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The Artificial Prediction Market is a recent machine learning technique for multi-class classification, inspired from the financial markets. It involves a number of trained market participants that bet on the possible outcomes and are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-18 Nathan Lay , Adrian Barbu

We present a new model for prediction markets, in which we use risk measures to model agents and introduce a market maker to describe the trading process. This specific choice on modelling tools brings us mathematical convenience. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Jinli Hu , Amos Storkey

Classification algorithms aim to predict an unknown label (e.g., a quality class) for a new instance (e.g., a product). Therefore, training samples (instances and labels) are used to deduct classification hypotheses. Often, it is relatively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Daniel Kottke , Jim Schellinger , Denis Huseljic , Bernhard Sick

Algorithmic fairness has emerged as a central issue in ML, and it has become standard practice to adjust ML algorithms so that they will satisfy fairness requirements such as Equal Opportunity. In this paper we consider the effects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Ronen Gradwohl , Eilam Shapira , Moshe Tennenholtz

Firms engaged in electronic commerce increasingly rely on predictive analytics via machine-learning algorithms to drive a wide array of managerial decisions. The tuning of many standard machine learning algorithms can be understood as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Yiding Feng , Ronen Gradwohl , Jason Hartline , Aleck Johnsen , Denis Nekipelov

Equilibrium computation in markets usually considers settings where player valuation functions are known. We consider the setting where player valuations are unknown; using a PAC learning-theoretic framework, we analyze some classes of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Vignesh Viswanathan , Omer Lev , Neel Patel , Yair Zick

We study the problem of collaborative machine learning markets where multiple parties can achieve improved performance on their machine learning tasks by combining their training data. We discuss desired properties for these machine…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Olga Ohrimenko , Shruti Tople , Sebastian Tschiatschek

We introduce and analyse active learning markets as a way to purchase labels, in situations where analysts aim to acquire additional data to improve model fitting, or to better train models for predictive analytics applications. This comes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Xiwen Huang , Pierre Pinson

Matching markets are of particular interest in computer science and economics literature as they are often used to model real-world phenomena where we aim to equitably distribute a limited amount of resources to multiple agents and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Andrew Yang , Bruce Changlong Xu , Ivan Villa-Renteria

In most machine learning applications, classification accuracy is not the primary metric of interest. Binary classifiers which face class imbalance are often evaluated by the $F_\beta$ score, area under the precision-recall curve, Precision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Alan Mackey , Xiyang Luo , Elad Eban

We study the competition for partners in two-sided matching markets with heterogeneous agent preferences, with a focus on how the equilibrium outcomes depend on the connectivity in the market. We model random partially connected markets,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Yash Kanoria , Seungki Min , Pengyu Qian

The problem of identifying to which of a given set of classes objects belong is ubiquitous, occurring in many research domains and application areas, including medical diagnosis, financial decision making, online commerce, and national…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 David J. Hand , Peter Christen , Sumayya Ziyad

Prediction markets are used in real life to predict outcomes of interest such as presidential elections. This paper presents a mathematical theory of artificial prediction markets for supervised learning of conditional probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-18 Adrian Barbu , Nathan Lay

Search engines intentionally influence user behavior by picking and ranking the list of results. Users engage with the highest results both because of their prominent placement and because they are typically the most relevant documents.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Richard Demsyn-Jones

We study the problem of online learning in two-sided non-stationary matching markets, where the objective is to converge to a stable match. In particular, we consider the setting where one side of the market, the arms, has fixed known set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Deepan Muthirayan , Chinmay Maheshwari , Pramod P. Khargonekar , Shankar Sastry

Artificial Intelligence has gained a lot of traction in the recent years, with machine learning notably starting to see more applications across a varied range of fields. One specific machine learning application that is of interest to us…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Teodor Rares Begu

This papers studies how competition affects machine learning (ML) predictors. As ML becomes more ubiquitous, it is often deployed by companies to compete over customers. For example, digital platforms like Yelp use ML to predict user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Antonio Ginart , Eva Zhang , Yongchan Kwon , James Zou

We explore the striking mathematical connections that exist between market scoring rules, cost function based prediction markets, and no-regret learning. We show that any cost function based prediction market can be interpreted as an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-03-02 Yiling Chen , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

Machine learning (ML) is increasingly being used in high-stakes applications impacting society. Therefore, it is of critical importance that ML models do not propagate discrimination. Collecting accurate labeled data in societal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Hadis Anahideh , Abolfazl Asudeh , Saravanan Thirumuruganathan

Machine learning (ML) is increasingly being used in high-stakes applications impacting society. Therefore, it is of critical importance that ML models do not propagate discrimination. Collecting accurate labeled data in societal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Hadis Anahideh , Abolfazl Asudeh , Saravanan Thirumuruganathan