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Scenario optimization and conformal prediction share a common goal, that is, turning finite samples into safety margins. Yet, different terminology often obscures the connection between their respective guarantees. This paper revisits that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-23 Giuseppe C. Calafiore

When designing controllers for safety-critical systems, practitioners often face a challenging tradeoff between robustness and performance. While robust control methods provide rigorous guarantees on system stability under certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Priya L. Donti , Melrose Roderick , Mahyar Fazlyab , J. Zico Kolter

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger

In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

This paper compares two different frameworks recently introduced in the literature for measuring risk in a multi-period setting. The first corresponds to applying a single coherent risk measure to the cumulative future costs, while the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dan A. Iancu , Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

We consider controllable linear discrete-time systems with bounded perturbations and present two methods to compute robust controlled invariant sets. The first method tolerates an arbitrarily small constraint violation to compute an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Matthias Rungger , Paulo Tabuada

A new framework is developed for control of constrained nonlinear systems with structured parametric uncertainties. Forward invariance of a safe set is achieved through online parameter adaptation and data-driven model estimation. The new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-01 Brett T. Lopez , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine , Jonathan P. How

We consider the Chance Constrained Model Predictive Control problem for polynomial systems subject to disturbances. In this problem, we aim at finding optimal control input for given disturbed dynamical system to minimize a given cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Ashkan Jasour , Constantino Lagoa

A robust model predictive control (MPC) method is presented for linear, time-invariant systems affected by bounded additive disturbances. The main contribution is the offline design of a disturbance-affine feedback gain whereby the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-16 Anilkumar Parsi , Panagiotis Anagnostaras , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

It is often the case that risk assessment and prognostics are viewed as related but separate tasks. This chapter describes a risk-based approach to prognostics that seeks to provide a tighter coupling between risk assessment and fault…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-18 John W. Sheppard

In this paper we propose a robust Model Predictive Control where a Gated Recurrent Unit network model is used to learn the input-output dynamic of the system under control. Robust satisfaction of input and output constraints and recursive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Irene Schimperna , Lalo Magni

Inspired by widely-used techniques of causal modelling in risk, failure, and accident analysis, this work discusses a compositional framework for risk modelling. Risk models capture fragments of the space of risky events likely to occur…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Mario Gleirscher

Model-based process simulation can be used to derive designs and operating conditions of chemical processes that optimally balance multiple objectives, such as quality, costs, or environmental impacts. This work focuses on identifying…

Autonomous driving vehicles provide a vast potential for realizing use cases in the on-road and off-road domains. Consequently, remarkable solutions exist to autonomous systems' environmental perception and control. Nevertheless, proof of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Patrick Wolf

Robust control design is mainly devoted to guarantee closed-loop stability of a model-based control law in presence of parametric and structural uncertainties. The control law is usually a complex feedback law which is derived from a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-08-12 Enrico Canuto , Wilber Acuna-Bravo , Andrés Molano-Jimenez , José Ospina , Carlos Perez-Montenegro

We present an historical overview about the connections between the analysis of risk and the control of autonomous systems. We offer two main contributions. Our first contribution is to propose three overlapping paradigms to classify the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Yuheng Wang , Margaret P. Chapman

As a natural extension to the standard conformal prediction method, several conformal risk control methods have been recently developed and applied to various learning problems. In this work, we seek to control the conformal risk in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

Designing component-based constraint solvers is a complex problem. Some components are required, some are optional and there are interdependencies between the components. Because of this, previous approaches to solver design and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-31 Ian P. Gent , Chris Jefferson , Lars Kotthoff , Ian Miguel

Risk is part of the fabric of every business; surprisingly, there is little work on establishing best practices for systematic, repeatable risk identification, arguably the first step of any risk management process. In this paper, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-29 Jochen L. Leidner