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How and why stock prices move is a centuries-old question still not answered conclusively. More recently, attention shifted to higher frequencies, where trades are processed piecewise across different timescales. Here we reveal that price…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Felix Patzelt , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We compare the predictions of the stationary Kyle model, a microfounded multi-step linear price impact model in which market prices forecast fundamentals through information encoded in the order flow, with those of the propagator model, a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Michele Vodret , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Bence Tóth , Michael Benzaquen

We respond to the issues discussed by Farmer and Lillo (FL) related to our proposed approach to understanding the origin of power-law distributions in stock price fluctuations. First, we extend our previous analysis to 1000 US stocks and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Vasiliki Plerou , Parameswaran Gopikrishnan , Xavier Gabaix , H. Eugene Stanley

In Part II of this paper, we concentrate our analysis on the price dynamical model with the moving average rules developed in Part I of this paper. By decomposing the excessive demand function, we reveal that it is the interplay between…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-18 Li-Xin Wang

In financial markets, the order flow, defined as the process assuming value one for buy market orders and minus one for sell market orders, displays a very slowly decaying autocorrelation function. Since orders impact prices, reconciling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 Damian Eduardo Taranto , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

This work extends and complements our previous theoretical paper on the subtle interplay between impact, order flow and volatility. In the present paper, we generate synthetic market data following the specification of that paper and show…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Guillaume Maitrier , Grégoire Loeper , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We develop a theory for the market impact of large trading orders, which we call metaorders because they are typically split into small pieces and executed incrementally. Market impact is empirically observed to be a concave function of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-30 J. Doyne Farmer , Austin Gerig , Fabrizio Lillo , Henri Waelbroeck

Recent technological development has enabled researchers to study social phenomena scientifically in detail and financial markets has particularly attracted physicists since the Brownian motion has played the key role as in physics. In our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-04 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Takumi Sueshige , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

The goal of this paper is to disentangle the roles of volume and of participation rate in the price response of the market to a sequence of transactions. To do so, we are inspired the methodology introduced in arXiv:1402.1288,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-01 Bruno Durin , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

We study the price impact of order book events - limit orders, market orders and cancelations - using the NYSE TAQ data for 50 U.S. stocks. We show that, over short time intervals, price changes are mainly driven by the order flow…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Rama Cont , Arseniy Kukanov , Sasha Stoikov

We study the effect of investor inertia on stock price fluctuations with a market microstructure model comprising many small investors who are inactive most of the time. It turns out that semi-Markov processes are tailor made for modelling…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

In this research, we have empirically investigated the key drivers affecting liquidity in equity markets. We illustrated how theoretical models, such as Kyle's model, of agents' interplay in the financial markets, are aligned with the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Anastasia Bugaenko

We generalise the description of the dynamics of the order book of financial markets in terms of a Brownian particle embedded in a fluid of incoming, exiting and annihilating particles by presenting a model of the velocity on each side (buy…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-26 Yoshihiro Yura , Hideki Takayasu , Didier Sornette , Misako Takayasu

This paper introduces a novel algorithm for generating realistic metaorders from public trade data, addressing a longstanding challenge in price impact research that has traditionally relied on proprietary datasets. Our method effectively…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Guillaume Maitrier , Grégoire Loeper , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The notion of market impact is subtle and sometimes misinterpreted. Here we argue that impact should not be misconstrued as volatility. In particular, the so-called ``square-root impact law'', which states that impact grows as the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-14 Frédéric Bucci , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We revisit the "epsilon-intelligence" model of Toth et al.(2011), that was proposed as a minimal framework to understand the square-root dependence of the impact of meta-orders on volume in financial markets. The basic idea is that most of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-23 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Bence Toth , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We propose and study a simple stochastic model for the dynamics of a limit order book, in which arrivals of market order, limit orders and order cancellations are described in terms of a Markovian queueing system. Through its analytical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Rama Cont , Adrien De Larrard

We present an extended version of the recently proposed "LLOB" model for the dynamics of latent liquidity in financial markets. By allowing for finite cancellation and deposition rates within a continuous reaction-diffusion setup, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-18 Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud