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Value-at-risk (VaR), also known as quantile, is a crucial risk measure in finance and other fields. However, optimizing VaR metrics in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is challenging because VaR is non-additive and the traditional dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Li Xia , Jinyan Pan

In this paper we propose a deep recurrent architecture for the probabilistic modelling of high-frequency market prices, important for the risk management of automated trading systems. Our proposed architecture incorporates probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Ye-Sheen Lim , Denise Gorse

Learning interpretable and disentangled representations of data is a key topic in machine learning research. Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is a scalable method for learning directed latent variable models of complex data. It employs a clear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Andriy Serdega , Dae-Shik Kim

Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) are a cornerstone of decentralized finance (DeFi), allowing users to trade cryptocurrencies without the need for third-party authorization. Investors are incentivized to deposit assets into liquidity pools,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Haochen Zhang , Xi Chen , Lin F. Yang

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

In today's financial markets, quantitative trading has become an essential trading method, with the MACD indicator widely employed in quantitative trading strategies. This paper begins by screening and cleaning the dataset, establishing a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Wangyu Chen , Zhenpeng Zhu

We propose DeepAries , a novel deep reinforcement learning framework for dynamic portfolio management that jointly optimizes the timing and allocation of rebalancing decisions. Unlike prior reinforcement learning methods that employ fixed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-20 Jinkyu Kim , Hyunjung Yi , Mogan Gim , Donghee Choi , Jaewoo Kang

This article is focused on using a new measurement of risk-- Weighted Value at Risk to develop a new method of constructing initiate from the TVAR solving problem, based on MATLAB software, using the historical simulation method (avoiding…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-27 Tianyu Hao

Pricing assets has attracted significant attention from the financial technology community. We observe that the existing solutions overlook the cross-sectional effects and not fully leveraged the heterogeneous data sets, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Qiong Wu , Christopher G. Brinton , Zheng Zhang , Andrea Pizzoferrato , Zhenming Liu , Mihai Cucuringu

Modeling the trading volume curves of financial instruments throughout the day is of key interest in financial trading applications. Predictions of these so-called volume profiles guide trade execution strategies, for example, a common…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Creighton Heaukulani , Abhinav Pandey , Lancelot F. James

This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

Sequential decisions in volatile, high-stakes settings require more than maximizing expected return; they require principled uncertainty management. This paper presents the Uncertainty-Aware Markov Decision Process (UAMDP), a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Michal Koren , Or Peretz , Tai Dinh , Philip S. Yu

We propose a new structure for the complex-valued autoencoder by introducing additional degrees of freedom into its design through a widely linear (WL) transform. The corresponding widely linear backpropagation algorithm is also developed…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Zeyang Yu , Shengxi Li , Danilo Mandic

We develop a new market-making model, from the ground up, which is tailored towards high-frequency trading under a limit order book (LOB), based on the well-known classification of order types in market microstructure. Our flexible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-31 Baron Law , Frederi Viens

Despite the fact that cryptocurrencies themselves have experienced an astonishing rate of adoption over the last decade, cryptocurrency fraud detection is a heavily under-researched problem area. Of all fraudulent activity regarding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Viswanath Chadalapaka , Kyle Chang , Gireesh Mahajan , Anuj Vasil

The tuning of hyperparameters in distributed machine learning can substantially impact model performance. When the hyperparameters are tuned on sensitive data, privacy becomes an important challenge and to this end, differential privacy has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Johannes Liebenow , Thorsten Peinemann , Esfandiar Mohammadi

While the field of electricity price forecasting has benefited from plenty of contributions in the last two decades, it arguably lacks a rigorous approach to evaluating new predictive algorithms. The latter are often compared using unique,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Jesus Lago , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Bart De Schutter , Rafał Weron

Audio-Visual Video Parsing (AVVP) entails the challenging task of localizing both uni-modal events (i.e., those occurring exclusively in either the visual or acoustic modality of a video) and multi-modal events (i.e., those occurring in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Yung-Hsuan Lai , Janek Ebbers , Yu-Chiang Frank Wang , François Germain , Michael Jeffrey Jones , Moitreya Chatterjee

The optimal objective is a fundamental aspect of reinforcement learning (RL), as it determines how policies are evaluated and optimized. While total return maximization is the ideal objective in RL, discounted return maximization is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Shuyu Yin , Fei Wen , Peilin Liu , Tao Luo
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