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As the proportion of renewable energy and power electronics in the power system increases, modeling frequency dynamics under power deficits becomes more challenging. Although data-driven methods help mitigate these challenges, they are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-11 Qianni Cao , Chen Shen

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

This paper proposes a novel module called middle spectrum grouped convolution (MSGC) for efficient deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) with the mechanism of grouped convolution. It explores the broad "middle spectrum" area between…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Zhuo Su , Jiehua Zhang , Tianpeng Liu , Zhen Liu , Shuanghui Zhang , Matti Pietikäinen , Li Liu

Previously proposed FullSubNet has achieved outstanding performance in Deep Noise Suppression (DNS) Challenge and attracted much attention. However, it still encounters issues such as input-output mismatch and coarse processing for…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Jun Chen , Zilin Wang , Deyi Tuo , Zhiyong Wu , Shiyin Kang , Helen Meng

Volatility forecasts play a central role among equity risk measures. Besides traditional statistical models, modern forecasting techniques based on machine learning can be employed when treating volatility as a univariate, daily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-09 Fernando Moreno-Pino , Stefan Zohren

Financial time-series forecasting in real-world high-frequency markets is often hindered by delayed or partially stale observations caused by asynchronous data acquisition and transmission latency. To better reflect such practical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Tianyou Lai , Wentao Yue , Jiayi Zhou , Chaoyuan Hao , Lingke Chang , Qingyu Mao , Zhibo Niu , Qilei Li

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term series forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but more importantly, are unable to capture the global view of time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Time-Series (TS) exhibits pronounced non-stationarity. Consequently, most forecasting methods display compromised robustness to concept drift, despite the prevalent application of instance normalization. We tackle this challenge by first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Jing Chen , Xiao Wang , Yinglong Wang , Shuo Li

Accurate multi-step port-of-call sequence prediction is vital for tactical resource orchestration and logistical efficiency. However, existing methods struggle with unreliable voyage schedules and the inability of AIS data to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yanzhao Su , Fang He , Yineng Wang

Time series data, defined by equally spaced points over time, is essential in fields like medicine, telecommunications, and energy. Analyzing it involves tasks such as classification, clustering, prototyping, and regression. Classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Ali Ismail-Fawaz

Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

Momentum strategies are an important part of alternative investments and are at the heart of commodity trading advisors (CTAs). These strategies have, however, been found to have difficulties adjusting to rapid changes in market conditions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kieran Wood , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

Pre-training on time series poses a unique challenge due to the potential mismatch between pre-training and target domains, such as shifts in temporal dynamics, fast-evolving trends, and long-range and short-cyclic effects, which can lead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Xiang Zhang , Ziyuan Zhao , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marinka Zitnik

Long-term time series forecasting is a long-standing challenge in various applications. A central issue in time series forecasting is that methods should expressively capture long-term dependency. Furthermore, time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Xingyu Zhang , Siyu Zhao , Zeen Song , Huijie Guo , Jianqi Zhang , Changwen Zheng , Wenwen Qiang

In this paper, we investigate the problem of fast spectrum sharing in vehicle-to-everything communication. In order to improve the spectrum efficiency of the whole system, the spectrum of vehicle-to-infrastructure links is reused by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kai Huang , Le Liang , Shi Jin , Geoffrey Ye Li

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

In recent years, Transformer-based models (Transformers) have achieved significant success in multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, previous works focus on extracting features either from the time domain or the frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Nadra Guizani

Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Mingyi Zhu , Zhaoxin Li , Qiao Lin , Li Ding