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Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

We consider a prototypical parabolic SPDE with finite-dimensional multiplicative noise, which, subject to a nonnegative initial datum, has a unique nonnegative solution. Inspired by well-established techniques in the deterministic case, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Ana Djurdjevac , Claude Le Bris , Endre Süli

Learning performance can show non-monotonic behavior. That is, more data does not necessarily lead to better models, even on average. We propose three algorithms that take a supervised learning model and make it perform more monotone. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Tom J. Viering , Alexander Mey , Marco Loog

We present a statistical learning framework for robust identification of partial differential equations from noisy spatiotemporal data. Extending previous sparse regression approaches for inferring PDE models from simulated data, we address…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Suryanarayana Maddu , Bevan L. Cheeseman , Ivo F. Sbalzarini , Christian L. Müller

We study the Allen-Cahn equation with a cubic-quintic nonlinear term and a stochastic $Q$-trace-class stochastic forcing in two spatial dimensions. This stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) is used as a test case to understand,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Christian Kuehn

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

Particle filters (PFs) are recursive Monte Carlo algorithms for Bayesian tracking and prediction in state space models. This paper addresses continuous-discrete filtering problems, where the hidden state evolves as an It\^o stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-24 Utku Erdogan , Gabriel J. Lord , Joaquin Miguez

In our previous work we have shown how Bayesian networks can be used for adaptive testing of student skills. Later, we have taken the advantage of monotonicity restrictions in order to learn models fitting data better. This article provides…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Martin Plajner , Jiří Vomlel

Ensemble-based Data Assimilation faces significant challenges in high-dimensional systems due to spurious correlations and ensemble collapse. These issues arise from estimating dense dependencies with limited ensemble sizes. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Berent Ånund Strømnes Lunde

Privacy-preserving data publication, including synthetic data sharing, often experiences trade-offs between privacy and utility. Synthetic data is generally more effective than data anonymization in balancing this trade-off, however, not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Yan Zhou , Bradley Malin , Murat Kantarcioglu

A new method for solving numerically stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with multiple scales is presented. The method combines a spectral method with the heterogeneous multiscale method (HMM) presented in [W. E, D. Liu, and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-28 A. Abdulle , G. A. Pavliotis

The convergence of stochastic interacting particle systems in the mean-field limit to solutions of conservative stochastic partial differential equations is established, with optimal rate of convergence. As a second main result, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-15 Benjamin Gess , Rishabh S. Gvalani , Vitalii Konarovskyi

Stochastic dynamic matching problems have recently gained attention in the stochastic-modeling community due to their diverse applications, such as supply-chain management and kidney exchange programs. In this paper, we study a matching…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Céline Comte , Fabien Mathieu , Sushil Mahavir Varma , Ana Bušić

We study prediction-assimilation systems, which have become routine in meteorology and oceanography and are rapidly spreading to other areas of the geosciences and of continuum physics. The long-term, nonlinear stability of such a system…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alberto Carrassi , Michael Ghil , Anna Trevisan , Francesco Uboldi

Autonomous systems with machine learning-based perception can exhibit unpredictable behaviors that are difficult to quantify, let alone verify. Such behaviors are convenient to capture in probabilistic models, but probabilistic model…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Matthew Cleaveland , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

In this paper, we use the variational approach to investigate recurrent properties of solutions for stochastic partial differential equations, which is in contrast to the previous semigroup framework. Consider stochastic differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Mengyu Cheng , Zhenxin Liu

Symmetry-preserving (mimetic) discretization aims to preserve certain properties of a continuous differential operator in its discrete counterpart. For these discretizations, stability and (discrete) conservation of mass, momentum and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-25 B. van 't Hof , M. J. Vuik

We discuss how to exploit stochastic resonance with the methods of statistical theory of decisions. To do so, we evaluate two detection strategies: escape time analysis and strobing. For a standard quartic bistable system with a periodic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-12 Paolo Addesso , Vincenzo Pierro , Giovanni Filatrella

These notes present an alternative approach to the asymptotic stability of stochastic partial differential equations driven by multiplicative noise, applicable to a wide range of dissipative systems. The method builds on general criteria…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Ziyu Liu

This paper formulates and solves a sequential detection problem that involves the mutual information (stochastic observability) of a Gaussian process observed in noise with missing measurements. The main result is that the optimal decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Robert Bitmead , Michel Gevers , Erik Miehling