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We study rank selection for low-rank tensor regression under random covariates design. Under a Gaussian random-design model and some mild conditions, we derive population expressions for the expected training-testing discrepancy (optimism)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Haoming Shi , Eric C. Chi , Hengrui Luo

The Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) has discovered connections between deep neural networks and kernel methods with insights of optimization and generalization. Motivated by this, recent works report that NTK can achieve better performances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Insu Han , Haim Avron , Neta Shoham , Chaewon Kim , Jinwoo Shin

We propose an optimistic estimate to evaluate the best possible fitting performance of nonlinear models. It yields an optimistic sample size that quantifies the smallest possible sample size to fit/recover a target function using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Yaoyu Zhang , Zhongwang Zhang , Leyang Zhang , Zhiwei Bai , Tao Luo , Zhi-Qin John Xu

We establish the asymptotic normality of the regression estimator in a fixed-design setting when the errors are given by a field of dependent random variables. The result applies to martingale-difference or strongly mixing random fields. On…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-07-10 Mohamed El Machkouri , Radu Stoica

The recent discovery of the equivalence between infinitely wide neural networks (NNs) in the lazy training regime and Neural Tangent Kernels (NTKs) (Jacot et al., 2018) has revived interest in kernel methods. However, conventional wisdom…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Teng Andrea Xu , Bryan Kelly , Semyon Malamud

We propose statistical inferential procedures for panel data models with interactive fixed effects in a kernel ridge regression framework.Compared with traditional sieve methods, our method is automatic in the sense that it does not require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-10 Shunan Zhao , Ruiqi Liu , Zuofeng Shang

The Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) has recently attracted intense study, as it describes the evolution of an over-parameterized Neural Network (NN) trained by gradient descent. However, it is now well-known that gradient descent is not always…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Lei Tan , Shutong Wu , Xiaolin Huang

Motivated by both theory and practice, we study how random pruning of the weights affects a neural network's neural tangent kernel (NTK). In particular, this work establishes an equivalence of the NTKs between a fully-connected neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Hongru Yang , Zhangyang Wang

The generalization performance of kernel ridge regression (KRR) exhibits a multi-phased pattern that crucially depends on the scaling relationship between the sample size $n$ and the underlying dimension $d$. This phenomenon is due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Hong Hu , Yue M. Lu

We provide new asymptotic theory for kernel density estimators, when these are applied to autoregressive processes exhibiting moderate deviations from a unit root. This fills a gap in the existing literature, which has to date considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-19 James A. Duffy

Empirical observation of high dimensional phenomena, such as the double descent behaviour, has attracted a lot of interest in understanding classical techniques such as kernel methods, and their implications to explain generalization…

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a popular class of machine learning models that has become an important tool for understanding deep learning. Much of the focus thus far has been on studying the proportional asymptotic regime, $n \asymp d$,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-07 Parthe Pandit , Zhichao Wang , Yizhe Zhu

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been employed for a range of modelling and prediction tasks using financial data. However, evidence on their predictive performance, especially for time-series data, has been mixed. Whereas some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 Philipp Ratz

The Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) characterizes the behavior of infinitely-wide neural networks trained under least squares loss by gradient descent. Recent works also report that NTK regression can outperform finitely-wide neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Amir Zandieh , Insu Han , Haim Avron , Neta Shoham , Chaewon Kim , Jinwoo Shin

Recent theoretical works based on the neural tangent kernel (NTK) have shed light on the optimization and generalization of over-parameterized networks, and partially bridge the gap between their practical success and classical learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Kyung-Su Kim , Aurélie C. Lozano , Eunho Yang

We consider gradient-based optimisation of wide, shallow neural networks, where the output of each hidden node is scaled by a positive parameter. The scaling parameters are non-identical, differing from the classical Neural Tangent Kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-19 Francois Caron , Fadhel Ayed , Paul Jung , Hoil Lee , Juho Lee , Hongseok Yang

This paper carries out a large dimensional analysis of a variation of kernel ridge regression that we call \emph{centered kernel ridge regression} (CKRR), also known in the literature as kernel ridge regression with offset. This modified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-22 Khalil Elkhalil , Abla Kammoun , Xiangliang Zhang , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Tareq Al-Naffouri

Given the complexity of genetic risk prediction, there is a critical need for the development of novel methodologies that can effectively capture intricate genotype--phenotype relationships (e.g., nonlinear) while remaining statistically…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-03 Heng Ge , Qing Lu

We derive analytical expressions for the generalization performance of kernel regression as a function of the number of training samples using theoretical methods from Gaussian processes and statistical physics. Our expressions apply to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Blake Bordelon , Abdulkadir Canatar , Cengiz Pehlevan

In this article, we introduce a kernel-based consensual aggregation method for regression problems. We aim to flexibly combine individual regression estimators $r_1, r_2, \ldots, r_M$ using a weighted average where the weights are defined…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Sothea Has
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