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Studying the effects of air-pollution on health is a key area in environmental epidemiology. An accurate estimation of air-pollution effects requires spatio-temporally resolved datasets of air-pollution, especially, Fine Particulate Matter…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Ron Sarafian , Itai Kloog , Allan C. Just , Johnathan D. Rosenblatt

In this work, we propose a new Bayesian spatial homogeneity pursuit method for survival data under the proportional hazards model to detect spatially clustered patterns in baseline hazard and regression coefficients. Specially, regression…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-24 Lijiang Geng , Guanyu Hu

Air pollution by Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) is a major concern in large cities as it has severe adverse health effects. However, the statistical properties of air pollutants are not fully understood. Here, we use methods borrowed from…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-15 Griffin Williams , Benjamin Schäfer , Christian Beck

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

Global Climate Models (GCMs) are numerical models that simulate complex physical processes within the Earth's climate system and are essential for understanding and predicting climate change. However, GCMs suffer from systemic biases due to…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-23 Reetam Majumder , Shiqi Fang , A. Sankarasubramanian , Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

Area-level models for small area estimation typically rely on areal random effects to shrink design-based direct estimates towards a model-based predictor. Incorporating the spatial dependence of the random effects into these models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for estimating the joint density of a multivariate outcome of interest in the presence of categorical covariates. Leveraging a Gaussian copula framework, our method effectively captures the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Giovanni Toto , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

Estimating the causal effects of a spatially-varying intervention on a spatially-varying outcome may be subject to non-local confounding (NLC), a phenomenon that can bias estimates when the treatments and outcomes of a given unit are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Mauricio Tec , James Scott , Corwin Zigler

Epidemiological evidence suggests that simultaneous exposures to multiple environmental risk factors (Es) can increase disease risk larger than the additive effect of individual exposure acting alone. The interaction between a gene and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Shunjie Guan , Mingtao Zhao , Yuehua Cui

The scientific rigor and computational methods of causal inference have had great impacts on many disciplines, but have only recently begun to take hold in spatial applications. Spatial casual inference poses analytic challenges due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Brian J Reich , Shu Yang , Yawen Guan , Andrew B Giffin , Matthew J Miller , Ana G Rappold

Understanding how environmental drivers relate to vegetation condition motivates spatially varying regression models, but estimating a separate coefficient surface for every predictor can yield noisy patterns and poor interpretability when…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Qishi Zhan , Cheng-Han Yu , Yuchi Chen , Zhikang Dong , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi

The field of environmental epidemiology has placed an increasing emphasis on understanding the health effects of mixtures of metals, chemicals, and pollutants in recent years. Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression (BKMR) is a statistical…

Air pollution remains a leading global health risk, exacerbated by rapid industrialization and urbanization, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality rates. In this paper, we introduce AirCast, a novel multi-variable air…

The development of low-cost sensors and novel calibration algorithms offer new opportunities to supplement existing regulatory networks to measure air pollutants at a high spatial resolution and at hourly and sub-hourly timescales. We use a…

Generalized additive models (GAMs) play an important role in modeling and understanding complex relationships in modern applied statistics. They allow for flexible, data-driven estimation of covariate effects. Yet researchers often have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Benjamin Hofner , Thomas Kneib , Torsten Hothorn

Computer Vision practitioners must thoroughly understand their model's performance, but conditional evaluation is complex and error-prone. In biometric verification, model performance over continuous covariates---real-number attributes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Mel McCurrie , Hamish Nicholson , Walter J. Scheirer , Samuel Anthony

Spatially misaligned data can be fused by using a Bayesian melding model that assumes that underlying all observations there is a spatially continuous Gaussian random field process. This model can be used, for example, to predict air…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Ruiman Zhong , André Victor Ribeiro Amaral , Paula Moraga

The substantial threat of concurrent air pollutants to public health is increasingly severe under climate change. To identify the common drivers and extent of spatio-temporal similarity of PM2.5 and ozone, this paper proposed a log…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-24 Jianan Pan , Kunyang He , Kai Wang , Qing Mu , Chengxiu Ling

Air pollution is a major global health hazard, with fine particulate matter (PM10) linked to severe respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Hence, analyzing and clustering spatio-temporal air quality data is crucial for understanding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Luca Aiello , Raffaele Argiento , Sirio Legramanti , Lucia Paci