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We present a new non-parametric statistic, called the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence, based on empirical distributions for sequential change detection. We start by constructing the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence as a fundamental building block…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie

We provide a general method to analyze the asymptotic properties of a variety of estimators of continuous time diffusion processes when the data are not only discretely sampled in time but the time separating successive observations may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yacine Ait-Sahalia , Per A. Mykland

Anomaly detection is a fundamental task for time series analytics with important implications for the downstream performance of many applications. Despite increasing academic interest and the large number of methods proposed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Emmanouil Sylligardos , John Paparrizos , Themis Palpanas , Pierre Senellart , Paul Boniol

Bayesian statistics emphasizes the importance of prior distributions, yet finding an appropriate one is practically challenging. When multiple sample results are taken regarding the frequency of the same event, these samples may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Yu-Fu Shen

We study a novel outlier detection problem that aims to identify abnormal input-output associations in data, whose instances consist of multi-dimensional input (context) and output (responses) pairs. We present our approach that works by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-04 Charmgil Hong , Siqi Liu , Milos Hauskrecht

Change point detection in high dimensional data has found considerable interest in recent years. Most of the literature either designs methodology for a retrospective analysis, where the whole sample is already available when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Josua Gösmann , Christina Stoehr , Johannes Heiny , Holger Dette

In this paper, we consider sequential online prediction (SOP) for streaming data in the presence of outliers and change points. We propose an INstant TEmporal structure Learning (INTEL) algorithm to address this problem. Our INTEL algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Bin Liu , Yu Qi , Ke-Jia Chen

Most of existing outlier detection methods assume that the outlier factors (i.e., outlierness scoring measures) of data entities (e.g., feature values and data objects) are Independent and Identically Distributed (IID). This assumption does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Guansong Pang , Longbing Cao , Ling Chen

We propose an inlier-based outlier detection method capable of both identifying the outliers and explaining why they are outliers, by identifying the outlier-specific features. Specifically, we employ an inlier-based outlier detection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-22 Makoto Yamada , Song Liu , Samuel Kaski

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

We address the problem of data-driven pattern identification and outlier detection in time series. To this end, we use singular value decomposition (SVD) which is a well-known technique to compute a low-rank approximation for an arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Abdolrahman Khoshrou , Eric J. Pauwels

Time-series anomaly detection, which detects errors and failures in a workflow, is one of the most important topics in real-world applications. The purpose of time-series anomaly detection is to reduce potential damages or losses. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Jinsung Jeon , Jaehyeon Park , Sewon Park , Jeongwhan Choi , Minjung Kim , Noseong Park

This paper introduces two sample-based formulations of incremental input/output-to-state stability (i-IOSS), a suitable detectability notion for general nonlinear systems. In this work we consider the case of limited output information,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Isabelle Krauss , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

We consider learning a sequence classifier without labeled data by using sequential output statistics. The problem is highly valuable since obtaining labels in training data is often costly, while the sequential output statistics (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-30 Yu Liu , Jianshu Chen , Li Deng

Nonstationarity of the event rate is a persistent problem in modeling time series of events, such as neuronal spike trains. Motivated by a variety of patterns in neurophysiological spike train recordings, we define a general class of…

We propose a simple multiple outlier identification method for parametric location-scale and shape-scale models when the number of possible outliers is not specified. The method is based on a result giving asymptotic properties of extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Vilijandas Bagdonavicius , Linas Petkevicius

Outlier detection is a significant area in data mining. It can be either used to pre-process the data prior to an analysis or post the processing phase (before visualization) depending on the effectiveness of the outlier and its importance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-22 Jacob John

We consider the problem of detecting an odd process among a group of Poisson point processes, all having the same rate except the odd process. The actual rates of the odd and non-odd processes are unknown to the decision maker. We consider…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-24 Nidhin Koshy Vaidhiyan , Rajesh Sundaresan

This paper describes a methodology for detecting anomalies from sequentially observed and potentially noisy data. The proposed approach consists of two main elements: (1) {\em filtering}, or assigning a belief or likelihood to each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Maxim Raginsky , Rebecca Willett , Corinne Horn , Jorge Silva , Roummel Marcia

Change point detection in time series has attracted substantial interest, but most of the existing results have been focused on detecting change points in the time domain. This paper considers the situation where nonlinear time series have…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Yan Cui , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou