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ReRecent studies in machine learning are based on models in which parameters or state variables are bounded restricted. These restrictions are from prior information to ensure the validity of scientific theories or structural consistency…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-26 Solmaz Seifollahi , Hossein Bevrani , Kristofer Mansson

Adaptive experiments are used extensively in online platforms, healthcare and biotechnology, and a variety of other settings. In many of these applications, the main goal is not to precisely estimate a treatment effect, but to demonstrate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Guido Imbens , Lorenzo Masoero , Alexander Rakhlin , Thomas S. Richardson , Suhas Vijaykumar

We address the problem of A/B testing, a widely used protocol for evaluating the potential improvement achieved by a new decision system compared to a baseline. This protocol segments the population into two subgroups, each exposed to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-16 Otmane Sakhi , Alexandre Gilotte , David Rohde

In this paper, we study the hard and soft support vector regression techniques applied to a set of $n$ linear measurements of the form $y_i=\boldsymbol{\beta}_\star^{T}{\bf x}_i +n_i$ where $\boldsymbol{\beta}_\star$ is an unknown vector,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Houssem Sifaou , Abla kammoun , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

In this paper, we develop a family of bivariate beta distributions that encapsulate both positive and negative correlations, and which can be of general interest for Bayesian inference. We then invoke a use of these bivariate distributions…

We develop a new permutation test for inference on a subvector of coefficients in linear models. The test is exact when the regressors and the error terms are independent. Then, we show that the test is asymptotically of correct level,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-13 Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Purevdorj Tuvaandorj

A number of optimization approaches have been proposed for optimizing nonconvex objectives (e.g. deep learning models), such as batch gradient descent, stochastic gradient descent and stochastic variance reduced gradient descent. Theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Jia Bi , Steve R. Gunn

Probabilistic programming methods have revolutionised Bayesian inference, making it easier than ever for practitioners to perform Markov-chain-Monte-Carlo sampling from non-conjugate posterior distributions. Here we focus on Stan, arguably…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-10 Clemens Pichler , Jack Jewson , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco

In this paper we criticize the robustness measure traditionally employed to assess the performance of machine learning models deployed in adversarial settings. To mitigate the limitations of robustness, we introduce a new measure called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Stefano Calzavara , Lorenzo Cazzaro , Claudio Lucchese , Federico Marcuzzi , Salvatore Orlando

Measurement uncertainty is a non trivial aspect of the laboratory component of most undergraduate physics courses. Confusion about the application of statistical tools calls for the elaboration of guidelines and the elimination of…

Physics Education · Physics 2012-11-20 W. Jacquet , E. Ir. Nyssen , J. Sijbers

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

In this paper we discuss how to evaluate the differences between fitted logistic regression models across sub-populations. Our motivating example is in studying computerized diagnosis for learning disabilities, where sub-populations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-24 Guy Ashiri-Prossner , Yuval Benjamini

Convex combinations of i.i.d. random variables without a finite mean can behave in a strikingly different way from the finite-mean case: as the weight vector becomes more balanced, the resulting combination may become stochastically larger,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Static Application Security Testing (SAST) is a popular quality assurance technique in software engineering. However, integrating SAST tools into industry-level product development and security assessment poses various technical and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Anh Nguyen-Duc , Manh Viet Do , Quan Luong Hong , Kiem Nguyen Khac

We introduce equivalence testing procedures for linear regression analyses. Such tests can be very useful for confirming the lack of a meaningful association between a continuous outcome and a continuous or binary predictor. Specifically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-17 Harlan Campbell

Stochastic orders are very useful tool to compare the lifetimes of two coherent systems. We show that, under certain conditions, a coherent system of used components performs better (worse) than a used coherent system with respect to…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-20 Nil Kamal Hazra , Asok K. Nanda

When the data do not conform to the hypothesis of a known sampling-variance, the fitting of a constant to a set of measured values is a long debated problem. Given the data, fitting would require to find what measurand value is the most…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-07-21 Giovanni Mana , Enrico Massa , Maria Predescu

Stochastic model checking is a technique for analyzing systems that possess probabilistic characteristics. However, its scalability is limited as probabilistic models of real-world applications typically have very large or infinite state…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Thakur Neupane , Chris J. Myers , Curtis Madsen , Hao Zheng , Zhen Zhang

Providing compact and understandable counterexamples for violated system properties is an essential task in model checking. Existing works on counterexamples for probabilistic systems so far computed either a large set of system runs or a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-11-26 Ralf Wimmer , Nils Jansen , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We introduce a probabilistic robustness measure for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), defined as the probability that, given a test point, there exists a point within a bounded set such that the BNN prediction differs between the two. Such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti , Nicola Paoletti , Andrea Patane , Matthew Wicker