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We present a novel physics-constrained polynomial chaos expansion as a surrogate modeling method capable of performing both scientific machine learning (SciML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks. The proposed method possesses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-14 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields

By replacing standard non-linearities with polynomial activations, Polynomial Neural Networks (PNNs) are pivotal for applications such as privacy-preserving inference via Homomorphic Encryption (HE). However, training PNNs effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Forsad Al Hossain , Tauhidur Rahman

In numerous applications, surrogate models are used as a replacement for accurate parameter-to-observable mappings when solving large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The surrogate model may be a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Radoslav Vuchkov , Umberto Villa , Noemi Petra

The consideration of stochastic uncertainty in optimal and predictive control is a well-explored topic. Recently Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCE) have received considerable attention for problems involving stochastically uncertain system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Ruchuan Ou , Learta Januzi , Jonas Schießl , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Lars Grüne , Timm Faulwasser

The non-intrusive generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) method is a popular computational approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. The main hurdle preventing its efficient direct application for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Jiahua Jiang , Yanlai Chen , Akil Narayan

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events motivates the assessment of power system resilience. The random nature of power system failures during these events mandates probabilistic resilience assessment, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-05 Aidan Gerkis , Xiaozhe Wang

Within the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework, the fragility model plays a pivotal role. Such a model represents the probability that the engineering demand parameter (EDP) exceeds a certain safety threshold given a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 X. Zhu , M. Broccardo , B. Sudret

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

An essential ingredient of a spectral method is the choice of suitable bases for test and trial spaces. On complex domains, these bases are harder to devise, necessitating the use of domain partitioning techniques such as the spectral…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Saad Qadeer , Ehssan Nazockdast , Boyce E. Griffith

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

Neural networks have shown significant potential in solving partial differential equations (PDEs). While deep networks are capable of approximating complex functions, direct one-shot training often faces limitations in both accuracy and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Mingxing Weng , Zhiping Mao , Jie Shen

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

In recent years we have witnessed a growing interest in various non-equilibrium systems described in terms of stochastic non-linear field theories. In some of those systems like the KPZ and related models, the interesting behavior is in the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-04-21 Moshe Schwartz , Eytan Katzav

In this paper we propose an algorithm for recovering sparse orthogonal polynomials using stochastic collocation. Our approach is motivated by the desire to use generalized polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) to quantify uncertainty in models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John D. Jakeman , Akil Narayan , Tao Zhou

Computational inverse problems for biomedical simulators suffer from limited data and relatively high parameter dimensionality. This often requires sensitivity analysis, where parameters of the model are ranked based on their influence on…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-06 Mitchel J. Colebank

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) have gained prominence in recent years as a versatile framework for discussing probabilistic models that support tractable queries and are yet expressive enough to model complex probability distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Pedro Zuidberg Dos Martires

One of the open problems in scientific computing is the long-time integration of nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We address this problem by taking advantage of recent advances in scientific machine learning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Dongkun Zhang , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

Multivariate global polynomial approximations - such as polynomial chaos or stochastic collocation methods - are now in widespread use for sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification. The pseudospectral variety of these methods uses…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Paul G. Constantine , Michael S. Eldred , Eric T. Phipps

Accurate modeling of radio wave propagation over irregular terrains is crucial for designing reliable wireless communication systems in such environments, yet uncertainties in the antenna configuration are not quantified within…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Sicheng An , Luca Di Rienzo , Hao Qin , Xingqi Zhang , Lorenzo Codecasa

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are flexible probabilistic frameworks to model statistical networks through a variety of network summary statistics. Conventional Bayesian estimation for ERGMs involves iteratively exchanging with an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Yefeng Fan , Simon White