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Related papers: Estimating Magnitude Completeness in Earthquake Ca…

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The $b$-value in earthquake magnitude-frequency distribution quantifies the relative frequency of large versus small earthquakes. Monitoring its evolution could provide fundamental insights into temporal variations of stress on different…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-06-19 Eugenio Lippiello , Giuseppe Petrillo

We propose a probabilistic approach to modeling catalog incompleteness through four candidate augmented Gutenberg-Richter (GR) laws, which incorporates incompleteness into the frequency-magnitude distribution (FMD) using two parameters, mc,…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-23 Jiawei Li , Xinyi Wang , Didier Sornette

Machine learning regression can predict macroscopic fault properties such as shear stress, friction, and time to failure using continuous records of fault zone acoustic emissions. Here we show that a similar approach is successful using…

The b-value, which controls the slope of the frequency-magnitude distribution of earthquakes, is a critical parameter in seismic forecasting. However, accurately measuring the true b-value is challenging due to the temporal and spatial…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-08 Eugenio Lippiello , Cataldo Godano , Giuseppe Petrillo

Machine learning (ML) catalogs contain many more earthquakes than routine catalogs, but their performance in phase picking and earthquake detection has not been fully evaluated. We develop station-level detection probabilities using…

The rapid proliferation of deep-learning-based detection and association methods has greatly expanded automatically generated earthquake catalogs, but has also introduced false detections, mis-associated arrivals, and poorly constrained…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Ziye Yu , Jinqing Sun , Yuqi Cai , Zemin Liu , Pingping Wu , Xin Liu , Jiayan Tan

Earthquakes are commonly estimated using physical seismic stations, however, due to the installation requirements and costs of these stations, global coverage quickly becomes impractical. An efficient and lower-cost alternative is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Daniele Rege Cambrin , Isaac Corley , Paolo Garza , Peyman Najafirad

We propose two methods to calibrate the parameters of the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model based on expectation maximization (EM) while accounting for temporal variation of catalog completeness. The first method allows for…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-05 Leila Mizrahi , Shyam Nandan , Stefan Wiemer

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

Earthquake occurrence is notoriously difficult to predict. While some aspects of their spatiotemporal statistics can be relatively well captured by point-process models, very little is known regarding the magnitude of future events, and it…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-29 Neri Berman , Oleg Zlydenko , Oren Gilon , Yossi Matias , Yohai Bar-Sinai

The $b$-value in the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law contains information that is essential for evaluating earthquake hazard and predicting the occurrence of large earthquakes. Estimates of $b$ are often based on seismic events whose magnitude…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-03-19 Jesper Martinsson , Adam Jonsson

Deep learning techniques for processing large and complex datasets have unlocked new opportunities for fast and reliable earthquake analysis using Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data. This work presents a deep learning model,…

We present the "condensation" method that exploits the heterogeneity of the probability distribution functions (PDF) of event locations to improve the spatial information content of seismic catalogs. The method reduces the size of seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-09-02 Y. Kamer , G. Ouillon , D. Sornette , J. Woessner

Earthquake catalog declustering is the procedure of separating event clusters from background seismicity, which is an important task in statistical seismology, earthquake forecasting, and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Several…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-14 Robert Shcherbakov , Sidhanth Kothari

We present a new method of data clustering applied to earthquake catalogs, with the goal of reconstructing the seismically active part of fault networks. We first use an original method to separate clustered events from uncorrelated…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

Earthquake prediction has been a challenging research area for many decades, where the future occurrence of this highly uncertain calamity is predicted. In this paper, several parametric and non-parametric features were calculated, where…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-25 Gunbir Singh Baveja , Jaspreet Singh

Investment in measuring a process more completely or accurately is only useful if these improvements can be utilised during modelling and inference. We consider how improvements to data quality over time can be incorporated when selecting a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Zak Varty , Jonathan A. Tawn , Peter M. Atkinson , Stijn Bierman

Performing Bayesian inference for the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model of earthquakes typically requires MCMC sampling using the likelihood function or estimating the latent branching structure. These tasks have computational…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-29 Samuel Stockman , Daniel J. Lawson , Maximilian J. Werner

Above the magnitude of completeness - the minimum threshold for which a 100\% detection rate is assumed - earthquake magnitudes are typically modeled as a continuous exponential distribution. In practice, however, earthquake catalogs report…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Angela Stallone , Ilaria Spassiani

In this study we develop a single-station deep-learning approach for fast and reliable estimation of earthquake magnitude directly from raw waveforms. We design a regressor composed of convolutional and recurrent neural networks that is not…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-02-05 S. Mostafa Mousavi , Gregory C. Beroza
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