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Data likelihood of fire detection is the probability of the observed detection outcome given the state of the fire spread model. We derive fire detection likelihood of satellite data as a function of the fire arrival time on the model grid.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-16 James Haley , Angel Farguell Caus , Adam K. Kochanski , Sher Schranz , Jan Mandel

Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage, and often even components, however they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction skills are increasing with advances in numerical weather…

Nowcasting and forecasting of the radiation environment in the Earth's lower atmosphere are critical for the safety of aircraft and spacecraft crews and passengers. Currently, this problem is addressed by employing statistical and…

Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) path planning algorithms often assume a knowledge reward function or priority map, indicating the most important areas to visit. In this paper we propose a method to create priority maps for monitoring or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-28 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

Wildfires represent a problem for ecosystems, human activities, and economies, driven by the climate crisis and land-use changes. Predicting wildfire propagation through mathematical modelling is essential for damage mitigation and risk…

This research paper addresses the challenge of detecting obscured wildfires (when the fire flames are covered by trees, smoke, clouds, and other natural barriers) in real-time using drones equipped only with RGB cameras. We propose a novel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Uma Meleti , Abolfazl Razi

Big streams of Earth images from satellites or other platforms (e.g., drones and mobile phones) are becoming increasingly available at low or no cost and with enhanced spatial and temporal resolution. This thesis recognizes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Vasileios Sitokonstantinou

Glacier mapping is key to ecological monitoring in the hkh region. Climate change poses a risk to individuals whose livelihoods depend on the health of glacier ecosystems. In this work, we present a machine learning based approach to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Shimaa Baraka , Benjamin Akera , Bibek Aryal , Tenzing Sherpa , Finu Shresta , Anthony Ortiz , Kris Sankaran , Juan Lavista Ferres , Mir Matin , Yoshua Bengio

Early wildfire detection (EWD) is of the utmost importance to enable rapid response efforts, and thus minimize the negative impacts of wildfire spreads. To this end, we present PYRONEAR-2025, a new dataset composed of both images and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Mateo Lostanlen , Nicolas Isla , Jose Guillen , Renzo Zanca , Felix Veith , Cristian Buc , Valentin Barriere

Fighting wildfires is a precarious task, imperiling the lives of engaging firefighters and those who reside in the fire's path. Firefighters need online and dynamic observation of the firefront to anticipate a wildfire's unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-16 Esmaeil Seraj , Matthew Gombolay

We present the Wildland-fire Infrared Thermal (WIT-UAS) dataset for long-wave infrared sensing of crew and vehicle assets amidst prescribed wildland fire environments. While such a dataset is crucial for safety monitoring in wildland fire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Andrew Jong , Mukai Yu , Devansh Dhrafani , Siva Kailas , Brady Moon , Katia Sycara , Sebastian Scherer

State-of-the-art space science missions increasingly rely on automation due to spacecraft complexity and the costs of human oversight. The high volume of data, including scientific and telemetry data, makes manual inspection challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Pablo Gómez , Roland D. Vavrek , Guillermo Buenadicha , John Hoar , Sandor Kruk , Jan Reerink

Wildfire events have caused severe losses in many places around the world and are expected to increase with climate change. Throughout the years many technologies have been developed to identify fire events early on and to simulate fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Though machine learning has achieved notable success in modeling sequential and spatial data for speech recognition and in computer vision, applications to remote sensing and climate science problems are seldom considered. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Yimeng Min , S. Karthik Mukkavilli , Yoshua Bengio

Due to growing population and technological advances, global electricity consumption, and consequently also CO2 emissions are increasing. The residential sector makes up 25% of global electricity consumption and has great potential to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Vid Hanžel , Blaž Bertalanič , Carolina Fortuna

Monitoring of disasters is crucial for mitigating their effects on the environment and human population, and can be facilitated by the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), equipped with camera sensors that produce aerial photos of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-09 Andreas Kamilaris , Francesc X. Prenafeta-Boldú

Wildfires are an escalating global concern due to the devastating impacts on the environment, economy, and human health, with notable incidents such as the 2019-2020 Australian bushfires and the 2025 California wildfires underscoring the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Weihao Li , Hongjin Zhao , Gao Zhu , Ge-Peng Ji , Nicholas Wilson , Marta Yebra , Nick Barnes