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Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

We propose a conformal prediction method for constructing tight simultaneous prediction intervals for multiple, potentially related, numerical outputs given a single input. This method can be combined with any multi-target regression model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Yunjie Fan , Matteo Sesia

Inferring network topology from smooth signals is a significant problem in data science and engineering. A common challenge in real-world scenarios is the availability of only partially observed nodes. While some studies have considered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Chuansen Peng , Hanning Tang , Zhiguo Wang , Xiaojing Shen

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

We consider the problem of classification of functional data into two groups by linear classifiers based on one-dimensional projections of functions. We reformulate the task to find the best classifier as an optimization problem and solve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-29 David Kraus , Marco Stefanucci

Particulate matter data now include various particle sizes, which often manifest as a collection of curves observed sequentially over time. When considering 51 distinct particle sizes, these curves form a high-dimensional functional time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Han Lin Shang , Israel Martinez Hernandez

Functional linear discriminant analysis offers a simple yet efficient method for classification, with the possibility of achieving a perfect classification. Several methods are proposed in the literature that mostly address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-14 Juhyun Park , Jeongyoun Ahn , Yongho Jeon

The problem of covariance estimation for replicated surface-valued processes is examined from the functional data analysis perspective. Considerations of statistical and computational efficiency often compel the use of separability of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Tomas Masak , Victor M. Panaretos

In Functional Data Analysis, data are commonly assumed to be smooth functions on a fixed interval of the real line. In this work, we introduce a comprehensive framework for the analysis of functional data, whose domain is a two-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-02 Eardi Lila , John A. D. Aston

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

Conformal Prediction is a framework that produces prediction intervals based on the output from a machine learning algorithm. In this paper we explore the case when training data is made up of multiple parts available in different sources…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-16 Ola Spjuth , Robin Carrión Brännström , Lars Carlsson , Niharika Gauraha

Functional data play a pivotal role across science and engineering, yet their infinite-dimensional nature makes representation learning challenging. Conventional statistical models depend on pre-chosen basis expansions or kernels, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Yifei Gao , Yong Chen , Chen Zhang

Functional data analysis is a fast evolving branch of modern statistics and the functional linear model has become popular in recent years. However, most estimation methods for this model rely on generalized least squares procedures and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

Phase retrieval is in general a non-convex and non-linear task and the corresponding algorithms struggle with the issue of local minima. We consider the case where the measurement samples within typically very small and disconnected subsets…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-28 Jonas Kornprobst , Alexander Paulus , Josef Knapp , Thomas F. Eibert

We propose a post-hoc adaptive conformal anomaly detection method for monitoring time series that leverages predictions from pre-trained foundation models without requiring additional fine-tuning. Our method yields an interpretable anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Natalia Martinez Gil , Fearghal O'Donncha , Wesley M. Gifford , Nianjun Zhou , Dhaval C. Patel , Roman Vaculin

We consider functional linear regression models where functional outcomes are associated with scalar predictors by coefficient functions with shape constraints, such as monotonicity and convexity, that apply to sub-domains of interest. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Kyunghee Han , Yeonjoo Park , Soo-Young Kim

We consider an unconstrained continuous optimization problem where, in each iteration, gradient estimates may be arbitrarily corrupted with a probability greater than 1/2. Additionally, function value estimates may exhibit heavy-tailed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Katya Scheinberg , Miaolan Xie

We consider the problem of reconstructing missing data on a smooth manifold from incomplete and nonuniform samples. While classical methods for manifold approximation typically assume quasi-uniform data, their performance deteriorates…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-15 David Levin

We propose a new method called localized conformal prediction, where we can perform conformal inference using only a local region around a new test sample to construct its confidence interval. Localized conformal inference is a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Leying Guan

Accurate motion prediction of surrounding traffic participants is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of automated vehicles in dynamic environments. Marginal prediction models commonly forecast each agent's future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Fabian Konstantinidis , Ariel Dallari Guerreiro , Raphael Trumpp , Moritz Sackmann , Ulrich Hofmann , Marco Caccamo , Christoph Stiller