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Linear models that contain a time-dependent response and explanatory variables have attracted much interest in recent years. The most general form of the existing approaches is of a linear regression model with autoregressive moving average…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Hamed Haselimashhadi , Veronica Vinciotti

We develop a stochastic epidemic model progressing over dynamic networks, where infection rates are heterogeneous and may vary with individual-level covariates. The joint dynamics are modeled as a continuous-time Markov chain such that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Alexander Volfovsky , Jason Xu

We introduce a simple and extendable coevolution model for the analysis of longitudinal network and nodal attribute data. The model features parameters that describe three phenomena: homophily, contagion and autocorrelation of the network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-08 Yanjun He , Peter D. Hoff

In longitudinal studies, subjects may be lost to follow-up, or miss some of the planned visits, leading to incomplete response sequences. When the probability of non-response, conditional on the available covariates and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Alessandra Spagnoli , Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfò

Biased sampling designs can be highly efficient when studying rare (binary) or low variability (continuous) endpoints. We consider longitudinal data settings in which the probability of being sampled depends on a repeatedly measured…

Many real world networks exhibit edge heterogeneity with different pairs of nodes interacting with different intensities. Further, nodes with similar attributes tend to interact more with each other. Thus, in the presence of observed node…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Swati Chandna , Benjamin Bagozzi , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

In this paper, an alternative count distribution suitable for modeling over dispersed, zero vertex unimodality and monotonically decreasing data sets. Though the proposed probability model includes Gauss Hypergeometric special function, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Deepesh Bhati , Ishfaq Shah Ahmad

Count data with an excessive number of zeros frequently arise in fields such as economics, medicine, and public health. Traditional count models often fail to adequately handle such data, especially when the relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 María José Llop , Andrea Bergesio , Anne-Françoise Yao

This work extends causal inference with stochastic confounders. We propose a new approach to variational estimation for causal inference based on a representer theorem with a random input space. We estimate causal effects involving latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Thanh Vinh Vo , Pengfei Wei , Wicher Bergsma , Tze-Yun Leong

Statistical network models are useful for understanding the underlying formation mechanism and characteristics of complex networks. However, statistical models for \textit{signed networks} have been largely unexplored. In signed networks,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Weijing Tang , Ji Zhu

In this paper, we introduce a novel model for random hypergraphs based on weighted random connection models. In accordance with the standard theory for hypergraphs, this model is constructed from a bipartite graph. In our stochastic model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Morten Brun , Christian Hirsch , Peter Juhasz , Moritz Otto

The analysis of count data is commonly done using Poisson models. Negative binomial models are a straightforward and readily motivated generalization for the case of overdispersed data, i.e., when the observed variance is greater than…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Christian Röver , Stefan Andreas , Tim Friede

Models of opinion dynamics aim to capture how individuals' opinions change when they interact with each other. One well-known model of opinion dynamics is the Deffuant--Weisbuch (DW) model, which is a type of bounded-confidence model (BCM).…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-25 Leila Thompsky , Yuexuan Yolanda Wu , Mason A. Porter , Jiajie Luo

Replicated weighted networks often exhibit many structural zeros alongside heterogeneous non-zero edge strengths. In structural connectomics, this zero-inflation coincides with subjects expressing overlapping, rather than discrete,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Yuh-Haur Chen , Teng Zhang

Event counts are response variables with non-negative integer values representing the number of times that an event occurs within a fixed domain such as a time interval, a geographical area or a cell of a contingency table. Analysis of…

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan

Graphical models have gained a lot of attention recently as a tool for learning and representing dependencies among variables in multivariate data. Often, domain scientists are looking specifically for differences among the dependency…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-11 Diane Oyen , Alexandru Niculescu-Mizil , Rachel Ostroff , Alex Stewart , Vincent P. Clark

Link prediction in networks is typically accomplished by estimating or ranking the probabilities of edges for all pairs of nodes. In practice, especially for social networks, the data are often collected by egocentric sampling, which means…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Yun-Jhong Wu , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

Neural networks capable of accurate, input-conditional uncertainty representation are essential for real-world AI systems. Deep ensembles of Gaussian networks have proven highly effective for continuous regression due to their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Spencer Young , Porter Jenkins , Longchao Da , Jeff Dotson , Hua Wei