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An algorithm for the unbiased simulation of continuous max-(resp.\ min-)id stochastic processes is developed. The algorithm only requires the simulation of finite Poisson random measures on the space of continuous functions and avoids the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Florian Brück

In this note we derive a sharp concentration inequality for the supremum of a smooth random field over a finite dimensional set. It is shown that this supremum can be bounded with high probability by the value of the field at some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Spokoiny

The location of the unique supremum of a stationary process on an interval does not need to be uniformly distributed over that interval. We describe all possible distributions of the supremum location for a broad class of such stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-10 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yi Shen

We discuss how maximum entropy methods may be applied to the reconstruction of Markov processes underlying empirical time series and compare this approach to usual frequency sampling. It is shown that, at least in low dimension, there…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard , Anton Golub

For a sequence $\{X_{n}, \, n \geqslant 1 \}$ of random variables satisfying $\mathbb{E} \lvert X_{n} \rvert < \infty$ for all $n \geqslant 1$, a maximal inequality is established, and used to obtain strong law of large numbers for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-26 João Lita da Silva

We generalize the concept of extremal index of a stationary random sequence to the series scheme of identically distributed random variables with random series sizes tending to infinity in probability. We introduce new extremal indices…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Alexey V. Lebedev

For arrays $(S_{i,j})_{1\leq i\leq j}$ of random variables that are stationary in an appropriate sense, we show that the fluctuations of the process $(S_{1,n})_{n=1}^{\infty}$ can be bounded in terms of a measure of the ``mean…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Michael Hochman

A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

Max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes play a central role in extreme-value theory and include the subclass of all max-stable processes. They allow for a constructive representation based on the pointwise maximum of random functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Peng Zhong , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

In this paper, we study a maximization problem on real sequences. More precisely, for a given sequence, we are interested in computing the supremum of the sequence and an index for which the associated term is maximal. We propose a general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Assalé Adjé

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

In this paper we present a Doob type maximal inequality for stochastic processes satisfying the conditional increment control condition. If we assume, in addition, that the margins of the process have uniform exponential tail decay, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Xuan Liu , Guangyu Xi

Under a complex technical condition, similar to such used in extreme value theory, we find the rate q(\epsilon)^{-1} at which a stochastic process with stationary increments \xi should be sampled, for the sampled process \xi(\lfloor\cdot…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. M. P. Albin

We derive an equality for non-equilibrium statistical mechanics in finite-dimensional quantum systems. The equality concerns the worst-case work output of a time-dependent Hamiltonian protocol in the presence of a Markovian heat bath. It…

In this paper we consider the distribution of the location of the path supremum in a fixed interval for self-similar processes with stationary increments. To this end, a point process is constructed and its relation to the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Yi Shen

We study two empirical process of special structure: firstly, the centred multiplier process indexed by a class $F$, $f \to \left|\sum_{i=1}^N (\xi_i f(X_i) - \E \xi f)\right|$, where the i.i.d. multipliers $(\xi_i)_{i=1}^N$ need not be…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Shahar Mendelson

The expected supremum of a Gaussian process indexed by the image of an index set under a function class is bounded in terms of separate properties of the index set and the function class. The bound is relevant to the estimation of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-12 Andreas Maurer

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi