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Related papers: Existence of Direct Density Ratio Estimators

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Inferring and comparing complex, multivariable probability density functions is fundamental to problems in several fields, including probabilistic learning, network theory, and data analysis. Classification and prediction are the two faces…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-30 David J. Galas , T. Gregory Dewey , James Kunert-Graf , Nikita A. Sakhanenko

This paper provides a unified perspective for the Kullback-Leibler (KL)-divergence and the integral probability metrics (IPMs) from the perspective of maximum likelihood density-ratio estimation (DRE). Both the KL-divergence and the IPMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Masahiro Kato , Masaaki Imaizumi , Kentaro Minami

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a core technique in machine learning used to capture relationships between two probability distributions. $f$-divergence loss functions, which are derived from variational representations of $f$-divergence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yoshiaki Kitazawa

Multi-dimensional distributions whose marginal distributions are uniform are called copulas. Among them, the one that satisfies given constraints on expectation and is closest to the independent distribution in the sense of Kullback-Leibler…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Yici Chen , Tomonari Sei

We consider the problem of sampling from a probability distribution $\pi$ which admits a density w.r.t. a dominating measure. It is well known that this can be written as an optimisation problem over the space of probability distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Francesca Romana Crucinio

The ratio between two probability density functions is an important component of various tasks, including selection bias correction, novelty detection and classification. Recently, several estimators of this ratio have been proposed. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence plays a central role in probabilistic machine learning, where it commonly serves as the canonical loss function. Optimization in such settings is often performed over the probability simplex, where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Adwait Datar , Nihat Ay

This paper deals with the problem of estimating predictive densities of a matrix-variate normal distribution with known covariance matrix. Our main aim is to establish some Bayesian predictive densities related to matricial shrinkage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Hisayuki Tsukuma , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Density Ratio Estimation (DRE) is an important machine learning technique with many downstream applications. We consider the challenge of DRE with missing not at random (MNAR) data. In this setting, we show that using standard DRE methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Josh Givens , Song Liu , Henry W J Reeve

Most of the existing methods for estimating the local intrinsic dimension of a data distribution do not scale well to high-dimensional data. Many of them rely on a non-parametric nearest neighbors approach which suffers from the curse of…

This paper introduces an estimator of the relative directed distance between an estimated model and the true model, based on the Kulback-Leibler divergence and is motivated by the generalized information criterion proposed by Konishi and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Antonino Abbruzzo , Ivan Vujačić , Ernst Wit , Angelo M. Mineo

Kernel density estimation is a popular method for estimating unseen probability distributions. However, the convergence of these classical estimators to the true density slows down in high dimensions. Moreover, they do not define meaningful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jack Kendrick

In optimization, the natural gradient method is well-known for likelihood maximization. The method uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence, corresponding infinitesimally to the Fisher-Rao metric, which is pulled back to the parameter space of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Anton Mallasto , Tom Dela Haije , Aasa Feragen

In a regression setup with deterministic design, we study the pure aggregation problem and introduce a natural extension from the Gaussian distribution to distributions in the exponential family. While this extension bears strong…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-06 Philippe Rigollet

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Sebastian G. Gruber , Aleksei Tiulpin , Florian Buettner , Matthew B. Blaschko

We propose and analyze an accelerated iterative dual diagonal descent algorithm for the solution of linear inverse problems with general regularization and data-fit functions. In particular, we develop an inertial approach of which we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Luca Calatroni , Guillaume Garrigos , Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa

Selecting the optimal resolution for discretizing high-dimensional data is a central problem in physics and data analysis, particularly in unsupervised settings where the underlying distribution is unknown. The Relevance-Resolution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-06 Margherita Mele , Daniel Campos Moreno , Raffaello Potestio

This paper introduces two new robust methods for estimation of parameters in a given parametric family. The first method is that of `minimum weighted L2', effectively minimising an estimate of the integrated (and possibly weighted) squared…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Nils Lid Hjort

Calibrated probabilistic classifiers are models whose predicted probabilities can directly be interpreted as uncertainty estimates. It has been shown recently that deep neural networks are poorly calibrated and tend to output overconfident…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Teodora Popordanoska , Raphael Sayer , Matthew B. Blaschko

We consider the problem of constructing a least conservative estimator of the expected value $\mu$ of a non-negative heavy-tailed random variable. We require that the probability of overestimating the expected value $\mu$ is kept…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Bart P. G. van Parys , Bert Zwart