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Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions. Often, point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Rajdeep Pathak , Tanujit Chakraborty

Epidemic prediction is a fundamental task for epidemic control and prevention. Many mechanistic models and deep learning models are built for this task. However, most mechanistic models have difficulty estimating the time/region-varying…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Qi Cao , Renhe Jiang , Chuang Yang , Zipei Fan , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Advanced epidemic forecasting is critical for enabling precision containment strategies, highlighting its strategic importance for public health security. While recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated effectiveness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Chenghua Gong , Rui Sun , Yuhao Zheng , Juyuan Zhang , Tianjun Gu , Liming Pan , Linyuan Lv

Modelling epidemic events such as COVID-19 cases in both time and space dimensions is an important but challenging task. Building on in-depth review and assessment of two popular graph neural network (GNN)-based regional epidemic…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-20 Xiangxin Kong , Hang Wang , Yutong Li , Yanghao Chen , Zudi Lu

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb.) that produces pulmonary damage due to its airborne nature. This fact facilitates the disease fast-spreading, which, according to the World Health…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-01 Pedro M. Gordaliza

Machine learning has been an emerging tool for various aspects of infectious diseases including tuberculosis surveillance and detection. However, WHO provided no recommendations on using computer-aided tuberculosis detection software…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Seelwan Sathitratanacheewin , Krit Pongpirul

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading global infectious disease, causing approximately 1.3 million deaths and 10.6 million new infections annually. Classical compartmental ODE models are the standard epidemiological tool for TB, yet their…

Tuberculosis (TB) continues to pose a major public health challenge, particularly in high-burden regions such as Ethiopia, necessitating a more profound understanding of its transmission dynamics. In this study, we developed an SVEITRS…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-26 Moksina Seyid , Abdu Mohammed Seid , Yassin Tesfaw Abebe

Large-scale tuberculosis (TB) screening is limited by the high cost and operational complexity of traditional diagnostics, creating a need for artificial-intelligence solutions. We propose DeepGB-TB, a non-invasive system that instantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Zhixiang Lu , Yulong Li , Feilong Tang , Zhengyong Jiang , Chong Li , Mian Zhou , Tenglong Li , Jionglong Su

Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

Stochastic epidemic models provide an interpretable probabilistic description of the spread of a disease through a population. Yet, fitting these models to partially observed data is a notoriously difficult task due to intractability of the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-21 Raphael Morsomme , Jason Xu

Early Warning Signals (EWSs) are vital for implementing preventive measures before a disease turns into a pandemic. While new diseases exhibit unique behaviors, they often share fundamental characteristics from a dynamical systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Reza Miry , Amit K. Chakraborty , Russell Greiner , Mark A. Lewis , Hao Wang , Tianyu Guan , Pouria Ramazi

Modeling and simulation approaches for infectious disease dynamics have proven to be essential tools for effective control of the spread of epidemics in the population. Among these approaches, it is obvious that compartmental mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-08 Selain K. Kasereka

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Accurate epidemic forecasting is a critical task in controlling disease transmission. Many deep learning-based models focus only on static or dynamic graphs when constructing spatial information, ignoring their relationship. Additionally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Junkai Mao , Yuexing Han , Gouhei Tanaka , Bing Wang

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a global health problem, and is the leading cause of death from an infectious disease. A crucial step in the treatment of tuberculosis is screening high risk populations and the early detection of the disease, with…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-15 Alexander Wong , James Ren Hou Lee , Hadi Rahmat-Khah , Ali Sabri , Amer Alaref

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a global health threat, ranking among the leading causes of mortality worldwide. In this context, machine learning (ML) has emerged as a transformative force, providing innovative solutions to the complexities…

Tuberculosis (TB), caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, remains a critical global health issue, necessitating timely diagnosis and treatment. Current methods for detecting tuberculosis bacilli from bright field microscopic sputum smear…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Greeshma K , Vishnukumar S
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