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The issue of the accuracy of wind speed/power forecasts is becoming more and more important as wind power production continues to increase year after year. Having accurate forecasts for the energy market clashes with intrinsic difficulties…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-23 Gabriele Casciaro , Francesco Ferrari , Mattia Cavaiola , Andrea Mazzino

This study explores compounding impacts of climate change on power system's load and generation, emphasising the need to integrate adaptation and mitigation strategies into investment planning. We combine existing and novel empirical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-06 Alice Di Bella , Francesco Pietro Colelli

In order to deal with market power that sporadically results from contingencies (e.g., severe weather, plant outages) most electricity markets have institutions in charge of monitoring market performance and mitigating market power. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Shi Pu , Alfredo Garcia

We introduce a general, simple, and computationally efficient framework for predicting day-ahead supply and demand merit-order curves, from which both point and probabilistic electricity price forecasts can be derived. We conduct a rigorous…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-12 Guillaume Koechlin , Filippo Bovera , Piercesare Secchi

This paper presents a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) based hybrid PV forecasting framework for enhancing hours-ahead utility-scale PV forecasting. The hybrid framework consists of two forecasting models: a physics-based trend…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-18 Yiyan Li , Lidong Song , Si Zhang , Laura Kraus , Taylor Adcox , Roger Willardson , Abhishek Komandur , Ning Lu

Enhancing the spatio-temporal observability of residential loads is crucial for achieving secure and efficient operations in distribution systems with increasing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs). This paper presents a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Shanny Lin , Hao Zhu

Leveraging electrochemical and thermal energy storage systems has been proposed as a strategy to reduce peak power in data centers. Thermal energy storage systems, such as chilled water tanks, have gained increasing attention in data…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-21 Yangyang Fu , Xu Han , Jessica Stershic , Wangda Zuo , Kyri Baker , Jianming Lian

There has been an increasing trend in the electric power system from a centralized generation-driven grid to a more reliable, environmental friendly, and customer-driven grid. One of the most important issues which the designers of smart…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Kianoosh G. Boroojeni , Shekoufeh Mokhtari , M. H. Amini , S. S. Iyengar

Imprecise computations provide an avenue for scheduling algorithms developed for energy-constrained computing devices by trading off output quality with the utilization of system resources. This work proposes a method for scheduling task…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Amirhossein Esmaili , Mahdi Nazemi , Massoud Pedram

The increasing attention to environmental issues is forcing the implementation of novel energy models based on renewable sources, fundamentally changing the configuration of energy management and introducing new criticalities that are only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-09 Mario Mureddu , Guido Caldarelli , Alessandro Chessa , Antonio Scala , Alfonso Damiano

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

Significant research contributions and Directives approach the issue of the insertion of renewable-based energy systems on urban territory in order to face with the growing energy needs of citizens. The introduction of such systems gives…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-01 Alberto Fichera , Alessandro Pluchino , Rosaria Volpe

We focus on day-ahead electricity load forecasting of substations of the distribution network in France; therefore, our problem lies between the instability of a single consumption and the stability of a countrywide total demand. Moreover,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Guillaume Lambert , Bachir Hamrouche , Joseph de Vilmarest

An increase in energy production from renewable energy sources is viewed as a crucial achievement in most industrialized countries. The higher variability of power production via renewables leads to a rise in ancillary service costs over…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-25 Mario Mureddu , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

Platform businesses operate on a digital core and their decision making requires high-dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (e.g., geographical regions) and temporal aggregation (e.g., minutes to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-03 Jeroen Rombouts , Marie Ternes , Ines Wilms

This paper presents a novel deep learning architecture for short term load forecasting of building energy loads. The architecture is based on a simple base learner and multiple boosting systems that are modelled as a single deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Tuukka Salmi , Jussi Kiljander , Daniel Pakkala

Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nathanael Bosch , Oleksandr Shchur , Nick Erickson , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Caner Türkmen

Understanding and predicting the electric consumption patterns in the short-, mid- and long-term, at the distribution and transmission level, is a fundamental asset for smart grids infrastructure planning, dynamic network reconfiguration,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-27 Davide Beretta , Samuele Grillo , Davide Pigoli , Enea Bionda , Claudio Bossi , Carlo Tornelli

Regulators and utilities have been exploring hourly retail electricity pricing, with several existing programs providing day-ahead hourly pricing schedules. At the same time, customers are deploying distributed energy resources and smart…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-11 Phillippe K. Phanivong , Duncan S. Callaway

There is an intrinsic value in higher integration of multi-carrier energy systems (especially gas and electricity), to increase operational flexibility in the electricity system and to improve allocation of resources in gas and electricity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Shahab Shariat Torbaghan , Mehdi Madani , Peter Sels , Ana Virag , Hélène Le Cadre , Kris Kessels , Yuting Mou