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In the analysis of complex networks, centrality measures and community structures play pivotal roles. For multilayer networks, a critical challenge lies in effectively integrating information across diverse layers while accounting for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Zhuoye Han , Tiandong Wang , Zhiliang Ying

A class of random graph models is considered, combining features of exponential-family models and latent structure models, with the goal of retaining the strengths of both of them while reducing the weaknesses of each of them. An open…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-21 Sergii Babkin , Jonathan Stewart , Xiaochen Long , Michael Schweinberger

The failure of key financial institutions may accelerate risk contagion due to their interconnections within the system. In this paper, we propose a robust portfolio strategy to mitigate systemic risks during extreme events. We use the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Qian Hui , Tiandong Wang

The spectral measure plays a key role in the statistical modeling of multivariate extremes. Estimation of the spectral measure is a complex issue, given the need to obey a certain moment condition. We propose a Euclidean likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-17 Miguel de Carvalho , Boris Oumow , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

A main focus in economics research is understanding the time series of prices of goods and assets. While statistical models using only the properties of the time series itself have been successful in many aspects, we expect to gain a better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-15 Dániel Kondor , István Csabai , János Szüle , Márton Pósfai , Gábor Vattay

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

Online social systems are multiplex in nature as multiple links may exist between the same two users across different social networks. In this work, we introduce a framework for studying links and interactions between users beyond the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-01 Desislava Hristova , Anastasios Noulas , Chloë Brown , Mirco Musolesi , Cecilia Mascolo

Link prediction in multilayer networks is a key challenge in applications such as recommendation systems and protein-protein interaction prediction. While many techniques have been developed, most rely on assumptions about shared structures…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-17 Yongqin Qiu , Xinyu Zhang

The interbank market has a natural multiplex network representation. We employ a unique database of supervisory reports of Italian banks to the Banca d'Italia that includes all bilateral exposures broken down by maturity and by the secured…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-20 Leonardo Bargigli , Giovanni di Iasio , Luigi Infante , Fabrizio Lillo , Federico Pierobon

Multilayer networks preserve full information about the different interactions among the constituents of a complex system, and have recently proven quite useful in modelling transportation networks, social circles, and the human brain. A…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-29 Andrea Santoro , Vincenzo Nicosia

We address the challenge of inferring causal effects in social network data. This results in challenges due to interference -- where a unit's outcome is affected by neighbors' treatments -- and network-induced confounding factors. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Seyedeh Baharan Khatami , Harsh Parikh , Haowei Chen , Sudeepa Roy , Babak Salimi

Motivated by the recent surge of criminal activities with cross-cryptocurrency trades, we introduce a new topological perspective to structural anomaly detection in dynamic multilayer networks. We postulate that anomalies in the underlying…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Dorcas Ofori-Boateng , Ignacio Segovia Dominguez , Murat Kantarcioglu , Cuneyt G. Akcora , Yulia R. Gel

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

Codifference is a commonly used measure of dependence for stable vectors and processes for which covariance is infinite. However, we argue that it can also be used for other heavy-tail distributions and it provides useful information for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Jakub Ślęzak

The stability of a complex financial system may be assessed by measuring risk contagion between various financial institutions with relatively high exposure. We consider a financial network model using a bipartite graph of financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Flexible spatial models that allow transitions between tail dependence classes have recently appeared in the literature. However, inference for these models is computationally prohibitive, even in moderate dimensions, due to the necessity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Though the studies of social contagions are regularly borrowing network models to study the propagation of social influences and opinions to include social heterogeneity. Such studies provide valuable insights regarding these, but the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-28 Dibyajyoti Mallick , Kumar Gaurav , Saumik Bhattacharya , Sayantari Ghosh

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

This paper proposes a new mutual independence test for a large number of high dimensional random vectors. The test statistic is based on the characteristic function of the empirical spectral distribution of the sample covariance matrix. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-31 G. M. Pan , J. Gao , Y. Yang , M. Guo

We study the method for detecting relationship changes in financial markets and providing human-interpretable network visualization to support the decision-making of fund managers dealing with multi-assets. First, we construct co-occurrence…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Makoto Naraoka , Teruaki Hayashi , Takaaki Yoshino , Toshiaki Sugie , Kota Takano , Yukio Ohsawa