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Democracies employ elections at various scales to select officials at the corresponding levels of administration. The geographical distribution of political opinion, the policy issues delegated to each level, and the multilevel interactions…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-03 Sihao Huang , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Andrew Gelman

Polarization, defined as the emergence of sharply divided groups with opposing and often extreme views, is an increasingly prominent feature of modern societies. While many studies analyze this phenomenon in the context of single issues,…

Recent empirical findings suggest that societies have become more polarized in various countries. That is, the median voter of today represents a smaller fraction of society compared to two decades ago and yet, the mechanisms underlying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-15 Lucas Böttcher , Pedro Montealegre , Eric Goles , Hans Gersbach

The median voter theorem has long been the default model of voter behavior and candidate choice. While contemporary work on the distribution of political opinion has emphasized polarization and an increasing gap between the "left" and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-25 Matthew I. Jones , Antonio D. Sirianni , Feng Fu

The form of political polarization where citizens develop strongly negative attitudes towards out-party policies and members has become increasingly prominent across many democracies. Economic hardship and social inequality, as well as…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-12 Alexander J. Stewart , Joshua B. Plotkin , Nolan McCarty

Understanding the social conditions that tend to increase or decrease polarization is important for many reasons. We study a network-structured agent-based model of opinion dynamics, extending a model previously introduced by Flache and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-03 Matthew A. Turner , Paul E. Smaldino

The controversies around the 2020 US presidential elections certainly casts serious concerns on the efficiency of the current voting system in representing the people's will. Is the naive Plurality voting suitable in an extremely polarized…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-10 Karthik H. Shankar

Agents with different ideologies often form alliances to achieve their goals. Paradoxically, ideologically similar agents are often opponents. In this paper, ideologically heterogeneous agents choose the ideological composition of their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-22 Patrick Allmis

Our paper aims to analyze political polarization in US political system using Language Models, and thereby help candidates make an informed decision. The availability of this information will help voters understand their candidates views on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Samiran Gode , Supreeth Bare , Bhiksha Raj , Hyungon Yoo

Politically divided societies are also often divided emotionally: people like and trust those with similar political views (in-group favoritism) while disliking and distrusting those with different views (out-group animosity). This…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Allon G. Percus , Kristina Lerman

Has ideological polarization actually increased in the last decades, or have voters simply sorted themselves into parties matching their ideology more closely? We present a novel methodology to quantify multidimensional ideological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-03 Jaume Ojer , David Cárcamo , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Michele Starnini

Content that drives engagement need not be the same content that drives willingness to pay. We study how polarizing content affects engagement (time on site) and commitment (subscriptions and retention) on a major news platform. We measure…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Shunyao Yan , Klaus M. Miller

We study the effect of time-fluctuating social influences on the formation of polarization and consensus in a three-party community consisting of two types of voters ("leftists" and "rightists") holding extreme opinions, and moderate agents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-10 Mauro Mobilia

Ideological leanings of an individual can often be gauged by the sentiment one expresses about different issues. We propose a simple framework that represents a political ideology as a distribution of sentiment polarities towards a set of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Sumit Bhatia , Deepak P

The simplified hypothesis that an election is polarized as an explanation of recent electoral outcomes worldwide is centered on perceptions of voting patterns rather than ideological data from the electorate. While the literature focuses on…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Carlos Navarrete , Mariana Macedo , Viktor Stojkoski , Marcela Parada-Contzen , Christopher A Martínez

Political orientation polarizes the attitudes of more educated individuals on controversial issues. A highly controversial issue in Europe is immigration. We found the same polarizing pattern for opinion toward immigration in a…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-05 Lucia Savadori , Giuseppe Espa , Maria Michela Dickson

The study involved the analysis of emotion-associated language in the UK Conservative and Labour party general election manifestos between 2000 to 2019. While previous research have shown a general correlation between ideological…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Takumi Nishi

Post-World War II armed conflicts have often been viewed with higher scrutiny in order to avoid a full-scale global war. This scrutiny has led to the establishment of determinants of war such as poverty, inequalities, literacy, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-04 Shreyansh Padarha

The emergence of opinion polarization within human communities -- the phenomenon that individuals within a society tend to develop conflicting attitudes related to the greatest diversity of topics -- has been a focus of interest for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-05 Anna Zafeiris

We introduce and study a simple model for the dynamics of voting intention in a population of agents that have to choose between two candidates. The level of indecision of a given agent is modeled by its propensity to vote for one of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Federico Vazquez , Nicolas Saintier , Juan Pablo Pinasco