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We consider a modified Ci3+3 (MCi3+3) design for dual-agent dose-finding trials in which both agents are tested on multiple doses. This usually happens when the agents are novel therapies. The MCi3+3 design offers a two-stage or three-stage…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-05 Jiaxin Liu , Shijie Yuan , Qiqi Deng , Yuan Ji

In a recent paper Dette et al. (2014) introduced optimal design problems for dose fnding studies with an active control. These authors concentrated on regression models with normal distributed errors (with known variance) and the problem of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-03 Holger Dette , Katrin Kettelhake , Frank Bretz

In this paper, a methodology is proposed that enables to analyze the sensitivity of the outcome of a therapy to unavoidable high dispersion of the patient specific parameters on one hand and to the choice of the parameters that define the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Mazen Alamir

Adaptive seamless designs combine confirmatory testing, a domain of phase III trials, with features such as treatment or subgroup selection, typically associated with phase II trials. They promise to increase the efficiency of development…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Tim Friede , Nigel Stallard , Nicholas Parsons

It is increasingly common for therapies in oncology to be given in combination. In some cases, patients can benefit from the interaction between two drugs, although often at the risk of higher toxicity. A large number of designs to conduct…

Most statistical tests for treatment effects used in randomized clinical trials with survival outcomes are based on the proportional hazards assumption, which often fails in practice. Data from early exploratory studies may provide evidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Andrea Arfé , Brian Alexander , Lorenzo Trippa

Effective medication management in Parkinson's Disease (PD) is challenging due to heterogeneous disease progression, variable patient response, and medication side effects. While AI models can forecast levodopa equivalent daily dose (LEDD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Ricardo Diaz-Rincon , Muxuan Liang , Adolfo Ramirez-Zamora , Benjamin Shickel

In the era of targeted therapy, there has been increasing concern about the development of oncology drugs based on the "more is better" paradigm, developed decades ago for chemotherapy. Recently, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Beibei Guo , Ying Yuan

The primary goal of a two-stage Phase I/II trial is to identify the optimal dose for the following large-scale Phase III trial. Recently, Phase I dose-finding designs have shifted from identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Hao Sun , Jerry Li

The primary objective of Phase I oncology trials is to assess the safety and tolerability of novel therapeutics. Conventional dose escalation methods identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) based on dose-limiting toxicity (DLT). However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Yunlong Yang , Ying Yuan

In adaptive clinical trials, the conventional confidence interval (CI) for a treatment effect is prone to undesirable properties such as undercoverage and potential inconsistency with the final hypothesis testing decision. Accordingly, as…

Decision-making in personalized medicine such as cancer therapy or critical care must often make choices for dosage combinations, i.e., multiple continuous treatments. Existing work for this task has modeled the effect of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Jonas Schweisthal , Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

We propose a powerful adaptive contrast test with ordinal constraint contrast coefficients determined by observed responses. The adaptive contrast test can perform using easily calculated contrast coefficients and existing statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Masahiro Kojima

Identification of optimal dose combinations in early phase dose-finding trials is challenging, due to the trade-off between precisely estimating the many parameters required to flexibly model the possibly non-monotonic dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Bruno Boulanger , Bradley P. Carlin

Adaptive sample size re-estimation, early stopping, and trial re-design at interim analyses can reduce expected sample sizes in randomised trials. Cluster randomised trials, in which groups of participants are randomly allocated to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Samuel I. Watson , James Martin

We propose a rule-based statistical design for combination dose-finding trials with two agents. The Ci3+3 design is an extension of the i3+3 design with simple decision rules comparing the observed toxicity rates and equivalence intervals…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-29 Shijie Yuan , Tianjian Zhou , Yawen Lin , Yuan Ji

The effects of molecularly targeted drug perturbations on cellular activities and fates are difficult to predict using intuition alone because of the complex behaviors of cellular regulatory networks. An approach to overcoming this problem…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Afroza Shirin , Isaac Klickstein , Song Feng , Yen Ting Lin , William S. Hlavacek , Francesco Sorrentino

An accurately identified maximum tolerated dose (MTD) serves as the cornerstone of successful subsequent phases in oncology drug development. Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM) is a popular and versatile model-based dose-finding…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Hongtao Zhang , Alan Y Chiang , Jixian Wang

The keyboard design is a novel phase I dose-finding method that is simple and has good operating characteristics. This paper studies theoretical properties of the keyboard design, including the optimality of its decision rules, coherence in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Haitao Pan , Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

Adaptive therapy improves cancer treatment by controlling the competition between sensitive and resistant cells through treatment holidays. This study highlights the critical role of treatment-holiday thresholds in adaptive therapy for…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-15 Lanfei Sun , Haifeng Zhang , Kai Kang , Xiaoxin Wang , Leyi Zhang , Yanan Cai , Changjing Zhuge , Lei Zhang