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Diagnosis of a clinical condition is a challenging task, which often requires significant medical investigation. Previous work related to diagnostic inferencing problems mostly consider multivariate observational data (e.g. physiological…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-01-05 Aaditya Prakash , Siyuan Zhao , Sadid A. Hasan , Vivek Datla , Kathy Lee , Ashequl Qadir , Joey Liu , Oladimeji Farri

Mixtures of Hidden Markov Models (MHMMs) are frequently used for clustering of sequential data. An important aspect of MHMMs, as of any clustering approach, is that they can be interpretable, allowing for novel insights to be gained from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Negar Safinianaini , Henrik Boström

Estimating conditional mutual information (CMI) is an essential yet challenging step in many machine learning and data mining tasks. Estimating CMI from data that contains both discrete and continuous variables, or even discrete-continuous…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Alexander Marx , Lincen Yang , Matthijs van Leeuwen

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

Hidden information emerges under impulse interactions with Markov diffusion process modeling interactive random environment. Impulse yes no action cuts Markov correlations revealing Bit of hidden information connected correlated states.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-05-16 Vladimir S. Lerner

We propose two different approaches for introducing the information temperature of the binary N-th order Markov chains. The first approach is based on comparing the Markov sequences with the equilibrium Ising chains at given temperatures.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-05 O. V. Usatenko , S. S. Melnyk , G. M. Pritula , V. A. Yampol'skii

The design of a metric between probability distributions is a longstanding problem motivated by numerous applications in Machine Learning. Focusing on continuous probability distributions on the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$, we introduce…

Estimating entropy production from real observation data can be difficult due to finite resolution in both space and time and finite measurement statistics. We characterize the statistical error introduced by finite sample size and compare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-09 Jonas H. Fritz , Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

High-dimensional time-series data are becoming increasingly abundant across a wide variety of domains, spanning economics, neuroscience, particle physics, and cosmology. Fitting statistical models to such data, to enable parameter…

Markov chains are a common framework for individual-based state and time discrete models in ecology and evolution. Their use, however, is largely limited to systems with a low number of states, since the transition matrices involved pose…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-10 Katja Reichel , Valentin Bahier , Cédric Midoux , Jean-Pierre Masson , Solenn Stoeckel

Understanding the interaction patterns among simultaneous recordings of spike trains from multiple neuronal units is a key topic in neuroscience. However, an optimal approach of assessing these interactions has not been established, as…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-17 Gorana Mijatovic , Yuri Antonacci , Tatjana Loncar-Turukalo , Ludovico Minati , Luca Faes

Since the emergence of research on improving the length extrapolation capabilities of large language models in 2021, some studies have made modifications to the scaling factor in the scaled dot-product attention mechanism as part of their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Kewei Li , Yanwen Kong , Yiping Xu , Jianlin Su , Lan Huang , Ruochi Zhang , Fengfeng Zhou

The estimation of information measures of continuous distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. In this paper, we analyze estimates of differential entropy in $K$-dimensional Euclidean space,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Georg Pichler , Pablo Piantanida , Günther Koliander

Temporal Knowledge Graphs store events in the form of subjects, relations, objects, and timestamps which are often represented by dynamic heterogeneous graphs. Event forecasting is a critical and challenging task in Temporal Knowledge Graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Hongkuan Zhou , James Orme-Rogers , Rajgopal Kannan , Viktor Prasanna

This paper presents a technique for reduced-order Markov modeling for compact representation of time-series data. In this work, symbolic dynamics-based tools have been used to infer an approximate generative Markov model. The time-series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-28 Devesh K Jha , Nurali Virani , Jan Reimann , Abhishek Srivastav , Asok Ray

Switching state-space models (SSSM) are a very popular class of time series models that have found many applications in statistics, econometrics and advanced signal processing. Bayesian inference for these models typically relies on Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-11 Nick Whiteley , Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet

Estimating the transition dynamics of controlled Markov chains is crucial in fields such as time series analysis, reinforcement learning, and system exploration. Traditional non-parametric density estimation methods often assume independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak Rao , Harsha Honnappa

Conformal inference is a statistical method used to construct prediction sets for point predictors, providing reliable uncertainty quantification with probability guarantees. This method utilizes historical labeled data to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Xiaoyi Su , Zhixin Zhou , Rui Luo

We propose a new way of investigating phase transitions in the context of information theory. We use an information-entropic measure of spatial complexity known as configurational entropy (CE) to quantify both the storage and exchange of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-23 Damian Sowinski , Marcelo Gleiser