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Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Levy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alexandre Brouste , Hiroki Masuda

This paper studies a method, which has been proposed in the Physics literature by [8, 7, 10], for estimating the quasi-stationary distribution. In contrast to existing methods in eigenvector estimation, the method eliminates the need for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

This paper is concerned with the problem of comparing the population means of two groups of independent observations. An approximate randomization test procedure based on the test statistic of Chen and Qin (2010) is proposed. The asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Rui Wang , Wangli Xu

The quasi-maximum likelihood estimation is a commonly-used method for estimating GARCH parameters. However, such estimators are sensitive to outliers and their asymptotic normality is proved under the finite fourth moment assumption on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

In this paper, we consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), with known flow and deterministic transition measure, and unknown jump rate $\lambda$. To estimate nonparametrically the jump rate, we first construct an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Nathalie Krell , Emeline Schmisser

This paper is concerned with estimation and inference for ultrahigh dimensional partially linear single-index models. The presence of high dimensional nuisance parameter and nuisance unknown function makes the estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Shijie Cui , Xu Guo , Zhe Zhang

We consider a generalization of the classifier-based density-ratio estimation task to a quasiprobabilistic setting where probability densities can be negative. The problem with most loss functions used for this task is that they implicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Matthew Drnevich , Stephen Jiggins , Kyle Cranmer

In this paper, we show that the adaptive multidimensional increment ratio estimator of the long range memory parameter defined in Bardet and Dola (2012) satisfies a central limit theorem (CLT in the sequel) for a large semiparametric class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Jean-Marc Bardet , Béchir Dola

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t)observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends to 0 and nDelta tends to infinity. We assume that (X_t) is ergodic, strictly stationary and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Emeline Schmisser

The complexity underlying real-world systems implies that standard statistical hypothesis testing methods may not be adequate for these peculiar applications. Specifically, we show that the likelihood-ratio test's null-distribution needs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Giona Casiraghi

We consider quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for general non-Gaussian discrete-ime linear state space models and equidistantly observed multivariate L\'evy-driven continuoustime autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

Empirical likelihood method has been applied to short-memory time series models by Monti (1997) through the Whittle's estimation method. Yau (2012) extended this idea to long-memory time series models. Asymptotic distributions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning , Arjun K. Gupta

We investigate nonparametric drift estimation for multidimensional jump diffusions based on continuous observations. The results are derived under anisotropic smoothness assumptions and the estimators' performance is measured in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Niklas Dexheimer

In this paper, we study formal synthesis of control policies for partially observed jump-diffusion systems against complex logic specifications. Given a state estimator, we utilize a discretization-free approach for formal synthesis of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-24 Niloofar Jahanshahi , Pushpak Jagtap , Majid Zamani

We derive a universal, exact asymptotic form of the splitting probability for symmetric continuous jump processes, which quantifies the probability $ \pi_{0,\underline{x}}(x_0)$ that the process crosses $x$ before 0 starting from a given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-12 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We aim at estimating the invariant density associated to a stochastic differential equation with jumps in low dimension, which is for $d=1$ and $d=2$. We consider a class of jump diffusion processes whose invariant density belongs to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Chiara Amorino , Eulalia Nualart

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

The aim of this paper is to examine the time scaling of the semivariance when returns are modeled by various types of jump-diffusion processes, including stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns and in volatility. In particular,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-06 Rodrigue Oeuvray , Pascal Junod