a point mass at zero, a moment (MOM) prior, and an inverse moment (IMOM) prior. This flexible prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Nilotpal Sanyal

We develop a GMM approach for estimation of log-normal stochastic volatility models driven by a fractional Brownian motion with unrestricted Hurst exponent. We show that a parameter estimator based on the integrated variance is consistent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Anine E. Bolko , Kim Christensen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Bezirgen Veliyev

Many speech and music analysis and processing schemes rely on an estimate of the fundamental frequency $f_0$ of periodic signal components. Most established schemes apply rather unspecific signal models such as sinusoidal models to the…

Sound · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Volker Hohmann

Parameter estimation is a growing area of interest in statistical signal processing. Some parameters in real-life applications vary in space as opposed to those that are static. Most common methods in estimating parameters involve solving…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-02 David Angwenyi

Predicting multivariate time series is crucial, demanding precise modeling of intricate patterns, including inter-series dependencies and intra-series variations. Distinctive trend characteristics in each time series pose challenges, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Guoqi Yu , Jing Zou , Xiaowei Hu , Angelica I. Aviles-Rivero , Jing Qin , Shujun Wang

We present a computationally-efficient strategy to initialise the hyperparameters of a Gaussian process (GP) avoiding the computation of the likelihood function. Our strategy can be used as a pretraining stage to find initial conditions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Felipe Tobar , Elsa Cazelles , Taco de Wolff

Inspired by the key principle behind the EM algorithm, we propose a general methodology for conducting wavelet estimation with irregularly-spaced data by viewing the data as the observed portion of an augmented regularly-spaced data set. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas C. M. Lee , Xiao-Li Meng

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

This paper explores learning emulators for parameter estimation with uncertainty estimation of high-dimensional dynamical systems. We assume access to a computationally complex simulator that inputs a candidate parameter and outputs a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Ruoxi Jiang , Rebecca Willett

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are powerful generative models capable of learning compact latent representations. However, conventional VAEs often generate relatively blurry images due to their assumption of an isotropic Gaussian latent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Andrew Kiruluta

This paper presents a new numerical approach to the study of non-periodicity in signals, which can complement the maximal Lyapunov exponent method for determining chaos transitions of a given dynamical system. The proposed technique is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-14 R. Benítez , V. J. Bolós , M. E. Ramírez

One of the main features of interest in analysing the light curves of stars is the underlying periodic behaviour. The corresponding observations are a complex type of time series with unequally spaced time points and are sometimes…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-21 Efthymia Derezea , Alfred Kume , Dirk Froebrich

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) provides a flexible approach for non-linear dimensionality reduction that has been widely applied. However, the current approach for training GP-LVMs is based on maximum likelihood, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-09-09 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

The detection of periodic signals in irregularly-sampled time series is a problem commonly encountered in astronomy. Traditional tools used for periodic searches, such as the periodogram, have poorly defined statistical properties under…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-13 A. Gúrpide , M. Middleton

Parameter estimation for a parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation in one space dimension is studied observing the solution field on a discrete grid in a fixed bounded domain. Considering an infill asymptotic regime in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Florian Hildebrandt , Mathias Trabs

This paper provides a comprehensive estimation framework for large covariance matrices via a log-det heuristics augmented by a nuclear norm plus $\ell_{1}$-norm penalty. We develop the model framework, which includes high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Enrico Bernardi , Matteo Farnè

We propose a versatile and computationally efficient estimating equation method for a class of hierarchical multiplicative generalized linear mixed models with additive dispersion components, based on explicit modelling of the covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-18 René Holst , Bent Jørgensen

Long-run covariance matrix estimation is the building block of time series inference. The corresponding difference-based estimator, which avoids detrending, has attracted considerable interest due to its robustness to both smooth and abrupt…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu
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