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Recommender systems often suffer from noisy interactions like accidental clicks or popularity bias. Existing denoising methods typically identify users' intent in their interactions, and filter out noisy interactions that deviate from the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Yansen Zhang , Xiaokun Zhang , Ziqiang Cui , Chen Ma

In digital advertising, Click-Through Rate (CTR) and Conversion Rate (CVR) are very important metrics for evaluating ad performance. As a result, ad event prediction systems are vital and widely used for sponsored search and display…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-04 Saeid Soheily Khah , Yiming Wu

Individual-level state-transition microsimulations (iSTMs) have proliferated for economic evaluations in place of cohort state transition models (cSTMs). Probabilistic economic evaluations quantify decision uncertainty and value of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert , Hawre Jalal , Fernando Alarid Escudero

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) enhances the expressiveness of variational families through hierarchical semi-implicit distributions, but the intractability of their densities makes standard ELBO-based optimization biased. Recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Longlin Yu , Ziheng Cheng , Shiyue Zhang , Cheng Zhang

Recently, models for user representation learning have been widely applied in click-through-rate (CTR) and conversion-rate (CVR) prediction. Usually, the model learns a universal user representation as the input for subsequent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Xiaoyu Tan , Yongxin Deng , Chao Qu , Siqiao Xue , Xiaoming Shi , James Zhang , Xihe Qiu

Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification. We propose predictive variational inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Jinlin Lai , Antonio Linero , Yuling Yao

Masked autoencoders (MAEs) are increasingly applied to electronic health records (EHR) for learning general-purpose representations that support diverse clinical tasks. However, existing approaches typically rely on uniform random masking,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Rajna Fani , Rafi Al Attrach , David Restrepo , Yugang Jia , Leo Anthony Celi , Peter Schüffler

Non-linear hierarchical models are commonly used in many disciplines. However, inference in the presence of non-nested effects and on large datasets is challenging and computationally burdensome. This paper provides two contributions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Max Goplerud

Deep learning has achieved unprecedented success in various object detection tasks with huge amounts of labeled data. However, obtaining large-scale annotations for medical images is extremely challenging due to the high demand of labour…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-21 Zhizhong Chai , Luyang Luo , Huangjing Lin , Hao Chen , Anjia Han , Pheng-Ann Heng

Many modern data analyses benefit from explicitly modeling dependence structure in data -- such as measurements across time or space, ordered words in a sentence, or genes in a genome. A gold standard evaluation technique is structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-02 Soumya Ghosh , William T. Stephenson , Tin D. Nguyen , Sameer K. Deshpande , Tamara Broderick

One of the difficulties of conversion rate (CVR) prediction is that the conversions can delay and take place long after the clicks. The delayed feedback poses a challenge: fresh data are beneficial to continuous training but may not have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Siyu Gu , Xiang-Rong Sheng , Ying Fan , Guorui Zhou , Xiaoqiang Zhu

In e-commerce service recommendation, utilizing auxiliary behaviors to alleviate data sparsity often relies on the flawed assumption that auxiliary behaviors that fail to trigger target actions are negative samples. This approach is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Cheng Li , Yong Xu , Suhua Tang , Wenqiang Lin , Xin He , Jinde Cao

Developing computational pathology models is essential for reducing manual tissue typing from whole slide images, transferring knowledge from the source domain to an unlabeled, shifted target domain, and identifying unseen categories. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-26 Guillaume Vray , Devavrat Tomar , Jean-Philippe Thiran , Behzad Bozorgtabar

Estimating information-theoretic quantities such as entropy and mutual information is central to many problems in statistics and machine learning, but challenging in high dimensions. This paper presents estimators of entropy via inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Feras A. Saad , Marco Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Reliable estimation of predictive performance is essential for spatial environmental modeling, where machine-learning models are used to generate maps from unevenly distributed observations. Standard cross-validation (CV) assumes that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Alexander Brenning , Thomas Suesse

We present a general methodology for using unlabeled data to design semi supervised learning (SSL) variants of the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) learning process. Focusing on generalized linear regression, we analyze of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

The spatial error model (SEM) is a type of simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model for analysing spatially correlated data. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is one of the most widely used Bayesian methods for estimating SEM, but it has…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Anjana Wijayawardhana , David Gunawan , Thomas Suesse

Current variational inference methods for hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models can neither characterize the correlation structure among latent variables due to the mean-field setting, nor infer the true posterior dimension because of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-07 Yirui Liu , Xinghao Qiao , Jessica Lam

Data selection is a critical aspect of Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) for enhancing the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). Current data selection methods are largely heuristic-based, lacking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Erle Zhu , Dazhi Jiang , Yuan Wang , Xujun Li , Jiale Cheng , Yuxian Gu , Yilin Niu , Aohan Zeng , Jie Tang , Minlie Huang , Hongning Wang

Variance estimation is a fundamental problem in statistical modeling. In ultrahigh dimensional linear regressions where the dimensionality is much larger than sample size, traditional variance estimation techniques are not applicable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-27 Jianqing Fan , Shaojun Guo , Ning Hao
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