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We develop a Bayesian inference method for discretely-observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Inference is challenging for most SDEs, due to the analytical intractability of the likelihood function. Nevertheless, forward…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-08 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini

Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Lingkai Kong , Jimeng Sun , Chao Zhang

Partial differential equations (PDEs) govern nearly every physical process in science and engineering, yet solving them at scale remains prohibitively expensive. Generative AI has transformed language, vision, and protein science, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Yilong Dai , Shengyu Chen , Xiaowei Jia , Runlong Yu

Creating noise from data is easy; creating data from noise is generative modeling. We present a stochastic differential equation (SDE) that smoothly transforms a complex data distribution to a known prior distribution by slowly injecting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Yang Song , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Diederik P. Kingma , Abhishek Kumar , Stefano Ermon , Ben Poole

Reliable inference of system degradation from sensor data is fundamental to condition monitoring and prognostics in mechanical and infrastructural systems. Since degradation is rarely directly observable and measurable, it must be inferred…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Mengjie Zhao , Olga Fink

In this study we explore a new simulation scheme for partial differential equations known as Information Field Dynamics (IFD). Information field dynamics attempts to improve on existing simulation schemes by incorporating Bayesian field…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-19 Martin Dupont

Stochastic discriminative EM (sdEM) is an online-EM-type algorithm for discriminative training of probabilistic generative models belonging to the exponential family. In this work, we introduce and justify this algorithm as a stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Andres R. Masegosa

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

In this paper, we introduce the SPINNs (stochastic physics-informed neural networks) in a systematic manner. This provides a mathematical framework for approximating the solution of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by Levy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marcin Baranek , Paweł Przybyłowicz

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (Neural SDEs) have emerged as powerful mesh-free generative models for continuous stochastic processes, with critical applications in fields such as finance, physics, and biology. Previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Jianxin Zhang , Josh Viktorov , Doosan Jung , Emily Pitler

Minimax optimization problems have attracted a lot of attention over the past few years, with applications ranging from economics to machine learning. While advanced optimization methods exist for such problems, characterizing their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Enea Monzio Compagnoni , Antonio Orvieto , Hans Kersting , Frank Norbert Proske , Aurelien Lucchi

We propose PROSE-FD, a zero-shot multimodal PDE foundational model for simultaneous prediction of heterogeneous two-dimensional physical systems related to distinct fluid dynamics settings. These systems include shallow water equations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Yuxuan Liu , Jingmin Sun , Xinjie He , Griffin Pinney , Zecheng Zhang , Hayden Schaeffer

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

The measured spatiotemporal response of various physical processes is utilized to infer the governing partial differential equations (PDEs). We propose SimultaNeous Basis Function Approximation and Parameter Estimation (SNAPE), a technique…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Sutanu Bhowmick , Satish Nagarajaiah

Stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous in physics, biology, and engineering, where both deterministic drifts and random fluctuations govern system behavior. Learning these dynamics from data is particularly challenging in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ziheng Guo , Igor Cialenco , Ming Zhong

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

Neural ODEs (NODEs) have emerged as powerful tools for modeling time series data, offering the flexibility to adapt to varying input scales and capture complex dynamics. However, they face significant challenges: first, their reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Muhao Guo , Yang Weng

Neural differential equation models have garnered significant attention in recent years for their effectiveness in machine learning applications.Among these, fractional differential equations (FDEs) have emerged as a promising tool due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Wenjun Cui , Qiyu Kang , Xuhao Li , Kai Zhao , Wee Peng Tay , Weihua Deng , Yidong Li

The real-time fault monitoring and control of the Vacuum Assisted Resin Transfer Moulding (VARTM) production process requires a knowledge of the position of the epoxy flow-front inside the mould. Therefore, a fast and accurate flow-front…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Michael Nauheimer , Rishi Relan , Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen , Erik Lindström , Henrik Madsen

World models learn to predict future states of an environment, enabling planning and mental simulation. Current approaches default to Transformer-based predictors operating in learned latent spaces. This comes at a cost: O(N^2) computation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Fabien Polly