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AI systems are notorious for their fragility; minor input changes can potentially cause major output swings. When such systems are deployed in critical areas like finance, the consequences of their uncertain behavior could be severe. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Kausik Lakkaraju , Rachneet Kaur , Zhen Zeng , Parisa Zehtabi , Sunandita Patra , Biplav Srivastava , Marco Valtorta

Machine fault diagnosis (FD) is a critical task for predictive maintenance, enabling early fault detection and preventing unexpected failures. Despite its importance, existing FD models are operation-specific with limited generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Emadeldeen Eldele , Mohamed Ragab , Xu Qing , Edward , Zhenghua Chen , Min Wu , Xiaoli Li , Jay Lee

Foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a promising approach for time series forecasting. While effective, FMs typically remain fixed during deployment due to the high computational costs of learning them online. Consequently, deployed FMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Thomas L. Lee , William Toner , Rajkarn Singh , Artjom Joosen , Martin Asenov

Foundation models (FMs) for the Earth system learn statistical relationships between physical variables across massive datasets to enable versatile downstream applications through finetuning, separating them from task-specific weather…

The Everglades play a crucial role in flood and drought regulation, water resource planning, and ecosystem management in the surrounding regions. However, traditional physics-based and statistical methods for predicting water levels often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Rahuul Rangaraj , Jimeng Shi , Azam Shirali , Rajendra Paudel , Yanzhao Wu , Giri Narasimhan

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

Over the past decades, computer-aided diagnosis tools for breast cancer have been developed to enhance screening procedures, yet their clinical adoption remains challenged by data variability and inherent biases. Although foundation models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Elodie Germani , Ilayda Selin Türk , Fatima Zeineddine , Charbel Mourad , Shadi Albarqouni

Time series foundation models have demonstrated strong performance in zero-shot learning, making them well-suited for predicting rapidly evolving patterns in real-world applications where relevant training data are scarce. However, most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Haoyu Ma , Yushu Chen , Wenlai Zhao , Jinzhe Yang , Yingsheng Ji , Xinghua Xu , Xiaozhu Liu , Hao Jing , Shengzhuo Liu , Guangwen Yang

Foundation Models (FMs) have revolutionized many areas of computing, including Automated Planning and Scheduling (APS). For example, a recent study found them useful for planning problems: plan generation, language translation, model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Biplav Srivastava , Vishal Pallagani

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir

Recent Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) have demonstrated state-of-the-art predictive performance, often surpassing Gradient-Boosted Decision Trees (GBDTs). However, the trustworthiness of these models, particularly their uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 José Lucas De Melo Costa , Fabrice Popineau , Arpad Rimmel , Bich-Liên Doan

An all-clear flare prediction is a type of solar flare forecasting that puts more emphasis on predicting non-flaring instances (often relatively small flares and flare quiet regions) with high precision while still maintaining valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Anli Ji , Berkay Aydin , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Rafal Angryk

Accurate forecasting of zero coupon bond yields for a continuum of maturities is paramount to bond portfolio management and derivative security pricing. Yet a universal model for yield curve forecasting has been elusive, and prior attempts…

Applications · Statistics 2012-09-28 Spencer Hays , Haipeng Shen , Jianhua Z. Huang

Time series data are ubiquitous across diverse real-world applications, making time series analysis critically important. Traditional approaches are largely task-specific, offering limited functionality and poor transferability. In recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Jiexia Ye , Yongzi Yu , Weiqi Zhang , Le Wang , Jia Li , Fugee Tsung

Time series forecasting models have diverse real world applications (e.g., from electricity metrics to software workload). Latest foundational models trained for time series forecasting show strengths (e.g., for long sequences and in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Keun Soo Yim

Transformer-based foundation models have emerged as a dominant paradigm in time series analysis, offering unprecedented capabilities in tasks such as forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, trend analysis and many more time series…

Time series foundation models excel at diverse time series forecasting tasks, but their capacity for continuous improvement through incremental learning remains unexplored. We present the first comprehensive study investigating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Jia Liu , Cheng Jinguo , Xia Fang , Zhenyuan Ma , Yuankai Wu

Workload predictions in cloud computing is obviously an important topic. Most of the existing publications employ various time series techniques, that might be difficult to implement. We suggest here another route, which has already been…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Maria Bekcheva , Alireza Moradi , Hugues Mounier

Time series forecasting is a fundamental problem with applications in climate, energy, healthcare, and finance. Many existing approaches require domain-specific feature engineering and substantial labeled data for each task. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov , Derya Umut Kulali , Taner Yilmaz

Bioinformatics has witnessed a paradigm shift with the increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly through the adoption of foundation models (FMs). These AI techniques have rapidly advanced, addressing historical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-08 Qing Li , Zhihang Hu , Yixuan Wang , Lei Li , Yimin Fan , Irwin King , Le Song , Yu Li