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This work introduces a new method designed for Bayesian deep learning called scalable Bayesian Monte Carlo (SBMC). The method is comprised of a model and an algorithm. The model interpolates between a point estimator and the posterior. The…

This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

Variable selection is a key issue when analyzing high-dimensional data. The explosion of data with large sample sizes and dimensionality brings new challenges to this problem in both inference accuracy and computational complexity. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-30 Xu Chen , Shaan Qamar , Surya T. Tokdar

Covariance inflation and localization are two important techniques that are used to improve the performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) by (in effect) adjusting the sample covariances of the estimates in the state space. In this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-10-05 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

This study considers the object localization problem and proposes a novel multiparticle Kalman filter to solve it in complex and symmetric environments. Two well-known classes of filtering algorithms to solve the localization problem are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Roman Korkin , Ivan Oseledets , Aleksandr Katrutsa

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Peiyi Zhang , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

Parameter estimation has a high importance in the geosciences. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) allows parameter estimation for large, time-dependent systems. For large systems, the EnKF is applied using small ensembles, which may lead to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-05 Johannes Keller , Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen , Wolfgang Nowak

We address the approximation of functionals depending on a system of particles, described by stochastic differential equations (SDEs), in the mean-field limit when the number of particles approaches infinity. This problem is equivalent to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Raul Tempone

Ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) methods have become increasingly popular due to their inherent ability to address nonlinear dynamic problems. However, these methods often face a trade-off between analysis accuracy and computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Zhilin Li , Zhou Yao , Xianglong Li , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Shanlin Xu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

Data-target association is an important step in multi-target localization for the intelligent operation of un- manned systems in numerous applications such as search and rescue, traffic management and surveillance. The objective of this…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-31 Samuel Silva , Rengan Suresh , Feng Tao , Johnathan Votion , Yongcan Cao

This paper addresses state estimation of linear systems with special attention on unknown process and measurement noise covariances, aiming to enhance estimation accuracy while preserving the stability guarantee of the Kalman filter. To…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Xiangxiang Dong , Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Yunze Cai

The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) was introduced by Evensen in 1994 [10] as a novel method for data assimilation: state estimation for noisily observed time-dependent problems. Since that time it has had enormous impact in many application…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are powerful computational tools for analysis of complex statistical problems. However, their computational efficiency is highly dependent on the chosen proposal distribution, which is generally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Isambi S. Mbalawata , Simo Särkkä , Matti Vihola , Heikki Haario

This work introduces a new, distributed implementation of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) that allows for non-sequential assimilation of large datasets in high-dimensional problems. The traditional EnKF algorithm is computationally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-23 Cédric Travelletti , Jörg Franke , David Ginsbourger , Stefan Brönnimann

We propose a regularization method for ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) with elliptic observation operators. Commonly used EnKF regularization methods suppress state correlations at long distances. For observations described by elliptic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-04-24 Mathieu Le Provost , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk , Jeff D. Eldredge

We propose a Neural-Enhanced Distributed Kalman Filter (NDKF) for multi-sensor state estimation in nonlinear systems. Unlike traditional Kalman filters that rely on explicit analytical models and assume centralized fusion, NDKF leverages…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Siavash Farzan , Bennett Parisi

We consider the problem of learning predictive models from longitudinal data, consisting of irregularly repeated, sparse observations from a set of individuals over time. Such data often exhibit {\em longitudinal correlation} (LC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-25 Junjie Liang , Dongkuan Xu , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

Fueled by applications in sensor networks, these years have witnessed a surge of interest in distributed estimation and filtering. A new approach is hereby proposed for the Distributed Kalman Filter (DKF) by integrating a local covariance…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-17 Ye Yuan , Ling Shi , Jun Liu , Zhiyong Chen , Hai-Tao Zhang , Jorge Goncalves

Ensemble filtering of chaotic, partially observed systems is often performed with ensembles far smaller than the state dimension resulting in empirical covariances that are low rank. Subsequently, stochastic observation perturbations can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Rylan Spence , Troy Butler , Clint Dawson

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen