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Conventional likelihood-based information criteria for model selection rely on the distribution assumption of data. However, for complex data that are increasingly available in many scientific fields, the specification of their underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Chixiang Chen , Ming Wang , Rongling Wu , Runze Li

We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data, which arise from complex problem-solving items, an emerging testing mode in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Fangyi Chen , Hok Kan Ling , Zhiliang Ying

We consider a problem of model selection in high-dimensional binary Markov random fields. The usefulness of the Ising model in studying systems of complex interactions has been confirmed in many papers. The main drawback of this model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Rejchel

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

This article introduces a novel dynamic framework to Bayesian model averaging for time-varying parameter quantile regressions. By employing sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo, we combine empirical estimates derived from dynamically chosen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Mauro Bernardi , Roberto Casarin , Bertrand Maillet , Lea Petrella

Doubly-stochastic point processes model the occurrence of events over a spatial domain as an inhomogeneous Poisson process conditioned on the realization of a random intensity function. They are flexible tools for capturing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Si Cheng , Jon Wakefield , Ali Shojaie

When analyzing real-world data it is common to work with event ensembles, which comprise sets of observations that collectively constrain the parameters of an underlying model of interest. Such models often have a hierarchical structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Lukas Heinrich , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma , Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

We present an econometric framework that adapts tools for scenario analysis, such as variants of conditional forecasts and generalized impulse responses, for use with dynamic nonparametric models. The proposed algorithms are based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang

Stochastic volatility models that treat the variance of a time series as a stochastic process have proven to be important tools for analyzing dynamic variability. Current methods for fitting and conducting inference on stochastic volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Gehui Zhang , Gong Tang , Lori Scott , Robert T Krafty

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

Study of time series data often involves measuring the strength of temporal dependence, on which statistical properties like consistency and central limit theorem are built. Historically, various dependence measures have been proposed. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Fang Han , Weibiao Wu

Multiple imputation has become one of the standard methods in drawing inferences in many incomplete data applications. Applications of multiple imputation in relatively more complex settings, such as high-dimensional clustered data, require…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

In this paper we aim to improve existing empirical exchange rate models by accounting for uncertainty with respect to the underlying structural representation. Within a flexible Bayesian non-linear time series framework, our modeling…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber

Modeling of longitudinal data often requires diffusion models that incorporate overall time-dependent, nonlinear dynamics of multiple components and provide sufficient flexibility for subject-specific modeling. This complexity challenges…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-31 Mareile Große Ruse , Adeline Samson , Susanne Ditlevsen

This work introduces a novel, simple, and flexible method to quantify irreversibility in generic high-dimensional time series based on the well-known mapping to a binary classification problem. Our approach utilizes gradient boosting for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-09 Michele Vodret , Cristiano Pacini , Christian Bongiorno

Empirical growth analysis has three major problems --- variable selection, parameter heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence --- which are addressed independently from each other in most studies. The purpose of this study is to propose…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-20 Guohua Feng , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

This paper introduces a version of empirical likelihood based on the periodogram and spectral estimating equations. This formulation handles dependent data through a data transformation (i.e., a Fourier transform) and is developed in terms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Daniel J. Nordman , Soumendra N. Lahiri

The abundance of models of complex networks and the current insufficient validation standards make it difficult to judge which models are strongly supported by data and which are not. We focus here on likelihood maximization methods for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-26 Matus Medo
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