Related papers: Nadaraya-Watson Type Estimator of the Transition D…

This paper deals with a nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator $\hat b$ of the drift function computed from independent continuous observations of a diffusion process. Risk bounds on $\hat b$ and its discrete-time approximation are…

The nonparametric estimation of integrated diffusion processes has been extensively studied, with most existing research focusing on pointwise convergence. This paper is the first to establish uniform convergence rates for the…

Nonstationary high-dimensional time series are increasingly encountered in biomedical research as measurement technologies advance. Owing to the homeostatic nature of physiological systems, such datasets are often located on, or can be well…

We study the Nadaraya-Watson (N-W) estimator for the drift function of two-sided reflected stochastic processes. We propose a discrete-type N-W estimator and a continuous-type N-W estimator based on the discretely observed processes and…

We investigate nonparametric drift estimation for multidimensional jump diffusions based on continuous observations. The results are derived under anisotropic smoothness assumptions and the estimators' performance is measured in terms of…

In a regression model, we write the Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the regression function as the quotient of two kernel estimators, and propose a bandwidth selection method for both the numerator and the denominator. We prove risk bounds for…

We assume that we observe $N$ independent copies of a diffusion process on a time-interval $[0,2T]$. For a given time $t$, we estimate the transition density $p_t(x,y)$, namely the conditional density of $X_{t + s}$ given $X_s = x$, under…

This paper is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the derivative of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. We implement a very efficient and easy to handle statistical procedure based on the derivative of the…

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

This article studies a trimmed version of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator to estimate the unknown non-parametric regression function. The characterization of the estimator through minimization problem is established, and its pointwise…

In this paper, we empirically analyze a simple, non-learnable, and nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson (NW) prediction head that can be used with any neural network architecture. In the NW head, the prediction is a weighted average of labels from…

We propose a modified weighted Nadaraya-Watson estimator for the conditional distribution of a time series with heavy tails. We establish the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator. Simulation study is carried out to assess the…

We study the nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function for ergodic stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter H > 1/2. The estimator is based on the discretely observed stochastic…

While both classical and neural network classifiers can achieve high accuracy, they fall short on offering uncertainty bounds on their predictions, making them unfit for safety-critical applications. Existing kernel-based classifiers that…

This paper derives limit properties of nonparametric kernel regression estimators without requiring existence of density for regressors in $\mathbb{R}^{q}.$ In functional regression limit properties are established for multivariate…

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator for the estimation of the regression function in a semiparametric regression model. On the one hand, we make use of the recursive version of the sliced inverse…

Usually the problem of drift estimation for a diffusion process is considered under the hypothesis of ergodicity. It is less often considered under the hypothesis of null-recurrence, simply because there are fewer limit theorems and…

We discuss nonparametric tests for parametric specifications of regression quantiles. The test is based on the comparison of parametric and nonparametric fits of these quantiles. The nonparametric fit is a Nadaraya-Watson quantile smoothing…

This paper proposes a fast and scalable method for uncertainty quantification of machine learning models' predictions. First, we show the principled way to measure the uncertainty of predictions for a classifier based on Nadaraya-Watson's…

This study proposes a debiasing method for smooth nonparametric estimators. While machine learning techniques such as random forests and neural networks have demonstrated strong predictive performance, their theoretical properties remain…