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Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. This paper proposes CaReTS, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Chao Zheng , Xiaofei Han

Time series anomaly detection is critical for system monitoring and risk identification, across various domains, such as finance and healthcare. However, for most reconstruction-based approaches, detecting anomalies remains a challenge due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Wenxin Zhang , Ding Xu , Guangzhen Yao , Xiaojian Lin , Renxiang Guan , Chengze Du , Renda Han , Xi Xuan , Cuicui Luo

Recency bias is a useful inductive prior for sequential modeling: it emphasizes nearby observations and can still allow longer-range dependencies. Standard Transformer attention lacks this property, relying on all-to-all interactions that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Kareem Hegazy , Michael W. Mahoney , N. Benjamin Erichson

The self-attention mechanism, which equips with a strong capability of modeling long-range dependencies, is one of the extensively used techniques in the sequential recommendation field. However, many recent studies represent that current…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Xinyu Du , Huanhuan Yuan , Pengpeng Zhao , Jianfeng Qu , Fuzhen Zhuang , Guanfeng Liu , Victor S. Sheng

As large-scale time-series data can easily be found in real-world applications, multivariate time-series anomaly detection has played an essential role in diverse industries. It enables productivity improvement and maintenance cost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Heejeong Choi , Subin Kim , Pilsung Kang

Recent studies show that using diffusion models for time series signal reconstruction holds great promise. However, such approaches remain largely unexplored in the domain of medical time series. The unique characteristics of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Ci Zhang , Huayu Li , Changdi Yang , Jiangnan Xia , Yanzhi Wang , Xiaolong Ma , Jin Lu , Ao Li , Geng Yuan

Multimodal time series forecasting is crucial in real-world applications, where decisions depend on both numerical data and contextual signals. The core challenge is to effectively combine temporal numerical patterns with the context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Huu Hiep Nguyen , Minh Hoang Nguyen , Dung Nguyen , Hung Le

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

We propose Mixed-Panels-Transformer Encoder (MPTE), a novel framework for estimating factor models in panel datasets with mixed frequencies and nonlinear signals. Traditional factor models rely on linear signal extraction and require…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Alessio Brini , Ekaterina Seregina

Multivariate Time-Series (MTS) clustering is crucial for signal processing and data analysis. Although deep learning approaches, particularly those leveraging Contrastive Learning (CL), are prominent for MTS representation, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Zexi Tan , Tao Xie , Haoyi Xiao , Baoyao Yang , Yuzhu Ji , An Zeng , Xiang Zhang , Yiqun Zhang

The increasing severity of climate change necessitates an urgent transition to renewable energy sources, making the large-scale adoption of wind energy crucial for mitigating environmental impact. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Chongyang Wan , Shunbo Lei , Yuan Luo

Financial markets are inherently volatile and prone to sudden disruptions such as market crashes, flash collapses, and liquidity crises. Accurate anomaly detection and early risk forecasting in financial time series are therefore crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Ziling Fan , Ruijia Liang , Yiwen Hu

Spectral bias implies an imbalance in training dynamics, whereby high-frequency components may converge substantially more slowly than low-frequency ones. To alleviate this issue, we propose a cross-attention-based architecture that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Xiaodong Feng , Tao Tang , Xiaoliang Wan , Tao Zhou

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

Accurate and high-resolution precipitation nowcasting from radar echo sequences is crucial for disaster mitigation and economic planning, yet it remains a significant challenge. Key difficulties include modeling complex multi-scale…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Wenjie Luo , Chuanhu Deng , Chaorong Li , Rongyao Deng , Qiang Yang

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various fields such as finance, traffic management, energy, and healthcare. Recent studies have highlighted the advantages of channel independence to resist distribution drift but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Lu Han , Xu-Yang Chen , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

Transformer-based models have emerged as promising tools for time series forecasting. However, these model cannot make accurate prediction for long input time series. On the one hand, they failed to capture global dependencies within time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 YanJun Zhao , Ziqing Ma , Tian Zhou , Liang Sun , Mengni Ye , Yi Qian

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial in many real-world applications. To achieve accurate MTS forecasting, it is essential to simultaneously consider both intra- and inter-series relationships among time series data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Kaize Shi , Liang Hu , Ning An , Zhendong Niu

Latent diffusion models have shown promising results in audio generation, making notable advancements over traditional methods. However, their performance, while impressive with short audio clips, faces challenges when extended to longer…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Zhenxiong Tan , Xinyin Ma , Gongfan Fang , Xinchao Wang