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Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

Spatial-temporal causal time series (STC-TS) involve region-specific temporal observations driven by causally relevant covariates and interconnected across geographic or network-based spaces. Existing methods often model spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Many segmentation tasks, such as medical image segmentation or future state prediction, are inherently ambiguous, meaning that multiple predictions are equally correct. Current methods typically rely on generative models to capture this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Sebastian Gerard , Josephine Sullivan

Stochastic diffusion is the noisy and uncertain process through which dynamics like epidemics, or agents like animal species, disperse over a larger area. Understanding these processes is becoming increasingly important as we attempt to…

This study proposes a unified forecasting framework for high-dimensional multi-task time series to meet the prediction demands of cloud native backend systems operating under highly dynamic loads, coupled metrics, and parallel tasks. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Zixiao Huang , Jixiao Yang , Sijia Li , Chi Zhang , Jinyu Chen , Chengda Xu

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

This paper proposes Distributed Model Predictive Covariance Steering (DiMPCS) for multi-agent control under stochastic uncertainty. The scope of our approach is to blend covariance steering theory, distributed optimization and model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Augustinos D. Saravanos , Isin M. Balci , Efstathios Bakolas , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Accurate modeling of robot dynamics is essential for model-based control, yet remains challenging under distributional shifts and real-time constraints. In this work, we formulate system identification as an in-context meta-learning problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Angelo Moroncelli , Matteo Rufolo , Gunes Cagin Aydin , Asad Ali Shahid , Loris Roveda

Diffusion models offer stable training and state-of-the-art performance for deep generative modeling tasks. Here, we consider their use in the context of multivariate subsurface modeling and probabilistic inversion. We first demonstrate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Roberto Miele , Niklas Linde

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Current operational air quality forecasts are computationally expensive, sensitive to errors in physics and emissions, and often neglect weather-related uncertainty. To address these limitations, we present AirFusion, a hybrid,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Ao Ding , Aoxing Zhang , Tzung-May Fu , Yuanlong Huang , Qianjie Chen , Yuyang Chen , Jiajia Mo , Wei Tao , Wai-Chi Cheng , Lei Zhu , Xin Yang , Guy Brasseur

Traffic forecasting, a crucial application of spatio-temporal graph (STG) learning, has traditionally relied on deterministic models for accurate point estimations. Yet, these models fall short of quantifying future uncertainties. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Lequan Lin , Dai Shi , Andi Han , Junbin Gao

Precipitation nowcasting, which aims to provide high spatio-temporal resolution precipitation forecasts by leveraging current radar observations, is a core task in regional weather forecasting. Recently, the cascaded architecture has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Fanbo Ju , Haiyuan Shi , Qingjian Ni

Spatial-temporal forecasting plays an important role in many real-world applications, such as traffic forecasting, air pollutant forecasting, crowd-flow forecasting, and so on. State-of-the-art spatial-temporal forecasting models take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Xinyu Su , Jianzhong Qi , Egemen Tanin , Yanchuan Chang , Majid Sarvi

Multi-modality spatio-temporal (MoST) data extends spatio-temporal (ST) data by incorporating multiple modalities, which is prevalent in monitoring systems, encompassing diverse traffic demands and air quality assessments. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Jiewen Deng , Renhe Jiang , Jiaqi Zhang , Xuan Song

Classical methods in robot motion planning, such as sampling-based and optimization-based methods, often struggle with scalability towards higher-dimensional state spaces and complex environments. Diffusion models, known for their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Edward Sandra , Lander Vanroye , Dries Dirckx , Ruben Cartuyvels , Jan Swevers , Wilm Decré

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipitation. Most downscaling methods estimate the conditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Louise Largeau , Tom Beucler , David Leutwyler , Gregoire Mariethoz , Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Erwan Koch

Spatio-temporal prediction is a crucial research area in data-driven urban computing, with implications for transportation, public safety, and environmental monitoring. However, scalability and generalization challenges remain significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Jiabin Tang , Wei Wei , Lianghao Xia , Chao Huang

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) plays a crucial role in mitigating greenhouse gas emissions, particularly from industrial outputs. Using seismic monitoring can aid in an accurate and robust monitoring system to ensure the effectiveness of…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-01 Xinquan Huang , Fu Wang , Tariq Alkhalifah
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