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A typical problem in air pollution epidemiology is exposure assessment for individuals for which health data are available. Due to the sparsity of monitoring sites and the limited temporal frequency with which measurements of air pollutants…

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important variable for forecasting severe weather and understanding deep convection and precipitation. The latest versions of the Global Forecast System (GFS) and related Global Ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness , Arthur DeGaetano

Precipitation nowcasting predicts future radar sequences based on current observations, which is a highly challenging task driven by the inherent complexity of the Earth system. Accurate nowcasting is of utmost importance for addressing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yifang Yin , Shengkai Chen , Yiyao Li , Lu Wang , Ruibing Jin , Wei Cui , Shili Xiang

When exposure measurement error (EME), confounder measurement error (CME), or both are present, health effect estimates regarding exposure mixtures and critical exposure time-window may not represent the true effects. For example, in air…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Honghyok Kim

Air quality prediction plays a crucial role in public health and environmental protection. Accurate air quality prediction is a complex multivariate spatiotemporal problem, that involves interactions across temporal patterns, pollutant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Hang Yin , Yan-Ming Zhang , Jian Xu , Jian-Long Chang , Yin Li , Cheng-Lin Liu

Current AI weather forecasting models predict conventional atmospheric variables but cannot distinguish between cloud microphysical species critical for aviation safety. We introduce AviaSafe, a hierarchical, physics-informed neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Zijian Zhu , Qiusheng Huang , Anboyu Guo , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a classical and ubiquitous method for reducing data dimensionality, but it is suboptimal for heterogeneous data that are increasingly common in modern applications. PCA treats all samples uniformly so…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-02 David Hong , Kyle Gilman , Laura Balzano , Jeffrey A. Fessler

Traffic forecasting is crucial for transportation systems optimisation. Current models minimise the mean forecasting errors, often favouring periodic events prevalent in the training data, while overlooking critical aperiodic ones like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Xinyu Su , Feng Liu , Yanchuan Chang , Egemen Tanin , Majid Sarvi , Jianzhong Qi

Poor air quality has become an increasingly critical challenge for many metropolitan cities, which carries many catastrophicphysical and mental consequences on human health and quality of life. However, accurately monitoring and forecasting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-03 Qi Zhang , Jacqueline CK Lam , Victor OK Li , Yang Han

Air contamination in urban areas has risen consistently over the past few years. Due to expanding industrialization and increasing concentration of toxic gases in the climate, the air is getting more poisonous step by step at an alarming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Satvik Garg , Himanshu Jindal

The effectiveness of univariate forecasting models is often hampered by conditions that cause them stress. A model is considered to be under stress if it shows a negative behaviour, such as higher-than-usual errors or increased uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Ricardo Inácio , Vitor Cerqueira , Marília Barandas , Carlos Soares

Air quality monitoring requires to produce accurate estimation of nitrogen dioxide or fine particulate matter concentration maps, at different moments. A typical strategy is to combine different types of data. On the one hand, concentration…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-13 Benjamin Auder , Camille Coron , Jean-Michel Poggi , Emma Thulliez

Global AI weather forecasting still relies mainly on uniform-resolution models, making it hard to combine regional refinement, two-way regional-global coupling, and affordable training cost. We introduce StretchCast, a global-regional AI…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Jin Feng

Accurate air pollution forecasting plays a crucial role in controlling air quality and minimizing adverse effects on human life. Among pollutants, atmospheric particulate matter (PM) is particularly significant, affecting both visibility…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-19 Sean Jeon , Seungmin Han

Air pollution in urban areas has severe consequences for both human health and the environment, predominantly caused by exhaust emissions from vehicles. To address the issue of air pollution awareness, Air Pollution Monitoring systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Hemanth Karnati

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme precipitation events, making weather disasters such as flooding and landslides more likely. The ability to accurately nowcast precipitation is therefore becoming more critical for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Daniel Seal , Rossella Arcucci , Salva Rühling-Cachay , César Quilodrán-Casas

Air pollution constitutes the highest environmental risk factor in relation to heath. In order to provide the evidence required for health impact analyses, to inform policy and to develop potential mitigation strategies comprehensive…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-23 Matthew L. Thomas , Gavin Shaddick , Daniel Simpson , Kees de Hoogh , James V. Zidek

Accurate and timely weather forecasts are critical for high-impact decisions in modern society. Machine-learning-based weather prediction is emerging as an alternative for producing initial conditions, forecasts, and even both in end-to-end…

Estimation of the long-term health effects of air pollution is a challenging task, especially when modelling small-area disease incidence data in an ecological study design. The challenge comes from the unobserved underlying spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-24 Duncan Lee , Alastair Rushworth , Sujit K. Sahu

Air pollution is a crucial issue affecting human health and livelihoods, as well as one of the barriers to economic and social growth. Forecasting air quality has become an increasingly important endeavor with significant social impacts,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-30 Yuxuan Liang , Yutong Xia , Songyu Ke , Yiwei Wang , Qingsong Wen , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng , Roger Zimmermann
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