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Hierarchies of conditional beliefs (Battigalli and Siniscalchi 1999) play a central role for the epistemic analysis of solution concepts in sequential games. They are practically modelled by type structures, which allow the analyst to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Nicodemo De Vito

Reinforcement learning systems are often concerned with balancing exploration of untested actions against exploitation of actions that are known to be good. The benefit of exploration can be estimated using the classical notion of Value of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Richard Dearden , Nir Friedman , David Andre

The empirical analysis of discrete complete-information games has relied on behavioral restrictions in the form of solution concepts, such as Nash equilibrium. Choosing the right solution concept is crucial not just for identification of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-23 Nail Kashaev , Bruno Salcedo

We consider linear programs involving uncertain parameters and propose a new tractable robust counterpart which contains and generalizes several other models including the existing Affinely Adjustable Robust Counterpart and the Fully…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Walid Ben-Ameur , Adam Ouorou , Guanglei Wang , Mateusz Żotkiewicz

The most popular stability notion in games should be Nash equilibrium under the rationality of players who maximize their own payoff individually. In contrast, in many scenarios, players can be (partly) irrational with some unpredictable…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Ching-Hua Yu

We study learning in complete-information games, allowing the players' models of their environment to be misspecified. We introduce Berk--Nash rationalizability: the largest self-justified set of actions -- meaning each action in the set is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-28 Ignacio Esponda , Demian Pouzo

We study dynamic games with hidden states and absorbing failure, where belief-driven actions can trigger irreversible collapse. In such environments, equilibria that sustain activity generically operate at the boundary of viability. We show…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-21 Nicholas H. Kirk

Safety is a primary concern when applying reinforcement learning to real-world control tasks, especially in the presence of external disturbances. However, existing safe reinforcement learning algorithms rarely account for external…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Zeyang Li , Chuxiong Hu , Shengbo Eben Li , Jia Cheng , Yunan Wang

We propose definitions of substitutes and complements for pieces of information ("signals") in the context of a decision or optimization problem, with game-theoretic and algorithmic applications. In a game-theoretic context, substitutes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-28 Yiling Chen , Bo Waggoner

Games with incomplete preferences are an important model for studying rational decision-making in scenarios where players face incomplete information about their preferences and must contend with incomparable outcomes. We study the problem…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Abhishek N. Kulkarni , Jie Fu , Ufuk Topcu

Conventional noncooperative game theory hypothesizes that the joint strategy of a set of players in a game must satisfy an "equilibrium concept". All other joint strategies are considered impossible; the only issue is what equilibrium…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Wolpert

In many real-world settings agents engage in strategic interactions with multiple opposing agents who can employ a wide variety of strategies. The standard approach for designing agents for such settings is to compute or approximate a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Sam Ganzfried , Kevin A. Wang , Max Chiswick

This paper investigates the evaluation of learned multiagent strategies in the incomplete information setting, which plays a critical role in ranking and training of agents. Traditionally, researchers have relied on Elo ratings for this…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Mark Rowland , Shayegan Omidshafiei , Karl Tuyls , Julien Perolat , Michal Valko , Georgios Piliouras , Remi Munos

Nash equilibrium is often heralded as a guiding principle for rational decision-making in strategic interactions. However, it is well-known that Nash equilibrium sometimes fails as a reliable predictor of outcomes, with two of the most…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Ivan Geffner , Moshe Tennenholtz

Counterfactual explanations (CEs) offer interpretable insights into machine learning predictions by answering ``what if?" questions. However, in real-world settings where models are frequently updated, existing counterfactual explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jamie Duell , Xiuyi Fan

High-precision operation of quantum computing systems must be robust to uncertainties and noises in the quantum hardware. In this paper, we show that through a game played between the uncertainties (or noises) and the controls, adversarial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-05-20 Xiaozhen Ge , Haijin Ding , Herschel Rabitz , Rebing Wu

We show how solution concepts in games such as Nash equilibrium, correlated equilibrium, rationalizability, and sequential equilibrium can be given a uniform definition in terms of \emph{knowledge-based programs}. Intuitively, all solution…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Yoram Moses

We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-06 Ian Vernon , John Paul Gosling

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a principled framework for conducting experiments that leverages Bayesian inference to quantify how much information one can expect to gain from selecting a certain design. However, accurate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-12 Yasir Zubayr Barlas , Sabina J. Sloman , Samuel Kaski

Nash equilibrium (NE) is a widely adopted solution concept in game theory due to its stability property. However, we observe that the NE strategy might not always yield the best results, especially against opponents who do not adhere to NE…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Shuxin Li , Chang Yang , Youzhi Zhang , Pengdeng Li , Xinrun Wang , Xiao Huang , Hau Chan , Bo An