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As deep Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) frameworks become more widely used for modeling biomolecular simulation data, we emphasize the capability of the VAE architecture to concurrently maximize the timescale of the latent space while…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-12-08 Hannah K. Wayment-Steele , Vijay S. Pande

This paper solves a new class of optimization problems under uncertainty, called Probable Event Constrained Optimization (PECO), which optimizes an objective function of decision variables and subjects to a set of Probable Event Constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Qifeng Li

Audio-Visual Video Parsing (AVVP) entails the challenging task of localizing both uni-modal events (i.e., those occurring exclusively in either the visual or acoustic modality of a video) and multi-modal events (i.e., those occurring in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Yung-Hsuan Lai , Janek Ebbers , Yu-Chiang Frank Wang , François Germain , Michael Jeffrey Jones , Moitreya Chatterjee

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- hierarchical structure, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical branching diffusion with…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-02 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Sayaka Olsen , Ilya Zaliapin

Vector quantization is a fundamental technique for compression and large-scale nearest neighbor search. For high-accuracy operating points, multi-codebook quantization associates data vectors with one element from each of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Théophane Vallaeys , Matthew Muckley , Jakob Verbeek , Matthijs Douze

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

This study presents a novel approach to quantifying uncertainties in Bayesian model updating, which is effective in sparse or single observations. Conventional uncertainty quantification metrics such as the Euclidean and Bhattacharyya…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-14 Sangwon Lee , Taro Yaoyama , Yuma Matsumoto , Takenori Hida , Tatsuya Itoi

In recent decades, new methods and approaches have been developed for forecasting intermittent demand series. However, the majority of research has focused on point forecasting, with little exploration into probabilistic intermittent demand…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-16 Shengjie Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos

With the advancement of GPS, remote sensing, and computational simulations, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected at an increasing speed. Such emerging spatiotemporal big data assets, together with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang

Extreme events are of great importance since they often represent impactive occurrences. For instance, in terms of climate and weather, extreme events might be major storms, floods, extreme heat or cold waves, and more. However, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Jimeng Shi , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Geoscience and seismology have utilized the most advanced technologies and equipment to monitor seismic events globally from the past few decades. With the enormous amount of data, modern GPU-powered deep learning presents a promising…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-14 Bo Feng , Geoffrey C. Fox

Accurately quantifying uncertainty in predictions and projections arising from irreducible internal climate variability is critical for informed decision making. Such uncertainty is typically assessed using ensembles produced with physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Parsa Gooya , Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso , Johannes Exenberger

Near-term quantum computers are accessed through repeated circuit executions, which produce finite measurement records rather than exact deterministic outputs. In quantum reservoir computing, these records are converted to feature vectors…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-01 Markus Baumann , Maximilian Zorn , Thomas Gabor , Claudia Linnhoff-Popien , Jonas Stein

Accurate weather forecasting holds significant importance, serving as a crucial tool for decision-making in various industrial sectors. The limitations of statistical models, assuming independence among data points, highlight the need for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Anuvab Sen , Udayon Sen , Mayukhi Paul , Apurba Prasad Padhy , Sujith Sai , Aakash Mallik , Chhandak Mallick

The uncertainty quantification (UQ) for partial differential equations (PDEs) with random parameters is important for science and engineering. Forward UQ quantifies the impact of random parameters on the solution or the quantity-of-interest…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Zhao Zhang , Na Ou

Visual querying is essential for interactively exploring massive trajectory data. However, the data uncertainty imposes profound challenges to fulfill advanced analytics requirements. On the one hand, many underlying data does not contain…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Zhaosong Huang , Ye Zhao , Wei Chen , Shengjie Gao , Kejie Yu , Weixia Xu , Mingjie Tang , Minfeng Zhu , Mingliang Xu

Informative gradients are often lost in large batch updates. We propose a robust mechanism to reinforce the sparse components within a random batch of data points. A finite queue of online gradients is used to determine their expected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Irfan Mohammad Al Hasib

In this work we explore how quantum scientific machine learning can be used to tackle the challenge of weather modelling. Using parameterised quantum circuits as machine learning models, we consider two paradigms: supervised learning from…

We propose a framework for general probabilistic multi-step time series regression. Specifically, we exploit the expressiveness and temporal nature of Sequence-to-Sequence Neural Networks (e.g. recurrent and convolutional structures), the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Ruofeng Wen , Kari Torkkola , Balakrishnan Narayanaswamy , Dhruv Madeka

Multi-modal tasks involving vision and language in deep learning continue to rise in popularity and are leading to the development of newer models that can generalize beyond the extent of their training data. The current models lack…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Ethan Shen , Scotty Singh , Bhavesh Kumar