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A popular measure of association is the tail dependence coefficient which measures the strength of dependence in either the lower-left or upper-right tail of a bivariate distribution. In this paper, we develop the idea of quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-09 A. Dastbaravarde , A. Dolati

A key question in many network studies is whether the observed correlations between units are primarily due to contagion or latent confounding. Here, we study this question using a segregated graph (Shpitser, 2015) representation of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Yufeng Wu , Rohit Bhattacharya

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

Hypergraphs, capable of representing high-order interactions via hyperedges, have become a powerful tool for modeling real-world biological and social systems. Inherent relationships within these real-world systems, such as the encoding…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Li Ni , Ziqi Deng , Lin Mu , Lei Zhang , Wenjian Luo , Yiwen Zhang

Determining the causes of extreme events is a fundamental question in many scientific fields. An important aspect when modelling multivariate extremes is the tail dependence. In application, the extreme dependence structure may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Juraj Bodik , Linda Mhalla , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

With the rapid development of digital platforms, users can now interact in endless ways from writing business reviews and comments to sharing information with their friends and followers. As a result, organizations have numerous digital…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Yiguang Zhang , Kristen Altenburger , Poppy Zhang , Tsutomu Okano , Shawndra Hill

We propose a novel extremal dependence measure called the partial tail-correlation coefficient (PTCC), in analogy to the partial correlation coefficient in classical multivariate analysis. The construction of our new coefficient is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-23 Yan Gong , Peng Zhong , Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser

Extremal dependence between international stock markets is of particular interest in today's global financial landscape. However, previous studies have shown this dependence is not necessarily stationary over time. We concern ourselves with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-06 Daniela Castro Camilo , Miguel de Carvalho , Jennifer Wadsworth

Regular variation is often used as the starting point for modeling multivariate heavy-tailed data. A random vector is regularly varying if and only if its radial part $R$ is regularly varying and is asymptotically independent of the angular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Phyllis Wan , Richard A. Davis

In this paper, we study the task of detecting the edge dependency between two weighted random graphs. We formulate this task as a simple hypothesis testing problem, where under the null hypothesis, the two observed graphs are statistically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Mor Oren , Vered Paslev , Wasim Huleihel

We propose a distance supervised relation extraction approach for long-tailed, imbalanced data which is prevalent in real-world settings. Here, the challenge is to learn accurate "few-shot" models for classes existing at the tail of the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Ningyu Zhang , Shumin Deng , Zhanlin Sun , Guanying Wang , Xi Chen , Wei Zhang , Huajun Chen

When dealing with spreading processes on networks it can be of the utmost importance to test the reliability of data and identify potential unobserved spreading paths. In this paper we address these problems and propose methods for hidden…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-18 Łukasz G. Gajewski , Jan Chołoniewski , Mateusz Wilinski

In this paper, we study the problem of robust influence maximization in the independent cascade model under a hyperparametric assumption. In social networks users influence and are influenced by individuals with similar characteristics and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Dimitris Kalimeris , Gal Kaplun , Yaron Singer

Correlations in complex systems are often obscured by nonstationarity, long-range memory, and heavy-tailed fluctuations, which limit the usefulness of traditional covariance-based analyses. To address these challenges, we construct scale…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-09 Stanisław Drożdż , Paweł Jarosz , Jarosław Kwapień , Maria Skupień , Marcin Wątorek

We introduce the concept of geometric extremal graphical models, which are defined through the gauge function of the limit set obtained from suitably scaled random vectors in light-tailed margins. For block graphs, we prove results relating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jennifer Wadsworth

Information on social media spreads through an underlying diffusion network that connects people of common interests and opinions. This diffusion network often comprises multiple layers, each capturing the spreading dynamics of a certain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Yan Xia , Ted Hsuan Yun Chen , Mikko Kivelä

We propose a multivariate generative model to capture the complex dependence structure often encountered in business and financial data. Our model features heterogeneous and asymmetric tail dependence between all pairs of individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Xiangqian Sun , Xing Yan , Qi Wu

Multilayer networks have become increasingly ubiquitous across diverse scientific fields, ranging from social sciences and biology to economics and international relations. Despite their broad applications, the inferential theory for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Zhaozhe Liu , Gongjun Xu , Haoran Zhang

Balance theory explains the forces behind the structure of social systems, which are commonly modeled as static undirected signed networks. We expand this modeling approach to incorporate directionality of edges, and consider three levels…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Samin Aref , Ly Dinh , Rezvaneh Rezapour , Jana Diesner

To draw inference on serial extremal dependence within heavy-tailed Markov chains, Drees, Segers and Warcho{\l} [Extremes (2015) 18, 369--402] proposed nonparametric estimators of the spectral tail process. The methodology can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 R. A. Davis , H. Drees , J. Segers , M. Warchoł
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