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Spreading processes, e.g. epidemics, wildfires and rumors, are often modeled on static networks. However, their underlying network structures, e.g. changing contacts in social networks, different weather forecasts for wildfires, are due to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

This paper examines the use of risk models to predict the timing and location of wildfires caused by electricity infrastructure. Our data include historical ignition and wire-down points triggered by grid infrastructure collected between…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Mengqi Yao , Meghana Bharadwaj , Zheng Zhang , Baihong Jin , Duncan S. Callaway

Time-Series (TS) exhibits pronounced non-stationarity. Consequently, most forecasting methods display compromised robustness to concept drift, despite the prevalent application of instance normalization. We tackle this challenge by first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Jing Chen , Xiao Wang , Yinglong Wang , Shuo Li

Style transfer combines the content of one signal with the style of another. It supports applications such as data augmentation and scenario simulation, helping machine learning models generalize in data-scarce domains. While well developed…

Neuromorphic vision sensors (event cameras) simulate biological visual perception systems and have the advantages of high temporal resolution, less data redundancy, low power consumption, and large dynamic range. Since both events and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Haibo Shen , Juyu Xiao , Yihao Luo , Xiang Cao , Liangqi Zhang , Tianjiang Wang

Due to climate change and the disruption of ecosystems worldwide, wildfires are increasingly impacting environment, infrastructure, and human lives globally. Additionally, an exacerbating climate crisis means that these losses would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Rohan Tan Bhowmik , Youn Soo Jung , Juan Aguilera , Mary Prunicki , Kari Nadeau

Recently, Transformer-base models have made significant progress in the field of time series prediction which have achieved good results and become baseline models beyond Dlinear. The paper proposes an U-Net time series prediction model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Li Chu , Xiao Bingjia , Yuan Qiping

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNN) have emerged as the dominant model for spatio-temporal graph (STG) forecasting. Despite their success, they fail to model intrinsic uncertainties within STG data, which cripples their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Haomin Wen , Youfang Lin , Yutong Xia , Huaiyu Wan , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann , Yuxuan Liang

In response to Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attacks, recent research efforts increasingly rely on Machine Learning (ML)-based solutions, whose effectiveness largely depends on the quality of labeled training datasets. To address the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Gongli Xi , Ye Tian , Yannan Hu , Yuchao Zhang , Yapeng Niu , Xiangyang Gong

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) has long been a key research focus. Traditionally, these studies assume a fixed number of variables, but in real-world applications, Cyber-Physical Systems often expand as new sensors are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Minbo Ma , Kai Tang , Huan Li , Fei Teng , Dalin Zhang , Tianrui Li

Uncertainty estimation is a standard tool to quantify the reliability of modern deep learning models, and crucial for many real-world applications. However, efficient uncertainty estimation methods for spiking neural networks, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Tao Sun , Sander Bohté

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful frameworks for generating high-quality images. While recent studies have explored their application to time series forecasting, these approaches face significant challenges in cross-modal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Weilin Ruan , Siru Zhong , Haomin Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) require diverse, real-world datasets to adapt across varying domains and temporal frequencies. However, current large-scale datasets predominantly focus on low-frequency time series with sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Subina Khanal , Seshu Tirupathi , Merim Dzaferagic , Marco Ruffini , Torben Bach Pedersen

Models based on neural networks and machine learning are seeing a rise in popularity in space physics. In particular, the forecasting of geomagnetic indices with neural network models is becoming a popular field of study. These models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Brecht Laperre , Jorge Amaya , Giovanni Lapenta

We are developing a wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations that estimate the rate of spread of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release, coupled with WRF, the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model. A level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-09 Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Jan Mandel , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

The critical need for sophisticated detection techniques has been highlighted by the rising frequency and intensity of wildfires in the US, especially in California. In 2023, wildfires caused 130 deaths nationwide, the highest since 1990.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Gowtham Raj Vuppari , Navarun Gupta , Ahmed El-Sayed , Xingguo Xiong

We study the problem of evacuation planning for natural disasters, focusing on wildfire evacuations. By creating pre-planned evacuation routes that can be updated based on real-time data, we provide an easily adjustable approach to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Steffen Borgwardt , Nicholas Crawford , Drew Horton , Angela Morrison , Emily Speakman

Contemporary Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) research places a significant emphasis on transfer learning, showcasing its transformative potential in enhancing model performance across diverse domains. This paper…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Aditya V. Jonnalagadda , Hashim A. Hashim , Andrew Harris

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert