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In numerical modeling of the Earth System, many processes remain unknown or ill represented (let us quote sub-grid processes, the dependence to unknown latent variables or the non-inclusion of complex dynamics in numerical models) but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-19 Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Jérôme Sirven

Phase change process plays a critical role in thermal management systems, yet quantitative characterization of multiphase heat transfer remains limited by the challenges of measuring temperature fields in chaotic, rapidly evolving flow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Qianxi Fu , Youngjoon Suh , Xiaojing Zhang , Sanghyeon Chang , Yoonjin Won

We show how machine learning techniques based on Bayesian inference can be used to reach new levels of realism in the computer simulation of molecular materials, focusing here on water. We train our machine-learning algorithm using…

Materials Science · Physics 2013-02-25 Albert P. Bartok , Michael J. Gillan , Frederick R. Manby , Gabor Csanyi

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Liquid metals play a central role in new generation liquid metal cooled nuclear reactors, for which numerical investigations require the use of appropriate thermal turbulence models for low Prandtl number fluids. Given the limitations of…

Understanding the thermal behavior of additive manufacturing (AM) processes is crucial for enhancing the quality control and enabling customized process design. Most purely physics-based computational models suffer from intensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Shuheng Liao , Tianju Xue , Jihoon Jeong , Samantha Webster , Kornel Ehmann , Jian Cao

This article focuses on the faults of important mechanical components such as pumps, valves, and pipelines in the reactor coolant system, main steam system, condensate system, and main feedwater system of nuclear power plants (NPPs). It…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-28 Siwei Li , Jiangwen Chen , Hua Lin , Wei Wang

With several advantages and as an alternative to predict physics field, machine learning methods can be classified into two distinct types: data-driven relying on training data and physics-driven using physics law. Choosing heat conduction…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-05-19 Hao Ma , Xiangyu Hu , Yuxuan Zhang , Nils Thuerey , Oskar J. Haidn

Fine-scale simulation of complex systems governed by multiscale partial differential equations (PDEs) is computationally expensive and various multiscale methods have been developed for addressing such problems. In addition, it is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-06-24 Govinda Anantha Padmanabha , Nicholas Zabaras

Predictive models of thermodynamic properties of mixtures are paramount in chemical engineering and chemistry. Classical thermodynamic models are successful in generalizing over (continuous) conditions like temperature and concentration. On…

We show that ensembles of deep neural networks, called deep ensembles, can be used to perform quantum parameter estimation while also providing a means for quantifying uncertainty in parameter estimates, which is a key advantage of using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-09 Amanuel Anteneh

Deep neural networks have outperformed existing machine learning models in various molecular applications. In practical applications, it is still difficult to make confident decisions because of the uncertainty in predictions arisen from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Seongok Ryu , Yongchan Kwon , Woo Youn Kim

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Predicting heat-related physiological events at the population level is challenging due to the complex interactions among climatic, demographic, and socioeconomic factors, as well as the strong sparsity and seasonality of observational…

Accurate predictions of reactive mixing are critical for many Earth and environmental science problems. To investigate mixing dynamics over time under different scenarios, a high-fidelity, finite-element-based numerical model is built to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 B. Ahmmed , M. K. Mudunuru , S. Karra , S. C. James , V. V. Vesselinov

Engineering design and scientific analysis rely upon computer simulations of turbulent fluid flows using turbulence models. These turbulence models are empirical and approximate, leading to large uncertainties in their predictions that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-28 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Modelling the sudden depressurisation of superheated liquids through nozzles is a challenge because the pressure drop causes rapid flash boiling of the liquid. The resulting jet usually demonstrates a wide range of structures, including…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-12-15 David Schmidt , Romit Maulik , Konstantinos G. Lyras

The widespread adoption of machine learning surrogate models has significantly improved the scale and complexity of systems and processes that can be explored accurately and efficiently using atomistic modeling. However, the inherently…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-03-13 Federico Grasselli , Sanggyu Chong , Venkat Kapil , Silvia Bonfanti , Kevin Rossi

Deep learning tools have gained tremendous attention in applied machine learning. However such tools for regression and classification do not capture model uncertainty. In comparison, Bayesian models offer a mathematically grounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-05 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani
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