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The celebrated Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator is among the most studied method for nonparametric regression. A classical result is that its rate of convergence depends on the number of covariates and deteriorates quickly as the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Daniel Conn , Gang Li

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

Based on the theory of continuous time random walks (CTRW), we build the models of characterizing the transitions among anomalous diffusions with different diffusion exponents, often observed in natural world. In the CTRW framework, we take…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-13 Trifce Sandev , Weihua Deng , Pengbo Xu

Changes on temperature patterns, on a local scale, are perceived by individuals as the most direct indicators of global warming and climate change. As a specific example, for an Atlantic climate location, spring and fall seasons should…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Andrea Meilán-Vila , Rosa M. Crujeiras , Mario Francisco-Fernández

The movement of a particle described by Brownian motion is quantified by a single parameter, $D$, the diffusion constant. The estimation of $D$ from a discrete sequence of noisy observations is a fundamental problem in biological single…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-13 Peter K. Relich , Mark J. Olah , Patrick J. Cutler , Keith A. Lidke

A new method for estimating the conditional average treatment effect is proposed in the paper. It is called TNW-CATE (the Trainable Nadaraya-Watson regression for CATE) and based on the assumption that the number of controls is rather large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Lev V. Utkin

The Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator is among the most popular nonparameteric regression technique thanks to its simplicity. Its asymptotic bias has been studied by Rosenblatt in 1969 and has been reported in a number of related literature.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Samuele Tosatto , Riad Akrour , Jan Peters

Weighted finite automata (WFAs) have been widely applied in many fields. One of the classic problems for WFAs is probability distribution estimation over sequences of discrete symbols. Although WFAs have been extended to deal with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Tianyu Li , Bogdan Mazoure , Guillaume Rabusseau

The paper presents new simple sharp bounds for transition density functions for time-homogeneous diffusions processes. The bounds are obtained under mild conditions on the drift and diffusion coefficients, extending and substantially…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-08 Andrew N. Downes

We introduce a nonparametric spectral density estimator for continuous-time and continuous-space processes measured at fully irregular locations. Our estimator is constructed using a weighted nonuniform Fourier sum whose weights yield a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Christopher J. Geoga , Paul G. Beckman

In this paper, we study the Edgeworth expansion for a pre-averaging estimator of quadratic variation in the framework of continuous diffusion models observed with noise. More specifically, we obtain a second order expansion for the joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Mark Podolskij , Bezirgen Veliyev , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Covariate shift in regression problems and the associated distribution mismatch between training and test data is a commonly encountered phenomenon in machine learning. In this paper, we extend recent results on nonparametric convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Lukas Trottner

In the present review we survey the properties of a transcendental function of the Wright type, nowadays known as M-Wright function, entering as a probability density in a relevant class of self-similar stochastic processes that we…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-04-20 Francesco Mainardi , Antonio Mura , Gianni Pagnini

In this article, we introduce a novel non-parametric predictor, based on conditional expectation, for the unknown diffusion coefficient function $\sigma$ in the stochastic partial differential equation $Lu = \sigma(u)\dot{W}$, where $L$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Martin Andersson , Benny Avelin , Valentin Garino , Pauliina Ilmonen , Lauri Viitasaari

Finite-temperature effects can be included by calculating the vibrations properties and this can greatly improve the fidelity of computational screening. An important challenge for DFT-based screening is the sensitivity of the predictions…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-07-07 Pinwen Guan , Gregory Houchins , Venkatasubramanian Viswanathan

In this article, we consider the estimation of the structural change point in the nonparametric model with dependent observations. We introduce a maximum-CUSUM-estimation procedure, where the CUSUM statistic is constructed based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-03 Q. Yang , Y. Li , Y. Zhang

Let X be a d dimensional vector of covariates and Y be the response variable. Under the nonparametric model Y = m(X) + {\sigma}(X) \in we develop an ANOVA-type test for the null hypothesis that a particular coordinate of X has no influence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-31 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Michael Akritas

When particles/molecules diffuse in systems that contain obstacles, the steady-state regime (during which the mean-square displacement scales linearly with time, $\left< r^2 \right> \sim t$) is preceded by a transient regime. It is common…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-08-12 Nicholas Ilow , Gary W. Slater

We investigate the nonparametric estimation problem of the density $\pi$, representing the stationary distribution of a two-dimensional system $\left(Z_t\right)_{t \in[0, T]}=\left(X_t, \lambda_t\right)_{t \in[0, T]}$. In this system, $X$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Chiara Amorino , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Arnaud Gloter , Sarah Lemler